Week 6 NFL
Well last week just was about as confounding as one could ever hope for. There are some game that went totally opposite for reasons I cant even begin to fathom. 8-5 isnt a totally devastating week and it could have been worse, so I wont complain. Submitted for your perusal and review are this weeks picks. Lines are provided by bodog.net via USA Today and are for entertainment and comparison purposes only. With Princess Katie’s quincenera only a couple weeks away, I have no money to spare you to pay your bookies if you bet these lines and get took.
Note: Arizona, Denver, Kansas City, San Diego, Seattle, Tennessee all have a bye this week.
Sunday October 2
Colts (0-5) @ Bengals (3-2)
Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati 1:00 (CBS)
Favorite Bengals by 7
Last Week Colts Lost to Chiefs 24-21, Bengals beat Jaguars 30-20
Fast Fact The Bengals have not beaten the Colts since 1997 (0-7)
The Bengals looked uneven at times but rallied in the 4thto beat the Jags, while the Colts are looking worse and worse every week. Im liking the rookie combo of Andy Dalton and AJ Green and the Bengals defense plays scrappy. I don’t like the fact the Bengals are such a favorite in this game, the minute that you think that they will play good they fail to live up to expectations. But that was the case last week in Jacksonville and they came up aces. Could they do it again? The Colts already look like they want it to be all over and get Andrew Luck as a future protégé to Peyton Manning. Im probably gonna regret this but…
Panthers (1-4) @ Falcons (2-3)
Georgia Dome, Atlanta 1:00 (FOX)
Favorite Falcons by 4
Last Week Panthers lost to Saints 30-27, Falcons lost to Packers 25-14
Fast Fact Falcons QB Matt Ryan has thrown 6 interceptions this season, compared to 9 in all of 2010
Though steadily improving, the wins are not coming for the young Panthers. They take the fight to the opponent only to fade at the end. The Falcons are a puzzling team, making mistakes that they didn’t in years previous and not playing as loose as they used to. All doubts about the viability of Cam Newton should be as silly as his supposed recruiting scandal at Auburn. The Falcons are hurting more than one would suspect and the loss of promising wideout Julio Jones further hampers a Falcons offense that is struggling to get their act together. This has the makings of an entertaining shootout, one I think the Panthers will steal.
Pick-Carolina (Upset of the Week)
Bills (4-1) @ NY Giants (3-2)
MetLife Stadium; E. Rutherford, NJ 1:00 (CBS)
Favorite Giants by 3
Last Week Bills beat Eagles 31-24, Giants lost to Seahawks 36-25
Fast Fact The Giants lead the NFL with 18 sacks
Bouncing back after their first loss to beat the Eagles, the Bills quickly shook off the notion that they were an early season flash. The G-Men’s loss to a weak Seahawks team was extremely puzzling, given the strong performance by Eli Manning. This is a tough game to call, cause you are never quite sure which Giants team shows up on a weekly basis. In a game that is otherwise a dead draw matchup wise, I think the G-Men are doing it with mirrors and the Bills will expose them in front of another sullen crowd in Gotham.
49ers (4-1) @ Lions (5-0)
Ford Field, Detroit 1:00 (FOX)
Favorite Lions by 4½
Last Week 49ers beat Bucs 48-3, Lions beat Bears 24-13
Fast Fact The Niners have won the last seven meetings (Lions last win was 1995)
If you had’ve told anyone 5 weeks ago that this would be one of the marquee matchups of week 6, you would have been fast tracked to the looney bin or asked who gave you the bad herb. But believe it, the Niners have quietly built a solid if unspectacular squad that stunned a lot of pundits (your humble scribe included) by punishing the Bucs mercilessly last week. The Lions are the feel good story of the season and made their primetime debut a memorable one by pounding the Bears. I see the Lions having no real trouble bumrushing the Niners young front line and Alex Smith has long proven that if he is pressured he makes mistakes. Ford Field is fast becoming a place no visitor wants to go to and the Lions will continue to stun the league with this fast start
Rams (0-4) @ Packers (5-0)
Lambeau Field, Green Bay 1:00 (FOX)
Favorite Packers by 15
Last Week Rams were on a bye, Packers beat Falcons 25-14
Fast Fact Rams are a league worst 4-21 on the road since 2008
The young Rams cant catch a break, coming out of their bye they face a Packers team that is bordering on the downright scary. They methodically wore down the Falcons in primetime and broke their will after trailing early. Aaron Rodgers is starting to get that elite look about him and against a so-so Rams defense could mean points a plenty. I like Sam Bradford but asking him to keep up with Rodgers and figure out the ruthless Pack defense is asking way way too much.
Pick-Green Bay (Lock of the Week)
Eagles (1-4) @ Redskins (3-1)
FedEx Field; Landover, MD 1:00 (FOX)
Favorite Eagles by 2
Last Week Eagles lost to Bills 31-24, Redskins were on a bye
Fast Fact The Eagles are trying to avoid their first five game losing streak under head coach Andy Reid’s lengthy tenure
The Eagles are in full panic mode and are return to the scene of Michael Vick’s most jaw dropping performance. The Redskins ruefully remember the single man that delivered the woodshed beating on a national stage last year. Though the Redskins have improved on both sides of the ball, I just have that odd feeling that the Eagles are due for a breakout win. Beating their despised divisional rivals is just the tonic they need to jump start their season. If they don’t win here, their playoff chances get frighteningly slim.
Jaguars (1-4) @ Steelers (3-2)
Heinz Field, Pittsburgh 1:00 (CBS)
Favorite Steelers by 13
Last Week Jaguars lost to Bengals 30-20, Steelers beat Titans 38-17
Fast Fact The Jaguars have won the last four regular season meetings
The Jags are getting the roughshod treatment, they fall apart in the 4thagainst the Bengals and now face a Steelers team that just seem to find a way to win. They pounded the Titans as Ben Roethlisberger shook off a bum foot to throw for five scores. Pity poor Gabby Gabbert, he will spend the majority of the afternoon dodging a withering Steelers rush which is still formidable despite being thinned by injury. The Steelers have only to be patient, the Jags will find away to crack under the pressure.
Browns (2-2) @ Raiders (3-2)
O.co Coliseum, Oakland 4:05 (CBS)
Favorite Raiders by 7
Last Week Browns were on a bye, Raiders beat Texans 25-20
Fast Fact The Raiders late owner Al Davis spent 52 years with the Raiders as a coach, general manager and owner.
Inspired by the passing of their iconoclastic owner, the Raiders knocked off the Texans with a heroic inside the 10 stand in the games final seconds. In the games crucial final play, the Raiders had only 10 men on the field. The Browns are a team that had high aspirations but their uneven play as well as the growing discontent by Peyton Hillis is hurting their growth. Look for the Raiders to play top notch in front of a emotionally charged home crowd. The Raiders may not win pretty, but will win baby just the same.
Texans (3-2) @ Ravens (3-1)
M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore 4:05 (CBS)
Favorite Ravens by 8
Last Week Texans lost to Raiders 25-20, Ravens were on a bye
Fast Fact The Ravens are holding opponents to an NFL low 14.3 points per game.
Caught off guard by an emotional Raiders the Texans frittered away another game and another chance to really stamp their legitimacy as a for real contender. The road gets no easier as they face a rested Ravens team that is looking as sharp as ever. The Texans suffered a devastating loss with stud DE Mario Williams going down for the season with a pectoral injury taking a critical run stopper and QB harasser out of the Texans defensive scheme. With Matt Schaub also nursing an injury, this is not the best time to be face the hard hitting, ballhawking uber stingy defense that grudgingly gives points away.
Saints (4-1) @ Buccaneers (3-2)
Raymond James Stadium, Tampa 4:15 (FOX)
Favorite Buccaneers by 3½
Last Week Saints beat Panthers 30-27, Buccaneers lost to 49ers 48-3
Fast Fact The Saints have won in their last two trips to Tampa by a combined score of 69-13
The Saints weren’t expecting a tough battle up in Charlotte but showing their veteran savvy pulled out an impressive rally to win late, while the Bucs took an awful beating out on the West Coast. No one can be real sure which is the real Bucs team, the one that show grit and determination in holding off the Colts or the team that looked lost and generally disinterested. Im thinking with a divisional rival in town that they will play more interested but I think the Saints eke out another hard fought road win.
Cowboys (2-2) @ Patriots (4-1)
Gillette Stadium; Foxboro, MA 4:15 (FOX)
Favorite Patriots by 7
Last Week Cowboys were on a bye, Patriots beat Jets 30-21
Fast Fact The Patriots have scored 30 or more points in every game this season, and have a 13 game 30+ points streak dating back to last November the last time they faced a Rob Ryan coached defense.
The Pats are dissecting opponents with surgical precision and smacked around their despised divisional rival last week. The Pokes have had almost two weeks to wonder where a 24 point home lead to the Lions got away to. The questions about the capability of Tony Romo have resurfaced, with his poor decision making and questionable throws the Pokes seem to go as he does. Facing a leaky Pats defense the Pokes will score points, but I cant see Romo outgunning Brady not in Foxboro.
Vikings (1-4) @ Bears (2-3)
Soldier Field, Chicago 8:20 (NBC)
Favorite Bears by 3
Last Week Vikings beat Cardinals 34-10, Bears lost to Lions 24-13
Fast Fact Vikings DE Jared Allen leads the NFL with 8½ sacks, he also has 8 ½ sacks in six career matchups against the Bears
The Vikes finally figured out that they have a decent running back at their disposal and utilized him fully as Adrian Peterson ran for over 100 yards and had three scores. The defense didn’t hand the points back and got their first win. The Bears got knocked around rather rudely in Detroit and their offense has seemed to regress badly. Jay Cutler for once is not to blame, he stood tall and took a number of nasty hits but did not shirk his duties in a losing cause. Im thinking the Vikings defense can produce the same type of hard rush on Cutler and rush his already limited offensive options. There is a part of me that doesn’t trust the Vikings to stay with the winning formula but I cant hand the game to the Bears due to their anemic offense. This is another call Im probably going to regret
Monday, October 17
Dolphins (0-4) @ Jets (2-3)
MetLife Stadium; E. Rutherfod, NJ 8:30 (ESPN)
Favorite Jets by 7
Last Week Dolphins were on a bye, Jets lost to Patriots 30-21
Fast Fact The Dolphins have won the last three meetings in New York
Suddenly the grinning jeering Rex Ryan looks more and more like the buffoon, especially after taking a sound beating from the Patriots to cap an 0-3 road swing. They will get healthy at home though as the anemic Dolphins come to town. Tony Sparano is likely finding For Sale signs in his front yard. The Dolphins look lost on both sides of the ball and are jousting with the Colts to win the Andrew Luck sweepstakes. The Jets bounce back strong against a weak opponent.
Pick-New York Jets
Last Week: 8-5 (Lock & Upset Incorrect)
Musings returns on Tuesday...Until Next Post Fellow Sports Fans!