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The games are fast and furious, the upsets and thrillers are plentiful. This is where the spec sheet is at its most fluid. The weekend will see the remaining auto bids getting handed out, most on Saturday. Numbers have changed as some conferences look to send less teams due to upsets. This is the fun part of the spec sheet season, no one knows who will do what.
Atlantic Coast
Conference Class-Power
Safe: Miami Duke, North Carolina, North Carolina State
Playing Their Way In: Virginia
Hoping for the Best: Maryland
Skinny on the ACC: Miami clinched its first ever ACC title regular season or postseason and have the #1 seed headed to Greensboro, but the Dukies are the team to beat after punishing Carolina in front of a sullen Chapel Hill crowd. Could we see a Miami-Duke ACC title game next Sunday with a #1 seed on the line? Virginia secured a 1st round bye with a taut win over Maryland and may be just about safe. The Terrapins on the other hand are in real trouble after a late season slide they may need to get to Saturday at least to get back on the right side of the tourney equation.
Atlantic Coast Conference Championship: Mar 14-Mar 17 Greensboro Coliseum; Greensboro, NC
Key Games: Wake Forest vs Maryland Thursday 7p (ESPNU) The fading Terrapins had better not rely on the fact that they have beaten the Demon Deacons twice, if they slip up they have no shot at a tourney bid.
Projected Bids: 5
Atlantic Ten
Conference Class-Major
Safe: Va. Commonwealth, Saint Louis, Butler
Playing Their Way In: Temple
Hoping For The Best: LaSalle
The A-10 Spec is: Teams are more playing their way out than playing their way in. A prime example is Xavier who was trying to get into the conversation, but had their tourney dreams dashed after being sent to the showers with a 58-57 heartbreaking loss to lowly St. Joes. Lasalle is the only team still on the fringe that could force their way in if they keep winning
Atlantic 10 Conference Championship: Mar 14-17 Barclays Center, Brooklyn
Key Games: LaSalle vs Butler Friday 2:30p (NBCS) LaSalle could strengthen its resume immensely with a win here.
Projected Bids: 4
Big East
Conference Class-Power
Safe: Syracuse, Georgetown, Marquette, Louisville, Notre Dame, Pitt ,Cincinnati
Playing Their Way In: Villanova,
Hoping For The Best: Providence,
Big East Skinny: With the Big East as we know it fading away, Its ironic that the four teams playing have so much history in this conference. Villanova may be the only team really sweating here but I think that this conference sends eight teams
Big East Championship: Mar 12-16 Madison Square Garden, New York
Key Game: Syracuse vs Georgetown 7p (ESPN) This rivalry has one final chapter in the Big East Semis with the Orange hungering to avenge their humiliating loss in DC last week
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Projected bids: 8
Big Ten
Conference Class-Power
Safe: Indiana, Michigan, Ohio State, Michigan State, Illinois, Wisconsin
Hoping For The Best: Minnesota, Iowa
The word on the Big Ten is: Iowa is getting awfully close to playing their way in. Minnesota will be sweating for the entire weekend. The deeper that the Hawkeyes get into the Big Ten tourney, they more they could tip the Gophers closer to being out. Im going to take the chance and move the meter up to eight teams coming out here.
Big Ten Conference Championship: Mar 14-17: United Center, Chicago
Key Game: Minnesota vs Illinois Thursday Noon (BTN) The Gophers might feel a lot safer if they beat the Iliini
Projected Bids: 8
Big 12
Conference Class-Power
Safe: Kansas, Oklahoma State, Iowa State, Kansas State
Hoping For The Best: Baylor, Oklahoma
Skinny from the heartland: I have the playing their way in category but both Oklahoma and Baylor may have played their way out with losses. Oklahoma got routed by Iowa State while Baylor got caught on the wrong end of a 2 point loss. Both teams will be sitting at home waiting for a call that may never come. The four teams that are safe are playing in the Big 12 semis.
Big 12 Conference Championships: Mar 13-16 Sprint Center, Kansas City
Key Games: Iowa State vs Kansas Friday 7:30 (FSN) A rematch of the overtime thriller from last month where the Cyclones got hosed on a late call and lost in overtime. The stakes are much higher now.
Projected Bids: 4
Conference USA
Conference Class-Major
Safe: Memphis
Hoping For The Best: Southern Miss
Oh Say Can You C-USA Spec: The Tigers are way safe but the Golden Eagles are getting closer and closer
Conference USA Championships: March 13-16 BOK Center, Tulsa
Key Game: UTEP vs USM Thursday 5p (CBSS) The Eagles will now face the Miners and had better not even think of losing if they want to retain what slim tourney hopes that they have.
Projected Bids: 1
Missouri Valley
Conference Class-Mid Major
IN: Creighton
Safe: Wichita State
Missouri Valley Skinny: Bravo to the Bluejays! They edged the Shockers in a thrilling finale and clinch the auto bid, Im pretty sure that Shockers will garner an at large bid. Northern Iowa is off the sheet and will not get a bid after losing in their first game.
Missouri Valley Conference Champions: Creighton
Projected Bids: 2
Mountain West
Conference Class-Major
Safe: UNLV, San Diego State, Colorado State, New Mexico
Playing Their Way In: Boise State
Spec from the Mountains: I still have five teams but Boise State may be sweating the whole weekend after losing to San Diego State. The four teams that I have listed as safe are playing each other in the MWC semis, any questions?
Key Games: San Diego State vs New Mexico Friday 9p (CBSS) An interesting semifinal with a pair of way safe teams
Mountain West Conference Championship: Mar 13-16 Thomas & Mack Arena, Las Vegas
Projected Bids: 5
Pacific 12
Conference Class-Power
Safe: Oregon, UCLA, Cal, Arizona
Playing Their Way In: Utah
Hoping For the Best: Colorado, Arizona State,
Spec from the left coast: It happens every year a rowdy lop eared mutt of a team makes a mess of tourney with an upset laden run. This year its Utah who has to win it in all to get a bid and play bid stealer. Cal might be in some trouble after losing but for the moment I still think that they are safe for now…
Pacific 12 Conference Championship: MGM Grand Arena, Las Vegas Mar 13-16
Key Game: Utah vs Oregon11: 30p (PAC-12Net) Can the Utes continue their bid stealing dash to an improbable Pac-12 title?
Projected Bids: 5
Southeastern
Conference Class-Power
Safe: Mizzou, Florida
Playing Their Way In: UK
Work to do: Ole Miss, Alabama
Spec is Down South: Day of reckoning for UK, but they breath a bit of a sigh of relief that they get favorite punching bag Vanderbilt instead of Arkansas. Bama and Ole Miss need to keep on winning. Ole Miss would be a lot more solid should they beat Mizzou who despite being a 6 seed is safe
Southeastern Conference Championship: Bridgestone Arena, Nashville Mar 13-17
Key Game: Vanderbilt vs UK Friday 7:30 The Wildcats are still sitting on the fence, beating the Commodores would keep them in the eqausion…lose and they are really sweating.
Projected Bids: 4
Western Athletic
Conference Class- Major
Safe: None
Playing their way In: New Mexico State, Texas State
Hoping For The Best: Louisiana Tech
Spec on the WAC: Wellllllp! The WAC now is a mess with both top seed getting bounced in their respective first round games. I have two teams projected to go, but that number is shaky. The benefactor here is New Mexico State who now are the highest seed. I think that La. Tech shaky resume and all gets the benefit of the doubt…for the moment. They will be hoping
Western Athletic Conference Championship: Orleans Arena, Las Vegas Mar. 13-16
Key Game: Texas St vs New Mexico State Friday 9:00 (ROOT/FSN) The Aggies road to the title got a whole easier with Denver and La. Tech out, but Texas State is looking to be a bid stealer
Projected Bids: 2
West Coast
Conference Class- Mid Major
In: Gonzaga
Safe: St. Marys
West Coast Spec: The Bulldogs are in and are likely a #1 seed, I think the Gaels are good to go as well.
West Coast Conference Champions: Gonzaga
Projected Bids: 2
There are others in the mix to be sure. the champions from the following conferences get an automatic bid: (Projected winners in parentheses/bids earned in bold) Amer. East (Vermont), Atlantic Sun (Florida Gulf Coast), Big Sky (Weber St.), Big South (Liberty), Big West (Long Beach St.), Colonial (James Madison), Horizon (Valpo), Ivy (Harvard), MAC (Akron), MAAC (Loyola-MD), MEAC (Norfolk St), Northeast(LIU-Brooklyn), Ohio Valley (Belmont), Patriot (Bucknell), Southern (Davidson) , Southland (S.F. Austin), Sun Belt (Western Kentucky), Summit (South Dakota St.), and SWAC (Southern)
Since this is still spec, nothing here is solid and we haven't even brought up the possibility of upsets. But those never happen, right?
Next Spec Sheet: Tomorrow
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