Tagged with "Picks & Predictions"
Week 11 NFL Thursday Pick
Category: NFL
Tags: NFL Picks & Predictions

 

 

NFL SCHEDULE – WEEK 11

Ive long gone on record as saying that I despise these Thursday Night games, if the NFL network wants a game to play why not an extra Monday Night game. A doubleheader of 7 and 10:15 would be good and West Coast teams would be getting plenty of primetime exposure with out having to start at 5 and 6pm their time. I loved the late Chargers-Raiders 11:35p EDT start and the first Monday doubleheader is just cool. Why not do that for the whole season. You avoid the short turnaround weeks that seem to be nothing but injuries waiting to happen. The only Thursday games should be Thanksgiving and that’s a tripleheader now, whats wrong with keeping that Thursday sacred in football mentality. OK I’m off the soapbox. The rest of the picks drop tomorrow or Friday. Odds provided today by ESPN since I didn’t feel like looking it up on bodog.net and since its for entertainment and comparison purposes only, it shouldn’t be something you take to your bookie and bet with.

 

Thursday, November 14

 

Colts (6-3) @ Titans (4-5)

LP Field Nashville, 8:25 (NFLN)

Favorite Colts by 2½

Last Week Colts lost to Rams 38-8, Titans lost to Jaguars 29-27

Fast Fact Colts have won eight of last nine meetings.

Both teams may have have got a case of the look-aheads and come in off of embarrassing losses. The Colts got hammered by the Rams in front of a shocked and sullen home crowd while the Titans suffered the humiliation of not only losing to woeful Jags but allowing their highest point total of their woeful season. The Titans are scrambling after the season ending injury of QB Jake Locker and haven’t really had a lot of offensive punch in spite of scoring 28 and 27 points the last two weeks. I think the Colts 30 point thrashing at the hands of the Rams, was a bad aberration. Andrew Luck should find the sledding much easier against a weak Titans secondary and with a real chance to bury the AFC South competition (if you want to call it that) the Colts will cash in big time.

Pick-Indianapolis

NFL Week 10 Thursday Pick
Category: NFL
Tags: NFL Picks & Predictions

The picks in full on Friday or Saturday...until then. (Sigh) I hope against hope here...

 

NFL SCHEDULE – WEEK 10

 

Thursday, November 7

 

Redskins (3-5) @ Vikings (1-7) 
Mall of America Field @ HHH Metrodome, Minneapolis 8:25 (NFLN)

Favorite Even

Last Week Redskins defeated Chargers 30-24 in OT, Vikings lost to Cowboys 27-23

Fast Fact Redskins RB Alfred Morris 5.2 yards per carry leads the NFL

The Redskins are searching for consistency in their very uneven season but are still very much in the weak NFC East, they have yet to win back to back games but face a woeful Vikes team that lost another heartbreaker last week against the Cowboys. RGIII seems to be rounding back into the dynamic form that made him a football darling last year. The Vikes still are a mess at QB. Christian Ponder is slated to start and his play has been vanilla at best, with no real threat from a passer the Redskins will likely follow the stop AP module. I keep tilting at the windmills, hoping for the breakout game for AP that the Vikes ride to a win. Maybe they get it here…maybe…

Pick-Minnesota

NFL Week 5 Picks (All the rest)
Category: NFL
Tags: NFL Picks & Predictions

 

Last week was better at 10-5 but there are some really good games this week so I will have to step my game up. As usual the odds are provided by bodog.net and are for entertainment and comparison purposes only. Princess Katie’s birthday wasThursday and since all my money is tied up in that, I haven’t an extra dime to spare you if you take the lines and get took. Please Note that Minnesota (1-3); Pittsburgh (0-4); Tampa Bay (0-4); Washington (1-3).are all on a bye this week.

 

 

 

 

Sunday, October 6

 

Ravens (2-2) @ Dolphins (3-1)

SunLife Stadium, Miami Gardens FL 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Dolphins by 3

Last Week Ravens lost to Bills 23-20, Dolphins lost to Saints 38-17

Fast Fact Dolphins QB Ryan Tannehill has been sacked a league high 18 times.

The Ravens are playing extremely uneven week to week. Joe Flacco has suddenly morphed back into an ordinary Joe and the once feared defense is not making anyone scared. On the other hand aside from the most recent rout by the Saints, the Dolphins have been playing a nice combo of effiecent passing by Ryan Tannehill an underrated running game and a good defense. I think that the Dolphins can bounce back strong from their primetime beatdown and roll to a win.

Pick-Miami

 

 

Lions (3-1) @ Packers (1-2)

Lambeau Field, Green Bay 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Packers by 7

Last Week Lions defeated Bears 40-32, Packers were on a bye

Fast Fact Two weeks removed from breaking an 0-21 streak in Washington, the Lions try to break a 22 game losing streak in Wisconsin (19 losses in Green Bay, 3 in Milwaukee)

The Lions are feeling quite froggy after having stood tall against the Bears. The Packers have been stewing about a nasty fall from ahead loss in Cincy two weeks ago. The Lions offense has been playing at a crisp level while their defense has played inconsistent yet good enough to keep the Lions from losing games that they would have back in the day. Im just not quite sure what to make of the Packers they don’t play solid defense and can get gashed way too often. If it was anyone else I would say the Packers are in trouble but I keep seeing the Packers winning a wild shootout.

Pick-Green Bay

 

Jacksonville (0-4) @ Rams (1-3)

Edward Jones, Dome St. Louis 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Rams by 12

Last Week Jaguars lost to Colts 37-3, Rams lost to Niners 35-11

Fast Fact The Jags have scored 31 points total for the season, the Broncos have scored more in each game

The Rams got thumped by the Niners and need someone to take it out on. Lo and behold, look who show up other than the ragged Jags who will get a boost with the return of Justin Blackmon to give the beleaguered Blaine Gabbert a reliable target. The Rams offense is suspect at best, a couple steps above the abysmal Jags offense. But the Jags defense will make any offense healthy and I see no reason why the Rams at home shouldn’t be able to pick on the Jags and get the win.

Pick-St. Louis

 

Chiefs (4-0)  @ Titans (3-1)

LP Field, Nashville 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Chiefs by 3

Last Week Chiefs defeated Giants 31-7, Titans defeated Jets 38-13

Fast Fact The Chiefs have scored 26 or more points in 3 of their four games, a feat that they only accomplised twice in the entire 2012 season.

One of the better games is in Nashville where the surprising Titans are hosting the equally surprising Chiefs. Both teams are loaded with underrated talent, the Chiefs Alex Smith is thriving under the tutelage of Andy Reid but the Titans are still trying to figure out what their QB situation will be after Jake Locker was shelved with a bad hip. The well traveled Ryan Fitzpatrick (Is he still in this league?) gets the starting nod. Ordinarily I’d like the Titans slightly at home as they are always a tough draw in Nashville but the Chiefs are looking kinda right and tight. That defense is no joke and I think that a road win is very doable here.

Pick-Kansas City

 

Patriots (4-0)  @ Bengals (2-2) 

Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite No Line

Last Week Patriots defeated Falcons 30-23, Bengals lost to Browns 17-6

Fast Fact Patriots QB Tom Brady has yet to lose to the Bengals, the Pats last loss to the Bengals in 2001, Brady was still the backup to Drew Bledsoe

The Pats won a thrilling shootout with the Falcons on Sunday night and head to the Jungle to face the maddeningly inconsistent Bengals. The whispers about Andy Dalton’s uneven play is growing somewhat and the defense while very capable can only do so much when the offense cant produce. . There is a sentiment that the Bengals are capable of pulling the upset. Are they? Sure, and it really wouldn’t be that big of an upset. Will it happen? Nope.

Pick-New England

 

Saints (4-0)@ Bears (3-1) 

Soldier Field, Chicago 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Saints by 1

Last Week Saints defeated Dolphins 38-17, Bears lost to Lions 40-32

Fast Fact Saints QB Drew Brees is 0-3 in Chicago

An interesting game in the Windy City as the hot Saints come in to face the Bears. Drew Brees has never looked sharper, dissecting the Dolphins rather easily on Monday night. As soon as I express some confidence in the Bears and Jay Cutler they revert to old form and lose a puzzler against the Lions as the defense again got hammered for big yards, big plays and 40 points. What little confidence I had in the Bears and Cutler is just about nil. The Saints aren’t a perfect squad but you gotta like the defensive swagger that defensive coordinator Rob Ryan brings to this group. I think that the make it a tough day for Cutler and the opps that Brees will get as a result of it will get him his first win in the Midway.

Pick-New Orleans

 

 

Eagles (1-3) @NY Giants (0-4)

MetLife Stadium; East Rutherford, NJ 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Giants by 3

Last Week Eagles lost to Broncos 52-20, Giants lost to Chiefs 31-7

Fast Fact

These two proud teams have fallen on some serious hard times. Just when I was ready to celebrate the fast break offense of the Eagles they clutch up and just look abysmal in the past three weeks, the nadir being an awful beating in Denver where the Broncos looked more like the fast break offense and the Eagles looked like they were struggling to catch their breath much less keep up. The G-Men are just as sad a story getting hammered in KC by a Chiefs team that did just about whatever they wanted. Eli Manning’s seemingly fragile psyche is getting smashed to bits and Tom Coughlin’s set gets hotter by the second less than two seasons after winning a Super Bowl. I cant see his seat getting any cooler. While the Eagles have problems they should be able to make things tougher on a G-Men squad that is a poor facsimile of a once great team.

Pick-Philadelphia

 

Seahawks (4-0) @ Colts (3-1)

Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Colts by 3

Last Week Seahawks defeated Texans 23-20 in OT,  Colts defeated Jaguars 37-3

Fast Fact Seahawks are off to their first ever 4-0 start

It’s a face off of two of the members of the highly heralded QB class of 2012, Russell Wilson and Andrew Luck have piloted their respective squads out to fine starts but haven’t really put up eye popping numbers. Though Luck did have a solid game last week in routing the pitiful Jags, Wilson was having a ragged day until engineering a late comeback to push the Seahawks to a win in OT in Houston. This game looks on the surface to be a duel between two of the hot young QBs but I think that the Colts defense is better than advertised. Call me crazy (shaddap) but I just don’t see the Seahawks coming east a second time and being able to get away with a so-so performance and win. Indy will never get to the levels of the extreme rowdiness of Seattle’s Century Link Field but I think that they will make just enough to make a difference and Indy will steal a tight one

Pick-Indianapolis (Upset of the Week)

 

Panthers (1-2) @ Cardinals (2-2)

University of Phoenix Stadium; Glendale, AZ 4:05 (FOX)

Favorite Panthers by 2

Last Week Panthers were on a bye, Cardinals defeated Bucs 13-10

Fast Fact The 38-0 week 3 shutout of the Giants was the Panthers biggest win margin in franchise history

The Panthers well rested after a whitewash of the G-Men face a Cards team that is its usual up and down self. The defense has played decent but the offense is punchless and struggles to score points. (I mean really 13 against the Bucs?) Cam Newton will never be high on my list of top flight QB’s but he has played relatively well in his last two games. It will be the irresitable force of the Panthers 3rd ranked running game against a stingy Cards run defense that is ranked 2nd against the run. To be sure this is a tossup game. I want to pick the home team but the Cards offense is a bit to shaky for me to be confident in picking them.

Pick-Carolina

 

Broncos (4-0)  @ Cowboys (2-2)

AT&T Stadium; Arlington, TX 4:25 (CBS)

Favorite Broncos by 9

Last Week Broncos defeated Eagles 52-20, Cowboys lost to Chargers 30-21

Fast Fact Broncos 167 points through 4 games is 2nd all time highest scoring for the 1st four games of the season (1966 Cowboys)

With the rescheduling of the Chargers-Raiders game this becomes the start of three nationally televised games and the first one is a good one. The high powered high scoring Denver offense heading into the Jerry dome to face a Pokes team that puts on a brave face in talking tough about being sick of hearing about Peyton Manning but given their weak secondary that was toasted to north of 400 yards by Philip Rivers what would one think that the Jedi master would do? With a number of weapons Manning is playing at a rare form even for his brilliant career. The only hope the Pokes have is to hope that Tony Romo can  stand taller against Manning. Do I think that he can? If you believe that, I have some really nice oceanfront property in Kansas that might interest you…

Pick-Denver (Lock of the Week)

 

Texans (2-2) @ 49ers(2-2)                         

Candlestick Park, San Francisco 8:30 (NBC)

Favorite 49ers by 7

Last Week Texans lost to Seahawks 23-20, 49ers  defeated Rams 35-11

Fast Fact This series is dead even, both teams have split the two meetings, scored 41 points total in those two meetings with the home team winning by 3.

The Niners were getting some whispers of suspect in their previous two games getting outscored 56-10 before bouncing back to whip the Rams, while the Texans looked decent in their first two games only to get hammered in Baltimore then cough up a late lead to the Seahawks at home. Matt Schaub continues to struggle and a local Houston eatery named a sandwich option a Schaub meaning that one could “pick-six” options on the sandwich. That possibility could be a reality here as the ball hawking 49ers defense could make the game a long one. If defensive ace Brian Cushing isn’t cleared with his concussion struggles it could make things just as tough for a Texans defense that has played unusually below the top shelf level that one has expected from them as of late. I think that the Niners continue to break out of their mini-slump while the Texans continue to struggle.

Pick-San Francisco

 

Chargers (2-2) @ Raiders (1-3)                                    

O.Co Coliseum, Oakland 11:35 (NFLN)

Favorite No Line

Last Week Chargers defeated Cowboys 30-21, Raiders lost to Redskins 24-14

Fast Fact  Raiders havent scored 21 or more point in 12 straight games the longest current streak in the NFL

This game was originally a 4:25p EDT game rescheduled due to the MLB playoff game that is being played on Saturday, the only stadium that is shared by an MLB and NFL team needs a 24 hour turnaround to realign the stadium to football configurations. So an unusual scenario has developed, the East Bay will see a later version of football than even a primetime slot would allow. The Chargers looked sharp against the Cowboys with Philip Rivers strafing a weak Poke secondary repeatedly for big yards. He should be able to do the same against a Raiders defense that plays okay, but is on the field more because of a weak offense. The Chargers are better than their 2-2 record would indicate and I think that they prove that handily here.

Pick-San Diego

 

 

Monday, October 7

 

NY Jets (2-2) @ Falcons (1-3)                                      

Georgia Dome, Atlanta 8:30 (ESPN)

Favorite Falcons by 10

Last Week Jets lost to Titans 38-13, Falcons lost to Patriots 30-23

Fast Fact The Falcons have never lost three straight games with Matt Ryan as QB

The Falcons host their second straight prime time affair as the Jets come to town to finish the week. Matt Ryan took a little too long to get rolling and couldn’t bring the Falcons all the way back against the Pats. The grins and jeers from Rex Ryan were few and far between as the Jets got smashed in Nashville. This is another case in which records are very deceiving the Falcons are no where near as bad as a 1-3 record would indicate and the Jets 2-2 record is way above expectations. Geno Smith will be in this league for a while, you can bank on that but he will have his struggles. Facing a Falcons defense that will look for the big play, they will make things tough. Im looking for Ryan to have a big game at home.

Pick-Atlanta

 

Last Week: 10-5 (Lock Correct, Upset Incorrect)

Overall: 37-26

Locks: 3-1

Upsets: 2-2NNFLNFL,

Week 5 NFL Thursday Pick
Category: NFL
Tags: NFL Picks & Predictions

Before I get started, 17 years ago, my life was changed irrevocably when I was introduced to a beautiful girl. Happy Birthday to the first Princess of Hoodwood.

Thursday, October 3

 

Bills (2-2) @ Browns (2-2)

Browns Stadium, Cleveland 8:20 (NFLN)

Favorite Browns by 4

Last Week Bills defeated Ravens 23-20, Browns beat Bengals 17-6

Fast Fact With a win Brwons would be over .500 after five games for the first time since 2001

Brian Hoyer is looking like the hometown kid that made good. His solid play has picked the Browns out of the dumps after the Trent Richardson trade. The Bills have looked better each week in spite of some spotty play by the offense and the off again on again status of CJ Spiller who is a go tonight. To be honest this game is a tossup, I would like to say I have confidence in either one of the squads but you are never quite sure which team shows up on either side. Ill go with the resurgent home squad to grind out a tough win and continue to confound the so-called experts that thought that they were cashing their season out early with the Richardson trade.

Pick-Cleveland

Final 2013 Spec Sheet
Category: NCAA
Tags: NCAA Picks & Predictions

 

The auto bids have just about been all handed out and now the final anticipation begins. The 31 teams that have won their respective conference championship are just waiting to see where their travel plans are and for who to prepare for. There are 37 teams that are going to be selected to join these 31 auto bids as at-large selection. Who will they be? Here is who is in and who I think is going to be in the big Dance. I have the #1 seeds Indiana, Gonzaga, Louisville and Kansas. All but Indiana won their conference tourneys and Indiana won their first regular season title in 20 years.

 

 

Atlantic Coast
Conference Class-Power

In: Miami
Going: Duke, North Carolina, North Carolina State, Maryland, Virginia
Skinny on the ACC: The Canes win their first ACC title since joining the league 20 years ago and the 2nd consecutive Florida based team to win the ACC conference championship. The Dukies quarterfinal loss prevents them from garnering a #1 seed. The Terrapins and Cavs got deep enough in the ACC tourney to not be left behind.

Atlantic Coast Conference Champions: Miami

Projected Bids: 6

Atlantic Ten
Conference Class-Major
In: Saint Louis

Going: Va. Commonwealth, Temple, Butler

Hoping For the Best, but will get left out : LaSalle, UMass

The A-10 Spec is: Saint Louis grinded out a tough win to earn their first automatic bid since 2000, VCU, Butler and Temple are good to go as well. I cant put LaSalle in. I cant see the selection committee giving the Explorers the benefit of the doubt.

Atlantic 10 Conference Champions: Saint Louis

Projected Bids: 4

Big East

Conference Class-Power
In: Louisville

Going: Syracuse, Georgetown, Marquette, Louisville, Notre Dame, Pitt ,Cincinnati, Villanova,

Hoping For The Best, but will get left out: Providence,
Big East Skinny:  The Cardinals used a frightening 2nd half blitz to rally to a win over Syracuse and win the final Big East tournament (at least with the configuration that we know and love) The cut line will stop at Villanova. Providence flunked its chance to crash in with its first round loss

 

Big East Champions: Louisville

Projected bids: 8

Big Ten
Conference Class-Power
IN: Ohio State

Going: Indiana, Michigan, Michigan State, Illinois, Minnesota, Wisconsin

Hoping For The Best, but will get left out: Iowa
The word on the Big Ten is: Can the Hoosiers get a #1 seed without winning the Big Ten? I think that they do. Ohio State grinded out a tough win over Wisconsin and gets the auto bid. The teams that are going have not changed but the only question is where is the cut line here? I think Minnesota in spite of their disastrous last six weeks should make it in, barely. Iowa gets caught on the wrong side of the cut line this year

 

Big Ten Conference Champions: Ohio State

Projected Bids: 7

Big 12
Conference Class-Power
IN: Kansas

Going: Oklahoma State, Iowa State, Kansas State

Hoping For The Best, but will get left out: Baylor, Oklahoma
Skinny from the heartland:  The Jayhawks may have very well locked down a #1 seed here. The Wildcats, Cyclones and Pokes are tourney bound. But Baylor and Oklahoma are another pair of teams that are sitting on the sidelines sweating out the possible bid stealing scenarios from other conferences. But as it stands now I still only have four teams coming out.

Big 12 Conference Championship: Kansas

Projected Bids: 4

Conference USA
Conference Class-Major
IN: Memphis
Hoping For The Best, but will get left out: Southern Miss
Oh Say Can You C-USA Spec: The Tigers are Golden Eagles played a double overtime thriller, but the Tigers snag the  win and will ultimately be the only team coming out here

Conference USA Champions: Memphis

Projected Bids: 1

Missouri Valley
Conference Class-Mid Major
IN: Creighton

Safe: Wichita State
Missouri Valley Skinny:  Bravo to the Bluejays! They edged the Shockers in a thrilling finale and clinch the auto bid, Im pretty sure that Shockers will garner an at large bid. Northern Iowa is off the sheet and will not get a bid after losing in their first game.

Missouri Valley Conference Champions: Creighton

Projected Bids: 2


Mountain West
Conference Class-Major
IN: New Mexico

Going: UNLV, San Diego State, Colorado State, Boise State
Spec from the Mountains:  The Lobos howled their way to a championship in front of a rollicking crowd in Vegas. The Rebels, Aztecs and Rams are good to go? The Broncos? They may sweat all the way to the last region but I think that they will get in.

Mountain West Conference Champions: New Mexico

Projected Bids: 5


Pacific 12
Conference Class-Power
In: Oregon

Safe: UCLA, Cal, Colorado, Arizona

Hoping For the Best, but will get left out: Arizona State,
Spec from the left coast:  The Ducks are quacking all the way to the dance, leaving no doubt that they are the Pac-12’s best. The Bruins proved their worth all season and are in no danger as are Wildcats. Heres where its gets tricky Cal should have enough weight to offset their horrid first round stumble. Colorado avoided a bad 1st round loss and played fairly honorable against Arizona so I think that they are good but the cut line hit Arizona State whose poor numbers and weak resume cant offset their tight win over Stanford and tough loss to top seed UCLA. They get left behind

Pacific 12 Conference Champions: Oregon

Projected Bids: 5



Southeastern
Conference Class-Power
In: Ole Miss

Safe: Mizzou, Florida, Alabama
Hoping For the Best, but will get left out:  UK, Tennessee
Spec is Down South: Wellllp! Ole Miss smashed any doubt of their tourney validity by upending top seed Florida to lock up the auto bid. I have the Gators along with Mizzou and Bama. Tennessee really needed to get to the semis to have a realistic chance and Kentucky isn’t really in the conversation other than being the first defending tourney champ since UNC in 2010 to not return to the tourney to defend its title.

Southeastern Conference Champions: Ole Miss

Projected Bids: 4


Western Athletic

Conference Class- Major
In: New Mexico State

Hoping For The Best, But won’t get in: Louisiana Tech, Denver
Spec on the WAC: The Aggies took advantage of upsets to cruise to the title and make this a one bid conference.

 

Western Athletic Conference Champions: New Mexico State

Projected Bids: 1

West Coast
Conference Class- Mid Major

In: Gonzaga
Going: St. Marys
West Coast Spec: The Bulldogs are in and are likely a #1 seed, I think the Gaels are good to go as well.

West Coast Conference Champions: Gonzaga

Projected Bids: 2

There are others in the mix to be sure. the champions from the following conferences get an automatic bid:  (bids earned in bold) Amer. East (Albany), Atlantic Sun (Florida Gulf Coast), Big Sky (Montana), Big South (Liberty), Big West (Pacific), Colonial (James Madison),  Horizon (Valpo), Ivy  (Harvard), MAC (Akron), MAAC (Iona), MEAC (North Carolina A&T), Northeast(LIU-Brooklyn), Ohio Valley (Belmont), Patriot (Bucknell), Southern (Davidson) , Southland (Northwestern St.), Sun Belt (Western Kentucky), Summit (South Dakota St.), and SWAC (Southern)

Final Spec Review on Monday
 

 

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