Tagged with "Predictions"
NFL Week 6 Picks
Category: NFL
Tags: NFL Picks & Predictions

If not for a mistype (I wanted to pick Cleveland and typed Tennessee) and a pick that I even said as much that was going to be a pick that I was going to regret (Cincinnati) I would have notched 11 wins, but 9 is still a decent number. Still nonetheless I strive to get better and submitted for your review perusal and approval are this weekís peerless picks. The Chiefs (lost to 49ers 22-17) and the Saints (defeated Buccaneers 37-31 in OT) are the only teams with a bye this week.† Odds are provided by ESPN.com and are strictly for entertainment and comparison purposes only. I will not hesitate to rat you to your bookie if you go into hiding after betting the lines and losing.

Thursday

Colts (3-2) @ Texans (3-2)

NRG Stadium, Houston †8:25 (CBS/NFLN)

Favorite Colts by 2Ĺ

Last Week Colts defeated Ravens 20-13, Texans lost to Cowboys 20-17 in OT

Fast Fact Colts lead the series by the count 20-4; a visiting team has yet to win a Thursday night game this year

The week leads off with a crucial divisional showdown. The Colts are fast putting their 0-2 start further and further in their rearview as they have reeled off 3 straight quality wins. Andrew Luck is looking more and more like one of the elite signal callers in the game with his crisp precise passing. The Texans took a tough loss to the Pokes but have one of the more feared defensive units in the game with the brooding bruiser JJ Watt leading the charge. This is a game way too close to call and happily for CBS and NFLN will be a tenser drama than the five previous Thursday. I think that the Colts should be able to control the offensive tempo and put enough points to outslug the home team.

Pick-Indianapolis

Sunday

Patriots (3-2) @ Bills (3-2)

Ralph Wilson Stadium; Orchard Park, NY 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Patriots by 2Ĺ

Last Week Patriots defeated Bengals 43-17, Bills defeated Lions 17-14

Fast Fact This is the first pro football that Wilson family has not been involved in since 1959

Shaking off rumors of infighting and an imminent collapse, the Pats throttled the Bengals on Sunday Night looking like Pats teams that weíve grown accustomed to, while the Bills gave the Wilson family a nice sendoff as former owners with a win in Detroit (where the Wilson family is originally from) I donít think the Pats demise was seriously exaggerated and the Bills are still a team searching for a real identity. The Pats have been dominant in BíLo and I donít see a real reason why they shouldnít win

Pick-New England

Panthers (3-2) @ Bengals (3-1)

Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Bengals by 6 Ĺ

Last Week Panthers defeated Bears 31-24, Bengals lost to Patriots 43-17

Fast Fact The Bengals are tied with the Pats for the longest current home win streak at 11

The Panthers remain one of the more puzzling teams in the NFL, playing like a team with something to prove they rallied smartly to beat the Bears. While the Bengals hoping to make a big impression on a national stage got housed on Sunday Night. I donít think that the previous game were true indicators of the teamsí outlook for the season. The Panthers still have no running game and the return of Vontaze Burfict will bolster a defense that got trampled by the Pats two tight end sets, though their offense will be missing star wideout AJ Green (no relation) The Bengals have played a lot better at home and I donít trust Carolina to be able to play good enough offensively to change that thinking.

Pick-Cincinnati

Lions (3-2) @ Vikings (2-3)

TCF Bank Stadium, Minneapolis 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Vikings by 2

Last Week Lions lost to Bills 17-14, Vikings lost to Packers 42-10

Fast Fact The Vikings have won 13-4

The Lions whined about the Bills carrying Jim Schwartz off the field as their defensive coordinator but the fact remains they took another puzzling loss and had no one to blame but themselves. They head to Minnesota to face a Vikes team that got strafed and steamrolled on Thursday night. With the return to health of their dynamic QB Teddy Bridgewater the Vikes have high hopes for a better offensive output, but facing a stingy Lions defense who lead the league yards and first downs allowed. With Megatron Johnson slowed and possibly out with an injury the onus falls on Golden Tate to pick up the slack. I will go out on a limb and say the more things changeÖ

Pick-Minnesota

Steelers (3-2) @ Browns (2-2)

First Energy Stadium, Cleveland 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Browns by 1

Last Week Steelers defeated Jaguars 17-9, Browns defeated Titans 29-28

Fast Fact The Browns 25 point rally to win over the Titans last week was the largest comeback for a road team in NFL history

The Steelers have been tottering along, their offense and defense is becoming the textbook definition of inconsistent. That said the Browns have quietly gotten rather dangerous with a heroic rally from a 28-3 deficit to shock the Titans before a stunned Nashville throng. I really donít trust either team but Iím looking at the Steelers propensity to blow leads. Iím going to regret this but the Browns have been more sharper on offense and play tough in the second half. If they have a lead at halftime they could run the Steelers out. Here goes nothing, I call this an upset because the Steelers like to lord their dominance over the Browns and I think that they get another comeuppance this week.

Pick-Cleveland (Upset of the week)

Ravens (3-2) @ Buccaneers (1-4)

Raymond James Stadium, Tampa 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Ravens by 3Ĺ

Last Week Ravens lost to Colts 20-13 Buccaneers lost to Saints 37-31 in OT

Fast Fact Both teams sport 3 game winning streaks against their opposite conference

The Ravens were hampered by a stunning inability to move the ball at all against the Colts, after moving the ball easily the week before. They should be able to get their offense back rolling against the Bucs who give up points by the bushel and yards by the acre. Iím looking at Joe Flacco to get his touch back against a putrid Bucs secondary while Mike Glennon continues to struggle against the Ravens rejuvenated defensive corps

Pick-Baltimore

Packers (3-2) @ Dolphins (2-2)

Sun Life Stadium; Miami Gardens, FL 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Packers by 3

Last Week Packers defeated Vikings 42-10, Dolphins were on their bye

Fast Fact The Packers are 3-10 against the Dolphins, their worst ledger against any team

The Packers barely broke a sweat in thrashing the Vikes while the Dolphins are well rested after a bye following a London style beatdown of the Raiders. I think that the Dolphins will be able to move the ball against the weak Packers run defense. I know I should go with the Packers crisp offensive efficiency but something just tells me the Packers will melt in the south Florida heat. Call it a hunch

Pick-Miami

Broncos (3-1) @ Jets (1-4)

MetLife Stadium; East Rutherford, NJ 1:00 (FOX, CBS, NBC, ESPN)

Favorite Broncos by 8Ĺ

Last Week Broncos defeated Cardinals 41-20, Jets lost to Chargers 31-0

Fast Fact Peyton Manning needs five touchdown passes to match Brett Favreís record career mark. Manning has thrown five touchdowns eight times in his career, including twice last season

The Broncos toyed with the Cards for a while then blew them away behind PMannings precise passing, while the Jets are looking more and more confused with each passing week. Geno Smith is looking like more and more like a buster quarterback than the long awaited franchise savior. I donít care if the Broncos are a western team heading east, they are just that much better than the Jets and the grins and jeers from their buffoon coach are getting more and more far in between. This game shouldnít even be close.

Pick-Denver (Lock of the Week)

Jaguars (0-5) @ Titans (1-4)

LP Field, Nashville 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Titans by 4

Last Week Jaguars lost to Steelers 17-9, Titans lost to Browns 29-28

Fast Fact Since allowing ten points in their opening win at Kansas City the Titans have allowed 32.3 points a game in their four game losing streak

The Jags have been playing better as of late but have no wins to show for it, meanwhile the memory of the upset win in Kansas City is but a distant memory as the losses are piling up none more painful than the fall from ahead loss to Cleveland. I like the development of Blake Bortles, though the Jags have no wins to show for it. There will be one for his efforts today

Pick-Jacksonville

Chargers (4-1) @ Raiders (0-4)

O.Co Coliseum, Oakland 4:05 (CBS)

Favorite Chargers by 7Ĺ

Last Week Chargers defeated Jets 31-0, Raiders were on their bye

Fast Fact The Raiders have the longest NFL losing streak at 11

The Chargers looking chillingly crisp in dismantling the woeful Jets, and get another joke team to play in the Raiders who have just looked abysmal. Do the Chargers have the tools to challenge the Broncos and Chiefs in the AFC West, playing like this? You betcha. They are solid on both sides of the ball and Philip Rivers is enjoying a renaissance as a signal caller. The game? You think the Raiders are really going to give it a game? Ok itís in Oakland, and it might stay close for a while over under is one quarter

Pick-San Diego

Cowboys (4-1) @ Seahawks (3-1)

CenturyLink Field, Seattle 4:25 (FOX)

Favorite Seahawks by 8Ĺ

Last Week Cowboys defeated Texans 20-17 in OT, Seahawks defeated Washington 27-17

Fast Fact Seahawks QB Russell Wilson leads the NFL in completion percentage at 70.3 Cowboys QB Tony Romo is second at 69.2

The Pokes continue to be the darling of the media pundits with their continued strong start, while the Seahawks dominated the game more than the scoreboard would show in DC. The Pokes offensive balance has been their strength and DeMarco Murray has been dominant but they have played weak teams with the exception of the Texans. The Seahawks were three dumb penalties away from blowing Washington out, those three penalties wiped out 21 points. I refuse to jump on the Pokes bandwagon (I never will to be sure, but Iím still leery of their legitimacy as an NFC contender) yet. I think winning the noise factory that is CenturyLink is too tall an order and that Seahawks defense will stop Murray and badger Romo into mistakes. The spread is way too high, but the Seahawks still win.

Pick-Seattle

Washington (1-4) @ Cardinals (3-1)

University of Phoenix Stadium; Glendale, AZ 4:25 (FOX)

Favorite Cardinals by 2Ĺ

Last Week Washington lost to Seahawks 27-17, Cardinals lost to Broncos 41-20

Fast Fact Washington has won the last seven meetings

Washington got trampled on something serious on Monday while the Cards hung with the Broncos for a while then got worn out late. I just do not trust Washingtonís ability to move the ball in spite of Kirk Cousins discovering that DeSean Jackson is a viable offensive threat. The Cards defense while not as good as Seattle is good and should rebound nicely but their lack of offensive punch is going to be a troubling point on more than a few occasions though I donít think that this will be one of them.

Pick-Arizona

Bears (2-3) @ Falcons (2-3)

Georgia Dome, Atlanta 4:25 (FOX)

Favorite Falcons by 3

Last Week Bears lost to Panthers 31-24, Falcons lost to Giants 30-20

Fast Fact Falcons WR Devin Hester recorded 19 of his 20 return TDís with his opponent

The Bears are a tough team to figure, and Jay Cutler is regressing to his usual maddening inconsistent play. The Falcons for their part are looking like a one dimensional team, tough at home but road kill outside of the friendly confines of the ATL. The thing I detest about the Bears is the minute you write them off they roll to wins and when you think that they are coming together they fall flat. I donít trust Matty Ice that much anymore but I trust Cutler less.

Pick-Atlanta

Giants (3-2) @ Eagles (4-1)

Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia 8:30 (NBC)

Favorite Eagles by 2 Ĺ

Last Week Giants defeated Falcons 30-20, Eagles defeated Rams 34-28

Fast Fact Giants QB Eli Manning is completing 70.1 percent of his passes and has a 115.2 passer rating in the Giants three game win streak

The G-Men have looked sharp in their 3 game win streak and head into Philly to face their bitter divisional rival. The Eagles are 4-1 but their offense is far from the juggernaut that it was last year. They are winning games with defensive and special teamís proficiency. It seems that Eli Manning is getting the hang of the new offense that was installed and is spreading the ball around more. I donít know why but I canít shake the feeling that the spotty play of Shady McCoy isnít a temporary thing and that Nick Foles was a one season flash. The G-Men are a ragged mutt of a team but they seem to always be right there in the mix when you are ready to write them off.

Pick-New York Giants

Monday October 13

49ers (3-2) @ Rams (1-3)

Edward Jones Dome, St. Louis 8:30 (ESPN)

Favorite 49ers by 3Ĺ

Fast Fact The Niners have allowed 282.8 yards of offense a game and have held the last two passers to under 200 yards passing

Last Week 49ers defeated Chiefs 22-17, Rams lost to Eagles 34-28

The Niners grinded out an ugly win against the Chiefs but winning ugly beats the pretty losses in St. Louis where the Rams rally in Philly fell short. Jim Harbaughís seat seems to get warmer by the day. But the offense still plays efficient and the defense is still its rugged self. The Rams are just a mess, their offense is way too inconsistent and though rookie Austin Davis seems capable he will make mistakes and you canít make mistakes against this defense.

Pick-San Francisco

Last Week: †9-6 (Lock Correct/Upset Incorrect)

Overall: 43-33

Locks: 4-1

Upsets: 1-4

NFL Week 5 Picks
Category: NFL
Tags: NFL Picks & Predictions

Thursday

Vikings (2-2) @ Packers (2-2)

Lambeau Field, Green Bay 8:30†(CBS/NFLN)

Favorite Packers by 7 Ĺ

Last Week Vikings defeated Falcons 41-28, Packers defeated Bears 38-17

Fast Fact Something has to give the Packers QB Aaron Rodgers has averaged 309 yards passing in his last nine games against the Vikings, the Vikings have yet to allow a 300 yard passer this season

With Teddy Bridgewater offering a hopeful glimpse of the future in a solid win at a rollicking TCF Bank Stadium, the Vikings are still faced with the cold reality of having to start Christian Ponder against the Pack. Meanwhile Aaron Rodgers backed up his soothsaying comments with a solid performance in a rout of the Bears. If the Vikes had Adrian Peterson, I would like them to play ball control against the Packís weak running defense. They have to hope instead that the development of Matt Asiata and Jerrick McKinnon will continue. As much as I hope that Im wrong, I think Rodgers and his battery of receivers wear the tired Viking defense out and pull away late

Pick- Green Bay

Sunday October 5

Ravens (3-1) @ Colts (2-2)

Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis 1:00†(CBS)

Favorite Colts by 3

Last Week Ravens defeated Panthers 38-10, Colts defeated Titans 41-17

Fast Fact The Colts have the NFLís highest scoring offense averaging 34 points a game

The Ravens thrashed the Panthers and have put their opening week loss far in the rearview, Colts have shaken off their own slow start with a pair of high scoring routs over divisional opponents. I like the balance of the Colts offense, even if Hakeem Nicks thinks heís the best receiver in the NFL (I think Messrs. Johnson, Marshall, Green, Bryant and Fitzgerald might disagree but I digress) the Colts can score points. I just donít trust the Ravens scattergun running game and Joe Flacco is way overdue for one of those head scratcher games.

Pick-Indianapolis

Texans (0-0) @ Cowboys (0-0)

AT&T Stadium; Arlington, TX 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Cowboys by 6Ĺ

Last Week Texans defeated Bills 23-17, Cowboys defeated Saints 38-17

Fast Fact Cowboys RB DeMarco Murray has gained at least 100 yards and scored a touchdown in each of his first four games, joining a select company of RBís to have done so (Jim Brown, OJ Simpson & Emmitt Smith)

The Texans used their rugged defense to stop the Bills in Houston last week while the Pokes shined in a primetime beatdown of the Saints. The Texans will need to test the Pokes defense with a real balanced attack and see if Arian Foster is all the back from nagging injuries because itís dangerous to depend on Ryan Fitzpatrick. Tony Romoís sycophantic faithful will point to his recent performances a proof that his is truly an elite quarterback, Ill reserve my doubtful judgment for later in the year but as it stands now the Pokes are overdue for a flat performance and I think the Texans defense will be able to slow their running game and put more pressure on Romo and steal a win

Pick-Houston (Upset of the Week)

Rams (1-2) @ Eagles (3-1)

Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia 1:00†(FOX)

Favorite Eagles by 6Ĺ

Last Week Rams were on their bye, Eagles lost to 49ers

Fast Fact The Eagles have won five of the last six meetings in Philly

Info on the game The Rams had a week to think about their inglorious fall from ahead loss to the Cowboys, while the Eagles are trying to figure how to play with a lead. The Rams are still trying to find some kind of identity on either side of the ball and asking young Austin Davis to continue to keep the Rams modest offense output going. I think asking Davis to win in the hostile Linc environment is a bit too much at this juncture

Pick- Philadelphia

Falcons (2-2) @ Giants (2-2)

MetLife Stadium East Rutherford, NJ 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Giants by 4

Last Week Falcons lost to Vikings 41-28, Giants defeated Washington 45-14

Fast Fact Eli Manning has nine TD passes in four games in 2014 exactly half the number that he had in all of 2013

The Falcons got trampled by the Vikes and despite their prolific offense are having trouble stopping other offenses. The G-Men are feeling good after Eli Manning led them to a big Thursday night win. I have no doubt that Matty Ice will put up big numbers and the Falcons will score, but that defenseÖ.ehhhh. I donít trust the Falcons outside the dirty dirty and I think the G-Men are good enough to continue their recent win streak.

Pick- New York Giants

Steelers (2-2) @ Jaguars (0-4)

EverBank Field, Jacksonville 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Steelers by 6

Last Week Steelers lost to Bucs 27-24, Jaguars lost to Chargers 33-14

Fast Fact The Steelers are 2nd in the NFL in penalties at 11 per game

The Steelers are reeling after a humiliating last second lost to the woeful Bucs before a stunned home crowd, but facing a Jags team that is just not that good one would think that they would have their way. Offensively inept and defensively worn out, itís just a matter of time before the Jags find a way to crumble. The Steelers should bring a legion of their notoriously rowdy partisan fans to fill EverBank Field and make it a semi-home game for the visitors.

Pick-Pittsburgh

Bills (2-2) @ Lions (3-1)

Ford Field, Detroit 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Lions by 6 Ĺ

Last Week Bills lost to Texans 23-17, Lions defeated Jets 24-17

Fast Fact Lions are allowing an NFL low 267.3 yards a game

The Bills took a tough road loss in Houston and in are in the unfortunate position of catching the rising Lions in their formidable crib, but the Bills may have caught a break with possible absence of Megatron Johnson. Starting wily well-traveled vet Kyle Orton who has some familiarity with the Lions, the Bills have at best a puncher chance. I think the Lions stingy defense makes life tough for Orton and the Lions continue their impressive start

Pick- Detroit

Bears (2-2) @ Panthers (2-2)

Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Panthers by 2 Ĺ

Last Week Bears lost to Packers 38-17, Panthers lost to Ravens 38-10

Fast Fact Bears RB Matt Forte is averaging 6.3 yards a carry in four games against the Panthers

The Bears were repeatedly strafed by Aaron Rodgers in taking a sound beating at home, while the Panthers got hammered by the Ravens. I am no fan of Jay Cutlerís play but I think for some bizarre reason he plays better on the road than in the supposed friendly confines of Soldier Field. With the Panthers seemingly giving a tryout to any every serviceable running back in the area the burden falls even heavier on Cam Newton. I think that the Bears defense recovers enough to hold their own and Cutler get the Bears enough scores to get the win

Pick-Chicago

Buccaneers (1-3) @ Saints (1-3)

Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Saints by 10Ĺ

Last Week Buccaneers defeated Steelers 27-24, Saints lost to Cowboys 38-17

Fast Fact Saints have won nine straight at home and five in a row over Tampa Bay

The Bucs stunned the Steelers and most of the football world with a gutty last minute game winning drive. The Saints looked discombobulated in a getting housed by the Pokes in primetime. I think that both results were one off flukes, the Bucs have a book full of problems on both sides of the ball and heading into the Big Easy at the wrong time. The Saints have a milieu of problems themselves but their offense playing at home will cover a bunch of those warts. Itíll be an ugly game to be certain but the Saints are money at home and Iím hoping the Bucs donít burn me again on a lock

Pick-New Orleans (Lock of the Week)

Browns (1-2) @ Titans (1-3)

LP Field, Nashville 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Titans by 1 Ĺ

Last Week Browns were on their bye, Titans lost to Colts 41-17

Fast Fact Browns have lost 22 of last 24 road games.

The Browns are a tough team to figure but have been showing real promise, the same canít be said for the Titans whoís big win at Kansas City in week 1 looks more like a massive fluke that a sign that they are turning the corner to being respectable. I know the Browns are a really bad road team as of late, but something is telling me that they are due for an upset win.

Pick-Tennessee

Cardinals (3-0) @ Broncos (2-1)

Sports Authority Field @ Mile High, Denver 4:05†(FOX)

Favorite Broncos by 7Ĺ

Last Week Both teams were on their bye

Fast Fact Peyton Manning needs one touchdown pass to be 2nd QB to hit the 500 mark (Brett Favre)

Both teams are coming into this game well rested but off different scenarios the Cards have used a bruising defense to win their first three games, the Broncos are still trying to figure out their Seattle jinx as well as try to locate their missing running game. As much as the Cards Drew Stanton has been a capable fill in for the injured Carson Palmer, I think that asking him to pull a win out of the nasty environs of the Mile High madhouse is asking too much. Manning may struggle some with the rugged Cards defense but I think that he does enough to get them the win.

Pick-Denver

Jets (1-3) @ Chargers (3-1)

Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego 4:25 (CBS)

Last Week Jets lost to Lions 24-17, Chargers defeated Jaguars 33-14

Fast Fact Chargers by 6Ĺ

The Jets were beat up by the Lions and the questions arise anew for the jeering grinning Rex Ryan, how long will it be before heís forced to go back to Geno Smith who just clearly looked uncomfortable as Jets signal caller. As it stands now, Michael Vick is running things in Gotham, meanwhile things couldnít be brighter for the Chargers who show no ill effects of their opening Monday loss and have rattled off three wins in a row. I like what grizzled vet Philip Rivers is doing with the Chargers offense and their defense is quietly one of the best in the conference. The Jets are just not up to snuff.

Pick-San Diego

Chiefs (2-2) @ 49ers (0-0)

Leviís Stadium; Santa Clara, CA 4:25 (CBS)

Favorite 49ers by 5

Last Week Chiefs defeated Patriots 41-14, 49ers defeated Eagles 26-21

Fast Fact The Chiefs have only played on the other side of the bay 5 times winning onceÖin 1971 their first visit to San Francisco

The Chiefs pounded the Pats on Monday night firmly reestablishing themselves as an AFC contender, meanwhile the Niners rallied smartly to garner their first ever win in their new crib. Many are playing up the Alex Smith returning to the city where he was initially drafted but I think that the real story will be how Jamaal Charles holds up against the Niner defense that still have many of the elements of the solid unit. Iím still not really sold on the Niners offensive output for the long term. Can the Chiefs come into the big blue jean and steal a big win. Iím thinking that they can

Pick-Kansas City

Bengals (3-0) @ Patriots (2-2)

Gillette Stadium; Foxboro, MA 8:30†(NBC)

Favorite Bengals by 1

Last Week Bengals were on their bye, Patriots lost to Chiefs 41-14

Fast Fact Patriots QB Tom Brady needs 60 yards to pass the 50,000 mark

Suddenly the it club on every pundits lips the Bengals are getting the kind of pub as a potential AFC shot caller that theyíve not seen since the halcyon days of Sam Wyche, Boomer Esiason and Ickey Woods, they face their first real test heading into Foxboro for a primetime date with the Pats who got humiliated on a Monday night primetime stage last week in Kansas City. I see the Bengals as better on both sides of the ball, offensively solid though their run game lacks a real home run back. Peerless on the defensive side with enough ballhawkers and bighitters to make any offense worried. The Pats are at the weakest that Iíve ever seen them in the Brady/Belichick era, Tom Brady is not getting the time to even come close to consistently make an impression. I just keep getting the feeling that the Bengals while solid are overdue for a headscratchingly flat performance and betting against Brady and the Pats especially at home can be dangerous. This is going to be an ďI should have known betterĒ pick

Pick-Cincinnati

Monday, October 6

Seahawks (2-1) @ Washington (1-3)

FedEx Field; Landover, MD 8:30†(ESPN)

Favorite Seahawks by 7Ĺ

Last Week Seahawks were on their bye, Washington lost to NY Giants 45-14

Fast Fact Nighttime aint the right time for Washington, they have lost their last six games played at night.

Seattle comes cross country rested and ready after winning a taut duel with the Broncos in week 3, Washington has had a long time to ponder over Eli Manning destroying them a week ago Thursday as they go from first to last game of the week. If the Giants could befuddle Kirk Cousins, what makes you think that the Seahawks rugged defense wouldnít? Iím thinking that the Seahawks offense will do just enough to roll to the win

Pick-Seattle

Last Week: †7-6 (Lock Incorrect/Upset Correct )

Overall: 34-27

Locks: 3-1

Upsets: 1-3

NFL Week 4 Picks
Category: NFL
Tags: NFL Picks & Predictions

Last week was a decent bounceback and it would be nice to avoid anymore horrid weeks, but the number of games are reduced and the marging of error much smaller.†The bye weeks start, earlier than ever. And it takes two of the three unbeaten teams out of the mix for the week so that 1972 Dolphins will have to keep that champagne waiting for at least another week.†The Cardinals (defeated 49ers 23-14), Bengals (defeated Titans 33-7), Browns (lost to Ravens 23-21), Broncos, Seahawks (Seattle defeated Denver 26-20 in OT) & Rams (lost to Cowboys 34-31)on their respective byes. The odds are provided by ESPN and are for entertainment and comparison purposes only. Money is a rumor in my house so I havenít a dime to spare you if take these lines and lose.†

Thursday September 25

Giants (1-2) @ Washington (1-2)

FedEx Field; Landover, MD 8:25 (CBS/NFLN)

Favorite Washington by 3

Last Week Giants defeated Texans 30-17, Washington lost to Eagles 37-34

Fast Fact Washington has scored 75 points in the last two games, most in the NFL

The G-Men finally awoke to slam the Texans† while Kirk Cousins has been the tonic that DC has needed, waking up a sleepy offense and despite a loss to Philly has suddenly been lighting up the scoreboard. Im not really sold on either one of teams but I donít trust Eli Manning that much to begin with (Though selfishly Im hoping that he has a decent game for my fantasy team, hes my fill in for his brother) I think that Cousins continues to play well and make the cries for his permanent insertion into the starting lineup grow louder

Pick-Washington

Sunday September 28

Packers (1-2) @ Bears (2-1)

Soldier Field, Chicago 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Packers by 1Ĺ

Last Week Packers lost to Lions 19-7, Bears defeated Jets 27-19

Fast Fact Since 2010 The Bears have returned 19 interceptions for touchdowns most by any team in that span

The Bears looked uneven but still had more than enough to ease past the Jets in Gotham, while the Packers just looked plumb comfused (sic) in Motown. Aaron n Rodgers tells Pack Nation to relax, but falling to 1-3 with a loss to their hated rival to the south would get the radical fringe in Green Bay to hunting up for sale signs to plant on Mike McCarthyís lawn. I still donít trust Jay Cutler though he is beginning to click nicely with his deep receiving corps. The Bears defense also plays scattershot though I was pleasantly surprised to see the secondary play at a high level in spite of losing Peanut Tillman. Tough game to call and I expect it to be close. Though I wouldnít be surprised to see Cutler make a liar of me and play like a schlep again, Iím picking the Bears to push the Packers (and their fans to desperation)

Pick-Chicago

Bills (2-1) @ Texans (2-1)

Reliant Stadium 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Texans by 2Ĺ

Last Week Bills lost to Chargers 22-10, Texans lost to Giants 30-17

Fast Fact The Bills are 0-10 since the start of last season if they trail by 10 or more points

The Bills got smacked around by the Chargers who shut their fragile and fledgling offense down while the Texans got hammered by the G-Men in Gotham. Ryan Fitzpatrick needs the dynamic running of Arian Foster to keep opposing defenses honest and will especially need it against a withering Bills pass rush, a team that he was once the supposed franchise quarterback. Their current franchise QB is still suffering through growing pains and I just donít feel that I can trust the Bills on the road yet.

Pick-Houston

Titans (1-2) @ Colts (1-2)

Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Colts by 7Ĺ

Last Week Titans lost to Bengals 33-7, Colts defeated Jaguars 44-17

Fast Fact The Colts have won 10 of the last 11 meetings both in the series and in Indy

The Titans got hammered in Cincy and now face a Colts squad that pounded the Jags to get their first win. The Titans have more and more questions on both sides of the ball and Iím getting to think that the win in Kansas City was more a fluke. The Colts offense hasnít really been a concern, and as long as the running game continues to be solid the Colts will win more than their fair share of games. The Titans have way too many issues to give the home team anything more than token resistance

Pick-Indianapolis

Panthers (2-1) @ Ravens (2-1)

M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Ravens by 3Ĺ

Last Week Panthers lost to Steelers 37-19, Ravens defeated Browns 23-21

Fast Fact Ravens receiver Steve Smith is the Panthers all-time leader in receptions, yards and receiving touchdowns (836-12197-67)

Beat up and worn down in front of a sullen home crowd, the Panthers ineptitude was as startling as it was complete. They face a Ravens team that is rounding back into form after an opening weekend loss. The once proud Panthers defense got trampled by the Steelers and the Ravens have a solid running game as well; combine that with the so-so play from Cam Newton. I just think the Panthers are in a whole heap of trouble on the road.

Pick-Baltimore

Lions (2-1) @ Jets (1-2)

MetLife Stadium; East Rutherford, NJ 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Lions by 1ņ†

Last Week Lions defeated Packers 19-7, Jets lost to Bears 27-19

Fast Fact Jets are one of six teams that have yet to record an interception

The Jets believe in GenoÖso they keep saying. The grinning jeering Rex Ryan tries to make it sound like heís not worried about the 2nd year players skittish play. But the truth is Smith isnít playing well and the Jets may crash and burn because of it. Facing a Lions squad who played and ugly but effective in knocking off the Pack, they will have their hands full trying to contain Megatron Johnson who has a dependable receiving mate in Golden Tate, Iím thinking that the Lions will force Geno and the Jets into enough mistakes to get a close win

Pick-Detroit

Buccaneers (0-3) @ Steelers (2-1)

Heinz Field, Pittsburgh 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Steelers by 7Ĺ

Last Week Buccaneers lost to Falcons 56-14, Steelers defeated Panthers 37-19

Fast Fact The Bucs have never won in Pittsburgh (0-3) this is only their 2nd visit to Heinz Field

It doesnít seem fair; the Bucs got took an awful nationally televised beatdown against the Falcons and now have to travel to Pittsburgh to face a revitalized Steeler team that smashed a solid Panthers squad. (On national TV no less) The Bucs are a mess and asking them to get their first win in a city that they have never won in, is asking a little too much.

Pick-Pittsburgh (Lock of the Week)

Dolphins (1-2) vs Raiders (0-3)

Wembley Stadium; London, England 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Dolphins by 3Ĺ

Last Week Dolphins defeated Chiefs 34-15, Raiders lost to Patriots 16-7

Fast Fact This is one of three games played in London this year. The first time that the Dolphins have made the trip across the big pond

What looked to be a promising start of a season for the Dolphins is getting buried under a pair of routs and a QB controversy that doesnít really need to happen.† The only team that might be a bigger mess (outside of Florida) is the team that theyíre playing. The Raiders are impotent offensively and clueless defensively. The NFL continues to stupidly push the idea of a team in London but if they are insistent on sending this product to Britain, the locals will think that the Barclays Premier League is more top flight than the American curiosity. Once upon a time this was a marquee matchup, now I think that the Dolphins are more coherent on office, if barely. But thatís more than the Raiders who lack focus and direction

Pick-Miami

Jaguars (0-3) @ Chargers (2-1)

Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego 4:05 (CBS)

Favorite Chargers by 13Ĺ

Last Week Jaguars lost to Colts 44-17, Chargers defeated Bills 22-10

Fast Fact After starting up 17-0 in week 1 in Philly the Jags have been outscored 119-27

Very few people outside of southern California and northeastern Florida will see this dog of a game. The Chargers are quickly shaking off that opening Monday loss to flex their muscles as a sleeper AFC team, the Jags however are not impressing anyone with their play and facing a Chargers team that is starting to find itself offensively is a bad omen. Poor Blake Bortles will be running for his life from a solid Chargers pass rush. This wonít be pretty

Pick-San Diego

Eagles (3-0) @ 49ers (1-2)

Leviís Stadium; Santa Clara, CA 4:25 (FOX)

Favorite 49ers by 5

Last Week Eagles defeated Washington 37-34, 49ers lost to Cardinals 23-14

Fast Facts The Eagles are the first NFL team to win their first 3 games after trailing by 10 or more points in all of them. The Niners have scored a grand total of 3 points in the 2nd half of their 3 games this year

The Niners again fell apart again in the 2nd half this time to a Cards team many werenít taking seriously (I know I didnít) the Eagles again spotted a team a double digit lead then stormed back to get the win. As much as Iím tempted to pick the Niners at home, I donít trust their offense especially in the 2nd half of games. Thatís not a good formula against an Eagles team that seems to start slow and then come roaring back in the 2nd half.

Pick-Philadelphia

Falcons (2-1) @ Vikings (1-2)

TCF Bank Stadium, Minneapolis 4:25 (FOX)†††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††† ††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††† † †

Favorite Falcons by 6

Last Week Falcons defeated Buccaneers 56-14, Vikings lost to Saints 20-9

Fast Fact This is the first time that these teams have played an outdoor game against each other since 1991

The Falcons awoke from a short offensive slumber and laid a frightening woodshed like beating on the woeful Bucs, the Vikes feel good season opener feels a million miles away now as they stumbled through another lackluster offensive effort in a loss to the Saints. Teddy Bridgewater gets the start and lacking many of the key components to his offensive unit will struggle. Matty ďIceĒ will be able to pick the Vikings apart if he is not pressured and the Vikings have shown little inclination to put up a real pass rush

Pick-Atlanta

Saints (1-2) @ Cowboys (1-2)

AT&T Stadium; Arlington, TX 8:30 (NBC)

Favorite Saints by 3

Last Week Saints defeated Vikings 20-9; Cowboys defeated Rams 34-31

Fast Fact Cowboys and Saints rank 30th and 31st in yards allowed in NFL since 2011

The Pokes are walking tall after rallying to beat the Rams, but they have a lot of questions still lingering. The Saints scored their fewest points of the young season but it was more than enough to beat the crumbling Vikings. The Pokes are a glamour team and you know that the NFL canít resist giving them a marquee showcase, and the Saints high powered offense will give them a real test. I think given time Drew Brees should be able to pick the Pokes still suspect defense apart and while Tony Romo apologists like to point out his number of comebacks, I canít see him doing it again even at home.

Pick-New Orleans

Monday September 29

Patriots (2-1) @ Chiefs (1-2)

Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City 8:30 (ESPN)

Favorite Patriots by 3

Last Week Patriots defeated Raiders 16-7; Chiefs defeated Dolphins 34-15

Fast Fact Pats have eight takeaways tied with Chicago for most in NFL

These arenít the Pats that you and I remember over the last decade and a half. Tom Brady is taking an awful beating and the Pats are barely beating teams on rep now. The Chiefs got their first win and are a hard hard team to figure. Iím having a hard time trusting their offense or defense who seem to totter between maddingly inconsistent and just incoherent.† Iím gonna take a wild gamble here, and take the home team but fear that if Iím right itíll set the feeling dissed Pats up to trash the Bengals next week on Sunday in a statement game for them. If Iím right, this might be the beginning of the slow painful descent of the Belichick/Brady Pats dynasty

Pick-Kansas City (Upset of the Week)

Last Week:† 10-6 (Lock Correct/Upset not selected and will be counted as a loss)

Overall: 27-21 (does not count Thursday loss)

Locks: 3-0

Upsets:† 0-3

NFL Week 3 Picks
Category: NFL
Tags: NFL Picks & Predictions

Thursday September 18th

Buccaneers (0-2) @ Falcons (1-1)

Georgia Dome, Atlanta 8:25 (CBS/NFLN)

Favorite Falcons by 6

Last Week Buccaneers lost to Rams 19-17, Falcons lost to Bengals 24-10

Fast Fact Falcons QB Matt Ryan is 5-1 at home against the Falcons has thrown 7 TDs and Zero interceptions

So its barely 3 weeks into the season, this game has the urgency of a playoff eliminator game. The Bucs got zapped by poor clock management late against the Rams and lost after a ten second run off was assessed after having no time outs for an injury occurring with 8 seconds to play. The Falcons went to the Nati and were dominated by the Bengals. So on a short week turnaround the Bucs are in mortal danger of being relegated to irrelavence before the 1st day of autumn and the Falcons having their shootout win over the Saints written off as a fluke. Josh McCown still seems to be struggling to effectively move the Bucs offense which is a shame since their defense is really shining under the tutelage of Lovie Smith. Meanwhile the Falcons defense is looking more and more suspect and while Matty (Ice) Ryan seemed to throw a bushel of passes, his offense can keep up with a porous defense giving up mass yards and points.† As much as I should know better, and think that this will be the game that the Bucs make the breakthrough. The Falcons are always tough at home and the Bucs have struggled in the ATL

Pick-Atlanta

Sunday September 21

Chargers (1-1) @ Bills (2-0)

Ralph Wilson Stadium; Orchard Park, NY 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite ills by 2Ĺ

Last Week Chargers defeated Seahawks 30-21, Bills defeated Dolphins 29-10

Fast Fact The Bills have only gained 28 first downs in two games, 2nd fewest in the NFL

The Chargers bounced back nicely to thump the defending Super Bowl Champs but have the arduous task of coming cross country to face a Bills team that is looking like a real handful on the defensive side of the ball. Their offense? Well, they keep scoring points because the defense keeps handing them the ball. I really canít trust either team because they have way too many flaws. I think the win over the Seahawks was huge fluke. I think the theory coming across country to play an early game will hurt them. I think the surprising Bills keep raising eyebrows

Pick-Buffalo

Cowboys (1-1) @ Rams (0-2)

Edward Jones Dome, St. Louis 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Cowboys by 1

Last Week Cowboys defeated Titans 26-10, Rams defeated Bucs 19-17

Fast Fact The Rams are picking the worst time to be facing DeMarco Murray who leads the league in rushing. Murray has had his two best career games against the Rams setting the franchise single rushing mark in one of them.

The Pokes got a stellar rushing day from DeMarco Murray and steamrolled the Titans, the Rams got away with a win after some poor clock management by the Bucs let them escape with a close win. The Rams rushing defense is plumb awful and the Pokes are looking for reasons to not have to lean on Tony Romo or that precarious defense too much. Look for a steady diet of Murray to trample on the Rams.

Pick-Dallas

Washington (1-1) @ Eagles (2-0)

Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Eagles by 6Ĺ

Last Week Washington defeated Jags 41-10, Eagles defeated Colts 30-27

Fast Fact Washington has a 7 game road losing streak the longest current in the NFL

RGIII went to the sidelines with a busted ankle and is out for a while (Big shock). Kirk Cousins stepped in and played a nearly flawless game leading Washington to a happy home opener win. The learning curve goes back to steep as they face a bitter divisional rival. The Eagles again spotted an opponent a double digit lead then roared back to win. Cousins gives Washington a stable element to their offense and they will need it to keep the Eagles high speed offense off the field. I donít think that they have the chops to do it and the Eagles will continue to strengthen their divisional lead.

Pick-Philadelphia

Vikings (1-1) @ Saints (0-2)

Mercedes-Benz Superdome 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Saints by 10

Last Week Vikings lost to Patriots 30-7, Saints lost to Browns 26-24

Fast Fact The Saints have averaged 35.1 points in their last ten home game a figure that Vikings havenít reached in their last 38 road games

The Vikings had zero offense after an initial touchdown drive and seemed to shoot themselves in the foot at every opportunity. They are catching the Saints at the absolute wrong time, angered after a second narrow road loss they return home where they have won their last ten. With no Peterson to keep the Saints high octane offense off the field, the Vikings are in deep deep trouble. This game could get very ugly, even as a big Vikings fan. Iím not myopic enough to think that the Vikings have anywhere close to enough to keep this competitive. I wonít insult my beloved Vikes by making them a lock to lose.

Pick-New Orleans

Texans (2-0) @ Giants (0-2)

MetLife Stadium; East Rutherford, NJ 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Texans by 2

Last Week Texans defeated Raiders 30-14, Giants lost to Cardinals 25-14

Fast Fact The Texans have allowed a total of 20 points in their first two games, fewest in the NFL

The Texans started 2-0 last year then lost their last 14, but the look nothing like the 14 loss mess from last year playing crisper and more aggressive on both sides of the ball. Ryan Fitzpatrick doesnít have to play lights out, he manages the offense nicely and the rugged JJ Watt led defense are tough, the G-Men are just a mess on both sides of the ball. Is it possible for Eli Manning to play any worse than he has? Running for his life from Watt and company, we might see worse.

Pick-Houston

Titans (1-1) @ Bengals (2-0)

Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Bengals by 7

Last Week Titans lost to Cowboys 26-10, Bengals defeated Falcons 24-10

Fast Fact Call him Mr. Clean, Bengals QB Andy Dalton has yet to throw an interception or be sacked in two games.

The Titans got run over by the Pokes solid running game and looked clueless against their so-so defense. They will have more trouble with a rugged Bengals defense that is looking tougher and tougher to solve. I think that road win the Titans sprung on the Chiefs two weeks ago isnít the real definition of the team, and while Paul Brown Stadium isnít the rowdy venue that Arrowhead is, the Bengals are super tough at home as of late. The Bengals continue to open eyes and quiet doubters with a solid win

Pick-Cincinnati

Ravens (1-1) @ Browns (1-1)

FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Ravens by 1Ĺ

Last Week Ravens defeated Steelers 26-6, Browns defeated Saints 26-24

Fast Fact The Browns are one of four NFL teams that have yet to commit a turnover

Blurb The Ravens throttled the Steelers and face their third straight divisional opponent, the Browns rallied nicely to upend the Browns and have renewed confidence in their offense. The Ravens are a tough team to figure. When they balance their offense like they did last week they roll deep when they are pass happy like the 62 passes Joe Flacco threw in week 1 they usually lose. I still canít trust the Browns even at home and even though the broke a long losing streak to the Ravens late last year. Something tells me that the Ravens will win a slugfest

Pick-Baltimore

Packers (0-0) @ Lions (0-0)

Ford Field, Detroit 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Lions by 2 Ĺ

Last Week Packers defeated Jets 31-24, Lions lost to Panthers 24-7

Fast Fact Packers QB Aaron Rodgers has won all 9 meetings with the Lions that he has finished the game, the Packers only loss to Lions in the Rodgers era was when the Packers QB was knocked out with a concussion

The Packers came home and rallied to win a thrilling shootout with the Jets while the Lions looked nothing like their impressive opener as they fell flat in Carolina. The Packers weak running defense shouldnít be really worried as the Lions have really had no running game to speak of. The Lions need to get Matt Stafford rolling early but they canít afford to get into a shootout. I canít trust the Lions in this game, home game or not.

Pick-Green Bay

Colts (0-2) @ Jaguars (0-2)

EverBank Field, Jacksonville 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Colts by 10

Last Week Colts lost to Eagles 30-27, Jaguars lost to Washington 41-10

Fast Fact Colts QB Andrew Luck and Coach Chuck Pagano lost back to back games for the first time

Blurb This game is a huge mismatch. The Colts are not an 0-2 team they lost two tough games. The Jags are an 0-2 team, they had a second half meltdown in Philly and a total beatdown in DC last week. Luck will find the going much much easier against a still suspect Jags defense. The Colts are the better and will show it in spades

Pick-Indianapolis

Raiders (0-2) @ Patriots (1-1)

Gillette Stadium; Foxboro, MA 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Patriots by 14

Last Week Raiders lost to Texans 30-14, Patriots defeated Vikings 30-7

Fast Fact Pats coach Bill Belicheck netted his 200th coaching win last week and can move into a tie with Marty Schottenheimer with a win this week

The Raiders just look plain bad and heading across country again wonít help a bit. The Pats won going away but their offense was spotty at best. The Raiders got ran on and thrown on by a decent Texans offense last week at home. The Pats in their home opener might make them very bad hosts. Brady hasnít been Brady so far but he will look more like it against a bad Raiders squad and the Pats defense will tax the young Raiders QB and offense

Pick-New England (Lock of the Week)

49ers (1-1) @ Cardinals (2-0)

University of Phoenix Stadium; Glendale, AZ 4:05 (FOX)

Favorite 49ers by 3

Last Week 49ers lost to Bears 28-20, Cardinals defeated 25-14

Fast Fact The Niners have not scored a single point in the fourth quarter in either of their first two games

The Cards looked crisp in spite of not having Carson Palmer in easily downing the G-Men. The Niners had their home opener on lock before blowing a tire and losing. Drew Stanton looked good in a no turnover performance but playing against the Niners is a wholly different case. Even though the Cards are tough at home in their desert fortress, the Niners are still a tough team and I just donít think that Stanton will get it done.

Pick-San Francisco

Broncos (2-0) @ Seahawks (1-1)

CenturyLink Field, Seattle 4:25 (CBS)

Favorite Seahawks by 5

Last Week Broncos defeated Chiefs 24-17, Seahawks lost to Chargers 30-21

Fast Fact This is the first time since 1997 that a regular season matchup of teams featured the previous years Super Bowl combatants

The Broncos are taking their show on the road for the first time this season and as cruel fate would have it they are heading into the lair the team that humiliated them in the Super Bowl last February, and this is the same team coming off an embarrassing waxing by the middling Chargers. Peyton Manning is putting up the kind of numbers that you would expect but one has to wonder if he will have a Meadowlands flashback in the mind numbing din of Century Link Field. The Broncos defense is improved but is it enough, I call this game a near draw last year (boy was I wrong there) I think the Seahawks home field advantage is the difference.

Pick-Seattle

Chiefs (0-2) @ Dolphins (1-1)

SunLife Stadium; Miami Gardens 4:25 (CBS)

Favorite Dolphins by 3 Ĺ

Last Week Chiefs lost to Broncos 24-17, Dolphins lost to Bills 29-10

Fast Fact Chiefs QB Alex Smith is the NFLís lowest rated passer

The Chiefs played tougher than expected for the environment but fell to the Broncos, while the Dolphins sputtered offensively in Buffalo. I just donít trust either team to be sure, the teams might be missing marquee running backs with Knowshon Moreno out for the Fins and Jamaal Charles gimpy for the Chiefs. Both QBís are suspect at the very least. But when in doubt go with the home team

Pick-Miami

Steelers (1-1) @ Panthers (2-0)

Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte 8:30 (NBC)

Favorite Panthers by 3

Last Week Steelers lost to Ravens 26-6, Panthers defeated Lions 24-7

Fast Fact The Steelers have been outscored 50-9 over the last 6 quarters

The Steelers offense has been nonexistent over the last six quarter and the Panthers have played more efficient that I gave them credit for. This is a tougher game to call than it would seem, Iím highly suspicious of the Steeler offense in general and yet Iím not sold on the viability of the Panthers defense or their offensive capabilities especially their running game. In another coin toss game that is destined to be wrong, Ill again go with the home team shining a bit brighter under primetime lights.

Pick-Carolina

Monday September 22

Bears (1-1) @ Jets (0-0)

MetLife Stadium; East Rutherford, NJ 8:30 (ESPN)

Favorite Jets by 3

Last Week Bears defeated 49ers 28-20, Jets lost to Packers 31-24

Fast Fact First ever meeting of a team that rallied from 17 point deficit to win and a team that had blown a 17 point lead and lost, in the previous week

Wait a minute who was that cat throwing darts all over the big blue jean last Sunday night and sending the good folks of Santa Clara home unhappy. That couldnít have been Jay Cutler who found Brandon Marshall again and again to rally the Bears to an improbable win. The Jets however took a perfectly good winning formula and flushed it in blowing a 17 point lead at Lambeau. I just donít trust the grinning jeering Rex Ryan and I donít trust Geno Smith. The Bears have a number of problems that a decent team could expose but the Jets are too inconsistent to do that. Cutler should be able to pick his way through the Jets sometimey defensive pressure and get the ball to his dynamic receiving corps, meanwhile Smith will have his hands full with a withering Bears pass rush that frustrated Colin Kaepernick into a bevy of errors.

Pick-Chicago.

Last Week: 6-10 (Lock Correct, Upset Incorrect)

Overall: 17-15

Locks: 2-0

Upsets: 1-1

NFL Week 2
Category: NFL
Tags: NFL Picks & Predictions

Good start to the season, odds are provided by bodog.net and are provided for comparison and entertainment purposes only. Im so broke I cant pay attention (look squirrel!) So if you bet the lines and lose, its on you.

†Thursday September 11th (We shall never forgetÖ)

Steelers (1-0) @ Ravens (0-1)

M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore 8:25 (CBS/NFLN)

Favorite Ravens by 3

Last Week Steelers defeated Browns 30-27, Ravens lost to Bengals 23-16

Fast Fact 9 of the last 10 meetings have been decided by three or fewer points

The Steelers lit out to a big lead and nearly gave it all away but hung on to beat the Browns, meanwhile the Ravens are a team in turmoil after the sorry mess that is the whole Ray Rice affair. Their punchless offense which was already hampered by the absence of the now disgraced running back is now trying to figure out how to keep the pressure of an already heavily beleaguered Joe Flacco. Bernard Pierce had a bad case of the dropsies and Justin Forsett really isnít a long term answer. The Steelers arenít a juggernaut but they are methodical and a rowdy home crowd might help the Ravens keep it close but they will not be able to keep pace

Pick-Pittsburgh

Sunday September 14

Patriots (0-1) @ Vikings (1-0)

TCF Bank Stadium, Minneapolis 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Patriots by 3

Last Week Patriots lost to Dolphins 30-23, Vikings defeated

Fast Fact This is the Vikings first outdoor home September game since 1981, as they play the next two seasons at the home stadium of the University Of Minnesota while their new stadium is built on the old Metrodome Site.

The Patriots ran out of gas in the heat of South Florida, with Tom Brady taking an uncharacteristic beating by a withering Dolphins pass rush. Meanwhile the Vikings romped and stomped in St. Louis running roughshod on a Rams defense that was supposed to be a tough. The Patriots need to get their offensive line woes together and fast since keeping Brady upright and hale is paramount to their overall success. The Vikings seem to be developing a decent secondary offense behind the dynamic running of Adrian Peterson. Will another hostile crowd and Vikings pass rush be enough to wear the Pats down? I want badly to pick the Vikings for an upset, but logic tells me differentÖI justÖaww what the heckÖ

Pick-Minnesota

Dolphins (1-0) @ Bills (1-0)

Ralph Wilson Stadium; Orchard Park, NY 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Dolphins by 1

Last Week Dolphins defeated Patriots 30-23, Bears

Fast Fact After giving up league high 93 sacks of QB Ryan Tannehill in 2013, the Dolphins offensive allowed only one sack against the Pats last week

Both teams are coming off stunning upset wins in week 1. The Bills and Dolphins utilized strong running games to secure their respective victories and get off to unexpected fast starts. Both teams used strong defensive rushes as well to keep the opposition signal caller on the run, this looks to be a tight taut defensive game, but I just donít trust EJ Manuel yet as someone that can consistently produce wins, though he had a nice completion percentage in the win over the Bears. But I donít trust Tannehill either. This is a tough one to pick, I think that the Dolphins run game and defense is slightly better.

Pick-Miami

Jaguars (0-1) @ Washington (0-1)

Fed Ex Field; Landover, MD 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Washington by 6

Last Week Jaguars lost to Eagles 34-17, Washington lost to Texans 17-6

Fast Fact Washington is mired in its longest losing streak since a 17 game skid covering the 1960 & 1961 seasons but have yet to ever lose to the Jaguars at home

These two teams continue their intraconference sked and both took fairly big losses. The Jags have had at least an offensive spark though their defense was worn down by the Eagles fast breaking offense. Washington is just a mess, their defense was passable but their offense seems to be mired in a bad slump and lack direction. †RGII seems to be regressing badly and the lack of punch in the running game is further hampering the offense. That being said I still think it a stretch to give the Jags the edge here. Iím likely going to regret this butÖ

Pick-Washington

Cowboys (0-1) @ Titans (1-0)

LP Field, Nashville 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Titans by 3Ĺ

Last Week Cowboys lost to 49ers 28-17, Titans defeated Chiefs 26-10

Fast Fact The Titans held the ball 37:44 against the Chiefs last week their highest time of possession in five years

Everyone was concerned about the Pokes defense, it turned out that was the least of their worries. Tony Romo looked absolutely horrid against the 49ers throwing like he had no clue and forcing the ball like a scared backup. It just seems wrong to pile on Romo at this point, but facing a ball hawking defense like the Titans is a bit unfair right now. The Titans methodically took apart the Chiefs in Arrowhead and if they can dominate time of possession like they did last week, Jason Garrett wonít have to worry about Romo throwing a bevy of picks if they arenít on the field

Pick-Tennessee

Cardinals (1-0) @ Giants (0-1)

MetLife Stadium; East Rutherford, NJ 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Cardinals by 1Ĺ

Last Week Cardinals defeated the Chargers 18-17, Giants lost to Lions 35-14

Fast Fact Giants have won three of the last four meetings, with the only loss being in Gotham in 2009

The G-Men looked bad on both sides of the ball in Motown last Monday, offensively inept and defensively clueless. Eli Manning looks like he would rather be somewhere other than a football field and when not dodging pass rushers is picking himself off the ground. The Cards rallied smartly to win the late Monday game and finally put their offense together to score twice late. Most of the time Iím not going to pick a western team going east in an early game especially off a Monday game. But the G-Men are a mess and the Cards defense even missing John Abraham will be formidable and give Eli more problems.

Pick-Arizona

Saints (0-1) @ Browns (0-1)

FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Saints by 7

Last Week Saints lost to Falcons 37-34 in overtime, Browns lost to Steelers 30-27

Fast Fact The Browns have won 12 of 16 in the series but the Saints have won 2 of the last 3 meetings.

Both teams are coming off 3 point losses but they feel different, the Saints lost a surprising shootout with the Falcons in the ATL while the Browns fought back gamely from 24 down in Pittsburgh but fell late. The Saints will produce the points and offense and against a Browns defense that can be had you should see it. If the Browns fall behind again like they did against the Steelers, the Saints wonít let them off the mat and we might hear the Johnny Football catcalls in force from the home crowd.

Pick-New Orleans

Falcons (1-0) @ Bengals (1-0)

Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Bengals by 5

Last Week Falcons defeated Saints 37-34 in overtime, Bengals defeated Ravens 23-16

Fast Fact Bengals have won 9 of their last 11 meetings with NFC opponents but have lost their last three meetings with the Falcons

The Falcons were off and winging with a shootout win against the Saints while the Bengals weebled wobbled but didnít fall down against the Ravens. I still donít trust the Falcons defense, but their offense has seemed to rebound to their halcyon days. The Bengals offense looks fairly crisp but has had trouble finishing drives off, if they can correct that it could be 28 point per game offense. This game looks like it could be a shootout with a pair of decent offenses but I like the Bengals better balance on both sides of the ball to win another close one

Pick-Cincinnati

Lions (1-0) @ Panthers (1-0)

Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Panthers by 3

Last Week Lions defeated Giants 35-14, Panthers defeated

Fast Fact Panthers have won the last three meetings in Charlotte

The Lions came out smoking on Monday night, and just destroyed the G-Men. The Panthers got a solid performance from Derek Anderson (Is he still in this league?) to beat the Bucs on the road. Though the Lions lit up the scoreboard their lack of a running game is troubling. Iím just not real sold on Carolina without Cam Newton, even as they beat the Bucs on the road. Another toss up game, I should know better than to trust the Lions like I doÖ

Pick-Detroit

Rams (0-1) @ Buccaneers (0-1)

Raymond James Stadium, Tampa 4:05 (FOX)

Favorite Buccaneers by 7

Last Week Rams lost to Vikings 34-6, Buccaneers lost to Panthers 20-14

Fast Fact The Rams have won 5 of the last seven meetings

The Rams got housed by the Vikings and their QB situation got even murkier when Shaun Hill was ineffective in the first half. The Bucs held their own but with lackluster and borderline non-existent running game just couldnít get it together. I think the Rams are a lot worse off than the wonks want to let on. With no offensive punch at QB they suddenly put their capable defense in for a lot more work

Pick-Tampa Bay

Seahawks (1-0) @ Chargers (0-1)

Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego 4:05 (FOX)

Favorite Seahawks by 6 Ĺ

Last Week Seahawks defeated Packers 36-16, Chargers lost to Cardinals 18-17

Fast Fact Four of the last five meetings were decided by a field goal

The Seahawks looked all the part of the defending champs with an opening night drubbing of the Pack before a deliriously happy home crowd. Meanwhile the Chargers looked decent for three quarters and then came apart in the rainy desert on Monday. Despite being at home I have a hard time trusting the Chargers anywhere past Philip Rivers and facing the Legion of Boom is not a fun task. I do suspect that Richard Sherman will get more work than he did in week 1.

Pick-Seahawks

Texans (1-0) @ Raiders (0-1)

O.co Coliseum, Oakland 4:25 (CBS)

Favorite Texans by 3

Last Week Texans defeated Washington 17-6, Raiders lost to Jets 19-14

Fast Fact Something has to give, the Texans have lost 7 straight road games and the Raiders have lost their last four home games.

The Texans looked a bit ragged but were finally on the positive side of the scoreboard for the first time in almost a year, meanwhile aint nuttin changed with the Raiders. They look lost and without a clear direction on either side of the ball. I think the Texans are a lot better than they were last year when Matt Schaubís inept play seemed to drag down the whole team. But I think the Raiders are just hopeless, and until they show any kind of direction I wonít make too many picks for them.

Pick-Houston

NY Jets (1-0) @ Packers (0-1)

Lambeau Field, Green Bay 4:25 (CBS)

Favorite Packers by 9Ĺ

Last Week Jets defeated Raiders 19-14, Packers lost to Seahawks 36-16

Fast Fact Is it too early for a must win for the Pack? The last nine times that they lost their opener, the result of their 2nd game ultimately decided if they made the postseason.

The Pack got smashed in the season opener and now need to bounce back, the Jets are feeling froggy after winning a sluggish but effective win over the Raiders in Gotham but this is a bit higher than the pay grade that they are used to. The Pack return to their home confines upset and slightly embarrassed and there is nothing that the grinning jeering Rex Ryan will be able to do about it other than watch the Packers chase his young QB around and Aaron Rodgers abuse their weak secondary.

Pick-Green Bay

Chiefs (0-1) @ Broncos (1-0)

Sports Authority Field @ Mile High, Denver 4:25 (CBS)

Favorite Broncos by 13

Last Week Chiefs lost to Titans 26-10, Broncos defeated Colts 31-24

Fast Fact Peyton Manning has yet to lose to the Chiefs as Broncos QB

-Blurb This has all the makings of a grave mismatch, the Broncos came out firing on all cylinders as the raced out to a big lead against the Colts and held on tight to secure the win, meanwhile the Chiefs got poleaxed at home by a Titans squad who just didnít seem intimidated by the Chiefs or their noisy home crowd. Manning is just on another level and seems to have not had any lingering effects from the Super Blowout from last February. Iím just not confident in the Chiefs ability to slow the Broncos offense. This game could get really ugly.

Pick-Denver (lock of the week)

Bears (0-1) @ 49ers (1-0)

Leviís Stadium; Santa Clara, CA 8:30 (NBC)

Favorite 49ers by 7

Last Week Bears lost to Bills 23-20, 49ers defeated Cowboys 28-17

Fast Fact Leviís Stadium the newest NFL venue forty miles south of their old home but right across the street from their team headquarters

The Bears took a stunning loss from the Bills who proved to be less than the pushover that they thought they would be. The Niners were the welcome recipient of the ineptitude of the Pokes and now open their new palatial park before a national primetime stage. The Niners while not looking exceptionally crisp looked better than the Bears who seemed diffident and bored waiting to turn it on and puzzled when it didnít happen. Iím tired of excusing the lackadaisical play of Jay Cutler who is starting to fall to the scorn level I reserve for Tony Romo. I think the dogged pass rush of the Niners will give Cutler problems and they christen their new home nicely.

Pick-49ers

Monday September 12

Eagles (1-0) @ Colts (0-1)

Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis 8:30 (ESPN)

Favorite Colts by 3

Last Week Eagles defeated Jaguars 34-17, Colts lost to Broncos 31-24

Fast Fact The Eagles are gunning for only their 3rd 2-0 start in 16 seasons while the Colts are trying to avoid only their 3rd 0-2 start in the same time frame

The weeks final game is a doozy, the Eagles looked ragged in the first half of their game against the Jags, but got off the mat and roared back for the win. The Colts spotted the Broncos a huge lead and nearly got it all back when their last drive fell short. The Eagles are such a headache to prepare for offensively but you have the feeling that the Andrew Luck can pilot the Colts to enough points to keep up. Itís a tough game to call, when in doubt go with the home team.

Pick-Indianapolis

Last Week & Overall: 11-5 (Lock correct, Upset Incorrect)

Locks: 1-0

Upset: 0-1

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