Tagged with "Predictions"
NFL Week 12 Picks Thursday Game
Category: NFL
Tags: NFL Picks & Predictions

Thursday

Chiefs (7-3) @ Raiders (0-10)

o.co Coliseum, Oakland 8:30†(NFLN)

Favorite Chiefs by 7Ĺ

Last Week Chiefs defeated Seahawks 24-20; Raiders lost to Chargers 13-6

Fast Fact The Raiders losing streak is currently the fourth longest in NFL history, behind the 2006-07 Dolphins (17 games), the 2008-09 Lions (19 games) and the 1976-77 Buccaneers (26 games).

This matchup looks like a gross mismatch, the Chiefs are nicely balanced between the rugged running of Jamaal Charles and the conservative throws of Alex Smith. They pounded the Seahawks and won a taut victory while the Raiders played gamely but are still stuck on winless island. Where there is the temptation to call the massive upset, say the Chiefs will look past the Raiders to their Thanksgiving weekend showdown with the Broncos. Im not that brave or crazy

Pick-Kansas City

NFL Week 11 Picks
Category: NFL
Tags: NFL Picks & Predictions

Thursday November 13

Bills (5-4) @ Dolphins (5-4)

SunLife Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL 8:25 (NFLN)

Favorite Dolphins by 4

Last Week Bills lost to Chiefs 17-13, Dolphins lost to Lions 20-16

Fast Fact The Bills allowed 405 rushing yards in their first six games but 460 in their last three.

Both teams are coming in the short week off of tough close losses, Ryan Tannehill should be a go for the† Fins who need their running game to play light years better than the puny 50 yard output against the Lions if they hope to keep the withering Bills pass rush totally honest.† Kyle Orton is playing respectably for the Bills and having a hale Sammy Watkins will help his numbers immensely. As tight as the AFC playoff picture is this may very well be a virtual elimination game. Iím going with the home team here but Iím not the most confident about it

Pick-Miami

Sunday November 16

Falcons (3-6) @ Panthers (3-6-1)

Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Falcons by 1

Last Week Falcons defeated Buccaneers 27-17; Panthers lost to Eagles 45-21

Fast Fact Panthers QB Cam Newton has taken 561 hits (tackles, sacks, pressures) since coming in the league in 2011. The next closest QB has barely half that total in the time frame

What most would say would be a throwaway game is actually a game to stay in the divisional race. Both teams are a mess, though the Falcons are coming off a decently played win over the hapless Bucs while the Panthers are bedeviled by a nonexistent pass rush and a porous offensive line.† This game is a tossup but for some reason I trust the Panthers less than I do the equally weak Falcons

Pick-Atlanta

Vikings (4-5) @ Bears (3-6)

Soldier Field, Chicago 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Bears by 3

Last Week Vikings were on their bye; Bears lost to Packers 55-14

Fast Fact The Bears are the first team since the 1923 Rochester Jeffersons (yes that was an NFL team) to give up 50 or more points in back to back games

The Bears are imploding badly, their nationally television destructions at the hands of the Pats and Packers are telling a grim story. The well-rested Vikes are no juggernaut but have been slowly improving and while not likely to have the service of Adrian Peterson will have a decent running attack at their disposal and a withering rush to bother an increasingly erratic Jay Cutler. The Vikes are dicey on the road and the Bears are winless at home. But I think the Bears are quitting on themselves and the Vikes are more than happy to help turn the out the lights further.

Pick-Minnesota

Texans (4-5) @ Browns (6-3)

FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Browns by 3

Last Week Texans were on their bye; Browns defeated Bengals 24-3

Fast Fact Browns run defense has allowed an average of 91.7 yards rushing a game in their 3 game win streak

Fresh off a bye the Texans head to the frosty climes of Northern Ohio to face the Browns who are flying high after a Thursday beatdown of their despised downstate rivals. The Browns stout run defense will face a stern test against the redoubtable running of the Texans Arian Foster. While Brian Hoyer isnít flashy, he pilots the Browns offense like a grizzled vet and his poised play has kept the Browns steady and win playing well. In a super tough AFC North, that could keep them in the hunt as stakes on these games get higher. This will be a grimy gritty game, I keep waiting for the Browns to take their expected pratfall but with Texans still unsettled at QB, it bodes well for the home team here

Pick-Cleveland

Seahawks (6-3) @ Chiefs (6-3)

Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Chiefs by 2Ĺ

Last Week Seahawks defeated Giants 38-17; Chiefs defeated Bills 17-13

Fast Fact This is matchup of teams that play in the loudest NFL stadiums as Arrowhead and CenturyLink in Seattle have traded the title at least six times over the last three years with Arrowhead holding the current record with an eardrum splitting 142.9 dBÖyikes!

This ultra-noisy matchup features two team trying to stay in contention in their respective conferences. The Seahawks are trying to hold on to their champs mantle as long as they can but Russell Wilson is looking quite mortal and while Marshawn Lynch continues to run rugged, the defense is a shadow of its once formidable self. The Chiefs are staying strong with a super tight running game, and Alex Smith playing mostly mistake free ball, The Seahawks are a tough team still but going in to KC is a nightmare even for a noise tested squad like the Hawks. I just think that the Chiefs are a team to reckon with and catching them at their crib is not good

Pick-Kansas City†

Bengals (5-3-1) @ Saints (4-5)

Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Saints by 7Ĺ

Last Week Bengals lost to Browns 24-3, Saints lost to 49ers 27-24 in OT

Fast Fact

Looking at the records you would think that the Bengals are the first place team and the Saints are the 3rd place team scuffling along, when itís the exact reverse. The Bengals are scrambling after a humiliating home loss to their upstate rivals and the Saints while leading the woefully weak NFC South are scrambling themselves after a heartbreaking OT loss to the Niners. Both team are wildly inconsistent, but Iím just not real sold on the Bengals as of late especially on the road. Had the Saints won last week I would say the Bengals could use this as a real bounce back. But Iím not betting on the Saints to lose back to back at home. And given the Bengals Andy Dalton skittish play as of late, I just canít call an upset here and despite the records a Bengals win here would be an upset, but itís not happening here.

Pick-New Orleans

Broncos (7-2) @ Rams (3-6)

Edward Jones Dome, St. Louis 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Broncos by 9

Last Week Broncos defeated Raiders 41-17, Rams lost Cardinals 31-14

Fast Fact The Broncos have never won in St. Louis (tied the then St. Louis Cardinals in 1973 and are 0-2 against the Rams)

The Broncos bounced back strong to whip the Raiders while the Rams struggled in the desert. Peyton Manning regained his touch and that really bad news for the Rams who have been up and down as of late, their pattern has been win-loss and are due for a win, but the Broncos look to be in no mood to play niceties here. I think Manning will abuse the Rams suspect secondary while the Rams are turning back to Shaun Hill for the ineffective Austin Davis. It wonít matter much as the Broncos should roll to the win

Pick-Denver (Lock of the week)

49ers (5-4) @ New York Giants (3-6)

MetLife Stadium; East Rutherford, NJ 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite 49ers by 3Ĺ

Last Week 49ers defeated Saints 27-24 in OT; Giants lost to the Seahawks 38-17

Fast Fact the Niners havenít won in NYC against the Giants since 2002 (lost last two visits)

The Niners stole a controversial win in the Big Easy and stay on the fringes of the NFC playoff picture while the G-Men are crumbling badly as evidence by the whomping that they got in Seattle last week. Iíve long maintained that west coast teams going east for a 1p kickoff are often in trouble and I would think that the Niners would be in some kind of trouble but Iím thinking that the G-Menís butter booty soft defense is in no shape to slow down the Niners rugged running game and Colin Kaepernickís dynamic passing. I think the Niners grind out a tight win

Pick-San Francisco

Buccaneers (1-8) @ Washington (3-6)

FedEx Field; Landover, MD 1:00 (FOX, CBS, NBC, ESPN)

Favorite Washington by 7Ĺ

Last Week Buccaneers lost to Falcons 27-17; Washington was on a bye

Fast Fact The Buccaneers are giving up 30.2 points a game only Lovie Smithís former team in Chicago (30.8) gives up more.

The Bucs are wandering through this long season, while Washington is trying to wake up from this nightmare season after their bye. This is a real who cares game, the Bucs defense is pretty porous and while Washington welcomes back RG3 they lack a real direction and identity. Iím thinking that the Bucs wonít be able to garner anymore road wins this season.

Pick-Washington

Raiders (0-9) @ Chargers (5-4)

Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego 4:05 (CBS)

Favorite Chargers by 10Ĺ

Last Week Raiders lost to Broncos 41-17, Chargers were on their bye

Fast Fact The Chargers were shutout in week 9 for the first time since 1999

The Chargers were flying high when they went to the East Bay to face the scuffling Raiders but havenít won since they pulled out a 31-28 win four weeks ago. The Raiders are trying their best but find a way to come apart at critical junctures. The Broncos toyed with them a while before tearing them up last week while the Chargers have had a week to brood over their 37-0 implosion against the Dolphins before their bye. I want the Raiders to pick up a win since they are seriously looking like a reverse table run. But I canít find a win here. The Chargers need a bounce back in the worst way and they will get one here.

Pick-San Diego

Lions (7-2) @ Cardinals (8-1)

University of Phoenix; Glendale, AZ 4:25 (FOX)

Favorite Cardinals by 1

Last Week Lions defeated Dolphins 20-13; Cardinals defeated Rams 31-14

Fast Fact The Lions havenít won in Arizona since 1993

The late NFC games are top notch, the Lions are playing like a tough team but have a steep challenge facing the Cards in their desert stronghold. The Lions are looking to follow up their gritty comeback win while the Cards are hoping that Drew Stanton will be able to fill in capably for the injured Carson Palmer. I think that the Lions rugged defense will be too tall a task for the young Stanton

Pick-Detroit (Upset of the Week)

Eagles (7-2) @ Packers (6-3)

Lambeau Field, Green Bay 4:25 (FOX)

Favorite Packers by 5Ĺ

Last Week Eagles defeated Panthers 45-21, Packers defeated Bears 55--14

Fast Fact Packers have won its games at Lambeau by an average of 25.3 points this season

Both teams are coming off primetime beatdown wins, Mark Sanchez looked especially crisp in his return to starting duties, but the curve gets really steep facing the Packers in Lambeau who are coming off a thrashing of the Bears last Sunday night. Now while I like the Eagles high powered offense and think that Sanchez looks good running, better than he ever did with the Jets the Packers defense isnít soft like the Panthers and you can believe the likes of Clay Matthews, Julius Peppers and AJ Hawk will put more pressure on him. While Aaron Rodgers wonít come close to the 6 TD first half performance he had last week he should be able to get a solid performance enough to get the win.

Pick-Green Bay

Patriots (0-0) @ Colts (0-0)

Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis 8:30 (NBC)

Favorite Colts by 3

Last Week Both teams were on their respective byes

Fast Fact The Pats have averaged 40.2 points during their 5 game win streak.

The Primetime matchup is a doozy both teams rested up for a high scoring shootout, The Pats have been scoring in obscene bunches during their 5 game win streak but aside from a quick run to Buffalo, they havenít went far on the road during their win streak Tom Brady has been putting rumors of his slide to rest while Andrew Luck is representing the young guns very well with his sharp play. Both teams are strikingly similar but Iím real curious which defense will come out looking better. Itís a tossup to be sure. Iím going to bet on the home team and likely be wrong.

Pick-Indianapolis

Monday November 16

Steelers (6-3) @ Titans (2-7)

LP Field, Nashville 8:30 (ESPN)

Favorite Steelers by 6Ĺ

Last Week Steelers lost to Jets 20-13, Titans lost to Ravens 21-7

Fast Fact Steelers have allowed 36 points on opponentsí first possession this season, league worst

The Steelers are coming in off an embarrassing loss to the lowly Jets and now have to face a Titans team that stood bravely against the Ravens before losing a tight game. The Steelers should be able to get their offense in gear against the Titans soft defensive front and Zach Mettenberger might have a more difficult time against the Steelers defensive rush. The Titans are not the best of teams but the Steelers for some puzzling reason struggle against weaker teams that they should drill. As tempted as I am to call another stunning upset of the Steelers here. I canít do it.

Pick-Pittsburgh

Last Week: 9-4 (Lock Correct/Upset Incorrect)

Overall: 89-57-1

Locks: 8-2

Upsets: 2-8

Week 10 NFL Picks
Category: NFL
Tags: NFL Picks & Predictions

Last week was a decent week of football for me in every aspect except my fantasy teams (Getting blown out in all three leagues is not fresh at all) The picks fell pretty much the way I called it except my upset, (my upsets havenít went my way most of the year) the Niners (Butterfingers Kap cost me there) and the Chargers (West coast team headed east, should have known better) Iíll try to keep the solid weeks up again with these picks submitted for your review, perusal and approval are this weekís picks. Odds are provided by ESPN strictly for entertainment and comparison purposes only. That means, donít call me if you bet the lines and lose and since I just paid my rent. Iím broke and would likely rat you out to your bookie for a finderís fee. Keep in mind that the following teams are on their bye: Minnesota & Washington (Vikings defeated Washington 29-26), Indianapolis (defeated Giants 40-24) New England (defeated Broncos 43-21), Houston (Lost to Eagles 31-21) and San Diego (lost to Dolphins 37-0)

Thursday November 6

Browns (5-3) @ Bengals (5-2-1)

Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati 8:25 (NFLN)

Favorite Bengals by 6

Last Week Bengals defeated Jaguars 33-23; Browns defeated Buccaneers 22-17

Fast Fact This is the first time since 1986 that these two teams have met this late in the season with winning records.

An in state rivalry takes on added significance in a fairly high stakes primetime matchup The Browns struggled more than they should have but beat the Bucs while Bengals tottered some themselves but got past the Jags. Both teams in reality should be 6-2 heading into this matchup but the Browns took a pratfall in Jacksonville while the Bengals frittered away chance after chance in a tie with the Panthers. Nevertheless both teams are good and need this win to stay on top of the ultra-competitive AFC North. AJ Green being back for the Bengals is a huge boon; he demands extra attention and can open holes for an often inconsistent running game. Meanwhile Brian Hoyer is making the locals forget about pining for Johnny Football. Both teams have decent defenses and can play a rugged slugfest type game.† If the Bengals can establish their running game, I think that makes them tough to beat. Keeping the defense fresh seems to be a key to the Bengals overall health. Meanwhile, keeping Hoyer upright against a big play ballhawking Bengals defense is crucial for a Browns win. Though it would surprise me little to see the Browns take the fight to the Bengals. I think a rowdy home crowd will be the key to a tight win.

Pick-Cincinnati

Sunday November 9

Chiefs (5-3) @ Bills (5-3)

Ralph Wilson Stadium; Orchard Park, NY 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Chiefs by 1Ĺ

Last Week Chiefs defeated Jets 24-10, Bills were on their bye

Fast Fact None of the 11 touchdown passes Chiefs QB Alex Smith have thrown have went to their wide receivers

The Chiefs made short work of the woeful Jets which was the team the Bills thrashed before their bye. This is a matchup of strikingly similar teams Both teams have journeyman quarterback and decent running games. The visiting Chiefs are 2-2 on the road while the Bills are 2-2 at home. This will be a tough game to pick. I donít know which QB I trust less, Alex Smith of the Chiefs or Kyle Orton of Bills. But I know I trust Jamaal Charles who will find the sledding tough against the rugged Bills defense who gives up barely 92 yards rushing a game.† But the Bills runners are battling injuries and I think that makes the difference. The Chiefs will be the more dominant team because I just have the feeling that Kyle Orton will suddenly remember why heís never been able to stick too long with a team and the vastly underrated Chiefs defense will make a real statement here.

Pick-Kansas City

Dolphins (5-3) @ Lions (6-3)

Ford Field, Detroit 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Lions by 2Ĺ

Last Week Dolphins defeated Chargers 37-0, Lions were on their bye

Fast Fact The Dolphins are coming off their first shutout win since 2006 and largest win since 1995

The Dolphins are feeling their oats after throttling the Chargers while the Lions come in well rested after their London jaunt and subsequent bye. Though both teams have a winning record, I have no faith in either team long term. Ryan Tannehill seems to be finally getting it as the Dolphins have played fairly well as of late under his leadership. The Lions are the NFC version of the Bengals, they have talent and so much potential, the problem is that they always seem to seize up at a critical juncture. Both teams could use this win as a real resume builder toward legitimacy. I know Iím going to regret it either way, but I think the home team will do just enough to eke out a gritty win.

Pick-Detroit

Cowboys (6-3) @ Jaguars (1-8)

Wembley Stadium; London, England 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Cowboys by 6Ĺ

Last Week Cowboys lost to Cardinals 28-17; Jaguars lost to Bengals 33-23

Fast Fact The Cowboys have yet to lose when RB DeMarco Murray has over 20 carries this season, in both losses he has had 19 carries

Two weeks ago all the pundits were ready to canonize the Pokes as Super Bowl winners, Romo was finally ready to ascend to the heralded spot of top dog QB. DeMarco Murray was making Jim Brown look like a run of the mill back and everywhere you saw Jerry Jones or Jason Garrett being lionized as the dynamic force behind the Pokes 6-1 start. Then come back to back losses at home to Washington and Arizona the latter a nasty whipping by the ascendant Cards and the questions have flared anew. Iíve been the voice crying loud and long that these are the same old Pokes, no better than a .500 team in reality. But everyone call me a hater. Iím sorry, I donít think the Pokes are that good. Put on the world stage (as a road team, you know Jerry Jones would have a Texas size tantrum if they took a home game from him) against the woeful Jags seems to be the perfect antidote for the moment. The Jags showed some real growth against the Bengals but itís way too much to ask them to beat a clearly better team this far away from home.

Pick-Dallas

49ers (4-4) @ Saints (4-4)

Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Saints by 5

Last Week 49ers lost to Rams 13-10, Saints defeated Panthers 28-10

Fast Fact The Saints have an 11 game home winning streak

Iím sure most people saw this matchup wouldnít be of a pair .500 teams. The Niners gambled on a goal line score and came up snake eyes in a loss to the Rams, while the well-rested Saints pummeled the Panthers on Thursday. The Saints have suddenly found their stride to shake off a middling division morass. Meanwhile the Niners are coming to the cold realization that .500 wonít get them in the same area code as the playoffs and that their middling play will keep them right around that winning percentage. Iím liking Drew Brees to be able to pick on a defense noticeably weakened by injuries and a saints defense that should be able to limit the suddenly punchless Niners offense in check.

Pick-New Orleans

Titans (2-6) @ Ravens (5-4)

M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Ravens by 10

Last Week Titans were on their bye; Ravens lost to Steelers 43-23

Fast Fact The teams have split their last eight meetings

The Titans picked the absolute wrong time to cross the Ravens path; though coming off their bye they catch the Ravens annoyed at having lost a pair of road divisional games and are looking for someone to take it out on. The Titans are just not ready to deal with the rugged dynamic Ravens offense and their one dimensional offense will get hammered by the Ravens veteran defense. This is almost comical (save for the next matchup listed) I wonít bore you with why I think one team will win, at in front of a welcoming home crowd the Ravens should roll pretty easy

Pick-Baltimore (Lock of the Week)

Steelers (6-3) @ NY Jets (1-8)

MetLife Stadium; East Rutherford, NJ 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Steelers by 3Ĺ

Last Week Steelers defeated Ravens 43-23; Jets lost to Chiefs 24-10

Fast Fact Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger needs three TD passes to match the NFL mark for most TD passes thrown in a 3 game stretch

The Steelers have the opportunity that they always seem to get, with the Browns decimating the Bengals Thursday the Steelers have the perfect opening to slide into first and facing a Jets team that is just criminally bad itís almost laughable that the Steelers are getting this chance. Ben Roethlisberger has been on another level slinging the rock and facing a Jets secondary that isnít stopping anything living these days itís almost amusing to see how bad he might punish them, but the Jets played honorably against Peyton Manning a month ago when he was closing on the lifetime TD mark and one would think that they would rise to the occasionÖNaaaaah

Pick-Pittsburgh

Falcons (2-6) @ Buccaneers (1-7)

Raymond James Stadium, Tampa 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Falcons by 2Ĺ

Last Week Falcons were on their bye, Buccaneers lost to Browns 22-17

Fast Fact Something has to give here: The Falcons are winless on the road, while the Bucs have yet to have a home win

Both of these teams are pretty bad, the Falcons have been getting housed week after week after they destroyed these same Bucs in mid-September. Meanwhile aside from an extremely fluky win in Pittsburgh the Bucs have been nothing short of putrid themselves. Though they have had two OT losses and a five point defeat to Cleveland to show that they are at least giving a good outing as of late. I wonder often what happened to that dynamic offense the Matty Ice used to pilot, they just havenít been putting up the kind of points that weíre used to and the defense is horrid. This is a tossup. Iíll take the home team and call it an upset only because of the records.

Pick-Tampa Bay (upset of the week)

Broncos (6-2) @ Raiders (0-8)

o.Co Stadium, Oakland 4:05 (CBS)

Favorite Broncos by 11

Last Week Broncos lost to Patriots 43-21; Raiders lost to Seahawks 30-24

Fast Fact The 21 points scored by the Broncos was 16 points below their average during their previous four game winning streak

The Broncos got uncharacteristically housed on a national stage against the Pats while the Raiders showed some moxie in rallying back to push the Seahawks hard at home. This is another comical matchup. Peyton Manning rarely has back to back bad outings and the Raiders defense isnít anywhere close to the Pats. Manning will redeem himself nicely and the Broncos will get back on the winning track.

Pick-Denver

Rams (3-5) @ Cardinals (7-1)

University of Phoenix Stadium; Glendale, AZ 4:25 (FOX)

Favorite Cardinals by 7

Last Week Rams defeated 49ers 13-10; Cardinals defeated Cowboys 28-17

Fast Fact The Cards are gunning for their first 8-1 start since 1948

The Rams stunned the Niners in the big blue jean but the learning curve gets a whole lot steeper as they head to the desert to face a Cards squad who are raising a lot of eyebrows with their strong start. The Cards winning handily in Dallas quieted some critics who said that they had no quality road wins. The Cards rueful of their past history of bad finishes want to keep the accelerator to the floor and have the chops to do it. I think the Cards are for real for real. The Rams, while no pushover are just catching this team on a serious roll

Pick-Arizona

NY Giants (3-5) @ Seahawks (5-3)

CenturyLink Field, Seattle 4:25 (FOX)

Favorite Seahawks by 8Ĺ

Last Week Giants lost to Colts 40-24; Seahawks defeated Raiders 30-24

Fast Fact After only ever facing each other 8 times in the first 25 years of the Seahawks existence, the teams have split 8 meetings since the Seahawks switched conferences in 2002

The G-Men head to the Pacific Northwest off their bye and face a Seattle team that nearly took a humiliating loss to the woeful Raiders. Eli Manning is trying like a scout but in reality the Giants losing Victor Cruz and having no real running game is taking its toll having lost its last three by an average of 17.7 points. The Seahawks are getting bit hard by the injury bug and Russell Wilson has regressed some and the defense isnít as fearsome as it was last year. But at the end of the day, the G-Men are in over their head going to Seattle.

Pick-Seattle

Bears (3-5) @ Packers (5-3)

Lambeau Field, Green Bay 8:30 (NBC)

Favorite Packers by 7

Last Week Both teams were on their respective byes

Fast Fact Bears QB Jay Cutler is 1-9 against Green Bay with 19 interceptions

Both teams are coming off their bye and humiliating road routs the week before. But in reality the Packers loss was just a hiccup while the Bears are coming apart at the seams (again). Rodgers is throwing the ball well though the Pack defense has a tendency to get suspect at times. Jay Cutler needs to be arrested for stealing paychecks as his laconic attitude is really affecting his play. The weak running game and mediocre defense isnít helping matters but Cutler is really to blame here. I picked the Bears at home against the Pack and got burned. †Iím not stupid enough to pick against the Pack in Lambeau at night.

Pick-Green Bay

Monday November 10

Panthers (0-0) @ Eagles (0-0)

Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia 8:30 (ESPN)

Favorite Eagles by 7

Last Week The Eagles have an 11 game home winning streak, matching their longest run since 1993

The Panthers have had a long time to think about their downward spiral. The minute you think that Cam Newton is ready to become that transcendent QB, he regresses badly and the Panthers got housed badly in front of a sullen home crowd. Meanwhile the Eagles got a high-priced tough win at Houston that cost them Nick Foles AND DeMeco Ryans to long term injuries. Mark Sanchez gets his first start in better than a year and while not expected to be the force that Foles was is going to have to learn the high speed offense fast. As much as I want to call the upset here, I canít do it. The Eagles are too tough in their South Philly crib.

Pick-Philadelphia

Last Week: †10-3 (Lock Correct/Upset Incorrect)

Overall: 80-53-1

Locks: 7-2

Upsets: 2-7

Week 9 NFL Thursday Pick
Category: NFL
Tags: NFL Picks & Predictions

Last week was a slight improvement but still one of those ARRRGH week I smelled an upset with the Packers going in the Big Easy and they came apart under the withering fire of Brees and the Saints. I tried to swallow my loathing of Romo and the Pokes and thought that they would be a lock against Washington only to watch Colt McCoy (who apparently is still in this league) directed a solid effort for the win. After starting being perfect in the early games I only got one post 4p EDT game right. A truly galling set of circumstances if ever there was one, so once again determined to break out of this middling cycle of mediocrity that Iím in I present this weekís picks for you perusal and review. Odd provided by ESPN.com and are for entertainment and comparison purposes only. Since I spent all my money on Halloween candy I have none to spare you if you bet the lines and get took. The Packers (lost to Saints 44-23) Bears (Lost to Patriots 51-23), Lions, Falcons (Lions defeated Falcons 22-21), Bills (defeated Jets 43-23), and Titans (lost to Texans 30-16) are on their respective byes this week.

Thursday October 30

Saints (3-4) @ Panthers (3-4-1)

Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte 8:25 (NFLN)

Favorite Panthers by 3

Last Week Saints defeated Packers 44-23, Panthers lost to Seahawks 13-9

Fast Fact Saints have 10 game road losing streak

The Thursday game retreat back to a single network format for the back half of the season . Drew Brees might have saved the Saints season with by lighting up the Packers in front of a frenzied Superdome crowd. Now the Saints have to figure how to win outside of Orleans Parish, but the Panthers are just the kind of moody enigma that you just cant figure. They gave up 38 to Green Bay and 37 to Cincy but held the Seahawks to just 13. I think Drew Brees broke out of his first half funk and has the tools to strafe a suspect Panthers defense. Im still trying to figure where the Cam Newton that made numerous dynamic runs and passes against the Bengals three weeks ago disappeared to. I donít think he reappears this week

Pick-New Orleans

Sunday November 2nd (All times are Eastern Standard)

Washington (3-5) @ Vikings (3-5)

TCF Bank Stadium, Minneapolis 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Even

Last Week Washington defeated Cowboys 20-17 in OT, Vikings defeated Buccaneers 19-13 in OT

Fast Fact This is the fifth consecutive these non-divisional foes have faced one another

Both teams had satisfying road wins in OT, and the visitors may be cheered by the return of RGIII, I think that they may have been playing over their collective heads in blitzing the Cowboys with reckless abandon and I think the Vikings can and will grind them into a

Pick-Minnesota

Buccaneers (1-6) @ Browns (4-3)

FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Browns by 7

Last Week Buccaneers lost to Vikings 19-13 in OT, Browns defeated Raiders 23-13

Fast Fact The Browns sport their best record going into November since 2007 when they sported the same 4-3 record.

The Bucs suffered another painful loss as they gamely fought the Vikes to a draw into regulation and had first shot to score only to have the game ripped from them with a defensive scoop and score. The Browns on the other hand bounced back nicely to beat the sorry Raiders and look like that they are still in the mix for a playoff spot. The Browns have to keep themselves from looking past this game to a showdown with the downstate rivals, but I like that the Browns have a much better balance on both sides of the ball. The Bucs have shown that they can play on the road (they have beaten the Steelers in Pittsburgh) but I canít see them playing that far over their heads like that anytime soon.

Pick-Cleveland

Cardinals (6-1) @ Cowboys (6-2)

AT&T Stadium; Arlington, TX 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Cowboys by 2Ĺ

Last Week Cardinals defeated Eagles 24-20, Cowboys lost to Washington 20-17

Fast Fact The Cards have not won in Dallas in the regular season since 1989 (the Cards did win in Dallas in the 1998 wild card round)

The Cards are quietly one of the best teams in the NFL and probably one you know little about. Coming off a thrilling win over Philly they head to Big D where the Pokes got brought down to earth with a massive bump after getting shocked by their bitter Washington rivals last Monday. Tony Romo has not practiced all week with a suspect back and that bodes badly for them. Meanwhile Carson Palmer has played solid the entire season and with their rugged defense. I think that should be enough to beat the suddenly suspect Pokes in what should be one of the best of the early games

Pick-Arizona

Eagles (5-2) @ Texans (4-4)

NRG Stadium, Houston 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Eagles by 1Ĺ

Last Week Eagles lost to Cardinals 24-20; Texans defeated Titans 30-16

Fast Fact The Eagles need to be wary as they have a -7 turnover differential and face a Texans squad whose 17 takeaways is second in the NFL,

The Eagles lost a tough one in the desert and have to take on a decent Texans squad who ran the Titans into the ground with a steady dose of Arian Foster. The Eagles can be had in the air though but on offense is still able to tax the will of an opposing defense with its fast breaking ability. I keep thinking that the Texans are good enough to pull the win out at home. But I just can shake the feeling that Eagles are a little better

Pick-Philadelphia

NY Jets (1-7) @ Chiefs (4-3)

Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Chiefs by 8Ĺ

Last Week †Jets lost to Bills 43-23; Chiefs defeated Rams 34-7

Fast Fact The Jets seven game slide is their longest in 18 seasons

The Jets are just a sorry mess, Geno Smith has played his way out of a job and Michael Vick is nowhere near the dynamic entity that he used to be. Meanwhile the Chiefs are looking better and better every week. Asking the Jets to go into the noise factory that is arrowhead and win in the chaotic state that they are in in damn near impossible.

Pick-Kansas City (Lock of The Week)

Jaguars (1-7) @ Bengals (4-2-1)

Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Bengals by 10

Last Week Jaguars lost to Dolphins 27-13; Bengals defeated Ravens 27-24

Fast Fact Bengals have a 13 game unbeaten streak at home (12-0-1) longest such unbeaten home streak in franchise history

The Jags are still a hot mess, after getting straight housed by the Dolphins while Bengals may have had their shaky season saved on a penalty, Steve Smith Sr.ís shove of George Iloka (Yes he grabbed him and shoved him, donít argue with me) erased what would have been a devastating touchdown and preserved a badly needed win.† If this game was in Florida, this would scream a trap game for the Bengals. Instead, playing at their jungle fortress the Bengals should make short work of the Jags, though I have the feeling that the game will be tighter than it should be but the home team should pull it out

Pick-Cincinnati

Chargers (5-3) @ Dolphins (4-3)

SunLife Stadium; Miami Gardens, FL 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Chargers by 2

Last Week Chargers lost to Broncos 35-21; Dolphins defeated Jaguars 27-13

Fast Fact The Chargers have not won in Miami since their legendary double OT playoff win in January 1982

The Chargers were worn down by the Broncos last Thursday while the Dolphins toyed with the Jags. I can put my trust in the Chargers though on paper they are clearly the better team. Ryan Tannehill is finally ďgetting itĒ and is developing into a serviceable, if not outright decent QB. I think the Chargers are way due to break their long time Miami curse but I canít shake the east coast early game bugaboo. I know Iím going to regret this one

Pick-San Diego

Rams (2-5) @ 49ers (4-3)

Leviís Stadium; Santa Clara, CA 4:05 (FOX)

Favorite 49ers by 10

Last Week Rams lost to Chiefs 34-7; 49ers were on their bye

Fast Fact Rams have not won in San Francisco since 2007

The Rams got trampled by their cross state brethren and now have to face a rested Niners team that hammered them only a couple weeks earlier. The Rams are suffering through the massive growing pains with the development of young Austin Davis and losing on the road was a direct result of this. The Niners smacked around the Rams before and I see no real reason that they wonít here.

Pick-San Francisco

Broncos (6-1) @ Patriots (6-2)

Gillette Stadium; Foxboro, MA 4:25 (CBS)

Favorite Broncos by 3

Last Week Broncos defeated Chargers 35-21, Patriots defeated Bears 51-23

Fast Fact Instead of quoting the well-known fact that this will be the 16th time these legendary QBís have faced off with Brady holding a 10-5 edge, how about the fact both QB have thrown a total 890 touchdown passes between them which is the most for two QBís facing off.

The unquestioned big game of the week has two of the AFC power brokers facing off, both having QBís coming off white hot months passing. I like Bradyís ability to continually reinvent himself and confound opponents, but I think that the curve gets massively steep facing a Denver defense that is rugged tough and can do the one thing that you know Brady doesnít like, get hit on the regular. Meanwhile, Peyton Manning is throwing TDís at his usual bushel clip. Iím thinking that Manning should be able to get his and Brady might have a bit of trouble with the Broncos withering pass rush. The Pats rarely lose at home, so this would be a serious upset.

Pick-Denver (Upset of the week)

Raiders (0-7) @ Seahawks (4-3)

CenturyLink Field, Seattle 4:25 (CBS)

Favorite Seahawks by 14

Last Week Raiders lost to Browns 23-13, Seahawks defeated Panthers 13-9

Fast Fact The Raiders are allowing an NFL high 48.5% conversion rate on 3rd down.

The Raiders may be winless but there are showing some signs of cohesion under the quarterbacking of Derek Carr, but asking the young QB to go into CenturyLink and pull out a win is asking way too much. The Seahawks defense is still solid enough to stop the Raiders fledgling offense and Marshawn Lynch should be able to find the sledding very easy against the weak Raiders defense.

Pick-Seattle

Ravens (5-3) @ Steelers (5-3)

Heinz Field, Pittsburgh 8:30 (NBC)

Favorite Ravens by 1Ĺ

Last Week Ravens lost to Bengals 27-24, Steelers defeated Colts 51-34

Fast Fact Last week Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger became the first QB to notch a 2nd 500 yard passing performance

The Ravens lost a road thriller while the Steelers won a wild shootout with the Colts I seriously doubt that the Steelers will get that kind of offensive production over their next couple games. This matchup usually delves into a grimy grinding game that both teams like. The game is a real toss up, but Iím thinking that the home team should be able to hold a slim edge at home.

Pick-Pittsburgh

Monday November 3

Colts (5-3) @ Giants (3-4)

MetLife Stadium; East Rutherford, NJ 8:30 (ESPN)

Favorite Colts by 3

Last Week Colts lost to Steelers 51-34, Giants were on their bye

Fast Fact Andrew Luckís 2731 yards and 22 TDís both lead the NFL

A week after shutting out the Bengals the Colts got strafed for 51 point in Pittsburgh. I donít think the G-Men have that kind of firepower in them. The Colts got exposed somewhat in their defense but I like Andrew Luck being able to strafe the often suspect G-Men defense. This game might be a shootout as well, but the Colts are the better team and will bounce back nicely to get the win.

Pick-Indianapolis

Last Week: 10-5 (Lock & Upset incorrect)

Overall: 70-50-1

Locks: 6-2

Upsets: 2-6

NFL Week 8 Picks
Category: NFL
Tags: NFL Picks & Predictions

A decent week, but there were games that I should have known better and picked anyway. The picks will get better, Iím sure of it. The odds are provided by ESPN.com and are provided for entertainment and comparison purposes only. If you take the lines and get took, Iím way too broke to pay bookies for you.

Thursday†October 23

Chargers (5-2) @ Broncos (5-2)

Sports Authority Field @ Mile High, Denver†8:25†(CBS/NFLN)

Favorite Broncos by 9Ĺ

Last Week†Chargers lost to Chiefs 23-20, Broncos defeated 49ers 42-17

Fast Fact†Broncos QB Peyton Manning has thrown at least one touchdown pass in every meeting against the Chargers

The Broncos have little time to celebrate their QBís record accomplishment, as they face a tough divisional opponent. The Chargers though are coming off a loss in which their potent offense saw very little of the field with only 21 minutes of possession time. To keep up with the high powered Denver offense, the Chargers may have to play some ball control of their own which means that Branden Oliver will have to play big. Whoever controls the ball will likely claim this critical midseason matchup. Im taking the home team

Pick-Denver

Sunday October 26

Lions (5-2) vs. Falcons (2-5)

Wembley Stadium; London, England 9:30a (FOX)

Favorite Lions by 3Ĺ

Last Week Lions defeated Saints 24-23, Falcons lost to Ravens 29-7

Fast Fact Falcons have won the last five meetings but have lost 11 of last 12 overall away from the Georgia Dome

That time for the game is not a misprint, the kickoff is at 2:30p London time which means this game will be done before many Atlanta and Detroit residents get home from brunch after church. The Lions offense has been fairly pedestrian with the absence of Megatron Johnson but the defense is just about lights out. I once trusted Matty Ice and the Falcons offense to be able to put up points but theyíve badly regressed and the Lions are just playing better.

Pick-Detroit

Seahawks (3-3) @ Panthers (3-3-1)

Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Seahawks by 5

Last Week Seahawks lost to Rams 28-26, Panthers lost to Packers 38-17

Fast Fact

The Seahawks are suddenly looking very mortal falling to the Rams and their bevy of gadget plays, meanwhile the Panthers are winless in their last two after getting housed in Lambeau. Iím not real savvy on either team and with the Seahawks making another east coast trip Iím so tempted to pick the home team in a slight upset, but I really donít trust the Panthers on either side of the ball and I still like Russell Wilson running the Seahawks offense as efficiently as he has been doing

Pick-Seattle

Rams (2-4) @ Chiefs (3-3)

Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite

Last Week Rams defeated Seahawks 28-26, Chiefs defeated Chargers 23-20

Fast Fact The Chiefs have averaged 28.8 points in winning three of their last four

The Rams surprised many in the football world, me included with a gadget play filled win over the Seahawks while the Chiefs rumbled their way over the Chargers. Iím thinking the Chiefs are getting their collective minds right at the right time. Though the young Austin Davis is looking like he could make the oft injured Sam Bradford expendable I donít think he will fare well against a tough KC defense and an amped Arrowhead crowd

Pick-Kansas City

Texans (3-4) @ Titans (2-5)

LP Field, Nashville 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Texans by 3

Last Week Texans lost 30-23 to Steelers, Titans lost 19-17 to Washington

Fast Fact

The Texans melted down in Pittsburgh last Monday while the Titans continue to spin their wheels fruitlessly. If there was ever a chance for a team to catch its collective breath and bear down on someone itís here. Rookie Zach Mettenberger is making his first NFL start and will likely get an up close intro to JJ Watt. Iím thinking that it wonít be pleasant and it may be done repeatedly

Pick-Houston

Ravens (5-2) @ Bengals (3-2-1)

Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Ravens by 1

Last Week Ravens defeated Falcons 29-7, Bengals lost to Colts 27-0

Fast Fact Bengals outscored opponents 80-33 in 3-0 start but have been outscored 107-54 in going 0-2-1 to follow

The Ravens are looking fearsome in winning 5 of 6 while the Bengals have went from talking Super Bowl to fighting for their collective lives in an 3 game winless streak that has seen them fall all the way to 3rd in the division in a blink of an eye. Iíve never been a big fan of the laconic Joe Flacco but he seems to be on point when needed and the Ravens defense has been playing very well. The Bengals lack of credible running game is hurting them with the lack of a big play receiver. I want so bad to see the Bengals revert to their September modus operandi and knock the Ravens off. But I just canít see it happening.

Pick-Baltimore

Dolphins (3-3) @ Jaguars (1-6)

EverBank Field, Jacksonville 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Dolphins by 6

Last Week Dolphins defeated Bears 27-14, Jaguars defeated Browns 24-6

Fast Fact After surrendering an average of 435.4 yards a game in their first five, the Jags defense only allowed 266 total against the Browns to snag their first win of the season

The Dolphins looked like the meant business as they stomped the Bears in the Midway while the Jags pulled a serious show shocker with a stunning rout of the Browns in front of a deliriously happy home crowd. The Jags are learning fast and look like that they could be the handful on occasion but I think the Dolphins are a little better than the Browns on both sides of the ball and will be able to force the young and improving Blake Bortles into enough mistakes to get the win

Pick-Miami

Bears (3-4) @ Patriots (5-2)

Gillette Stadium; Foxboro, MA 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Patriots by 6

Last Week Bears lost to Dolphins 27-14, Patriots defeated Jets 27-25

Fast Fact Pats have won 12 consecutive home games and Bears have never won in Foxboro

I am getting to really dislike Jay Cutler his maddeningly inconsistent play is making it harder and harder to pick Bears games. Meanwhile the Pats are looking more and more like their reliable selves though they did struggle more against the Jets than I thought that they should have. But extra rested and at home, Iím banking on Brady on the more reliable Pats defense to give the Bears a hard time.

Pick-New England

Bills (4-3) @ Jets (1-6)

MetLife Stadium; East Rutherford, NJ 1:00 (FOX, CBS, NBC, ESPN)

Favorite Jets by 3

Last Week Jets lost to Patriots 27-25, Bills defeated Vikings 17-16

Fast Fact Jets have won 12 of the last 16 meetings and last four

The Bills played beat the clock and did so in knocking off the Vikings while the Jets played honorably in a tight loss to the Pats last Thursday. Iím liking the cohesiveness of the Bills play as of late, though I just have the bad feeling that the Jets are going to play them extremely tough

Pick-Buffalo

Vikings (2-5) @ Buccaneers (1-5)

Raymond James Stadium, Tampa 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Buccaneers by 2Ĺ

Last Week Vikings lost to Bills 17-16, Buccaneers were on a bye

Fast Fact The Bucs have allowed a league worst 72 points in the 1st quarter

The Vikes lost a heartbreaker in Buffalo while the Buccaneers are still woozy from the beating they got before their bye. Teddy Bridgewater is due for a breakout game and I think that the Vikings running game will get healthy against the weak Bucs defense. Iím hoping that this is one of the rare weeks that the Vikes get to be a bully

Pick-Minnesota

Eagles (0-0) @ Cardinals (0-0)

University of Phoenix; Glendale, AZ 4:05 (FOX)

Favorite Cardinals by 2

Last Week Eagles were on their bye, Cardinals defeated Raiders 24-13

Fast Fact Cardinals have won seven of the last nine meetings in the desert

This is probably one of the best games that most people outside of Arizona, Philly and Cincy wonít get to see. Phillyís fast break offense, well rested after the bye gets to face a solid Cards defense who toyed with the Raiders in the east bay before easing to the win. Iím thinking that the Eagles offense will be a real test not so much for the Cards defense but their offense whom Iím still not wholly trusting under the stewardship of Carson Palmer

Pick-Philadelphia

Raiders (0-6) @ Browns (3-3)

FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland 4:25 (CBS)

Favorite Browns by 7

Last Week Raiders lost to Cardinals 24-13, Browns lost to Jaguars 24-6

Fast Fact The Raiders 0-6 start is their worst since 1962, when they went 1-13

The Raiders are getting close to the hopeless case status while the Browns blew their chance to be a road bully in Jacksonville. This really should be a game that the Browns should roll deep on but the thing that worries me is that most of the time that you think that the Browns are ready to ascend that they fall flat on their collective faces. I really want to call this an upset for Oakland but I just canít

Pick-Cleveland

Colts (5-2) @ Steelers (4-3)

Heinz Field, Pittsburgh 4:25 (CBS)

Favorite Colts by 3Ĺ

Last Week Colts defeated Bengals 27-0, Steelers defeated Texans 30-23

Fast Fact

The Colts were crisp and efficient in dismantling the Bengals while the Steelers took advantage of every Texan miscue to rally smartly for the win. As much as everyone wants to believe that the Steelers are still a viable playoff type team, they are a shell of their former formidable selves. If they plod along like they did in the first half against the Texans they wonít be down 13, theyíll be down 28 and they wonít come back from that. The Colts are scary fast and are playing with a chillingly ruthless efficiency that wonít allow for a lacking performance

Pick-Indianapolis

Packers (5-2) @ Saints (2-4)

Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans 8:30 (NBC)

Favorite Saints by 2Ĺ

Last Week Packers defeated Panthers 38-17, Saints lost to Lions 24-23

Fast Fact

The Packers are rolling along and dismantled the Panthers easily, while the Saints took a stunning late game pratfall to the Lions in Motown. The Packers will have their hands full dealing with the notoriously rowdy Superdome crowd who will be amped up for primetime. Drew Brees is needing a bounce back game but I just canít see it happening against a Packers defense that is quietly one of the leagues better units Iím calling this an upset only because a Saints loss in the Big Easy is super rare in the Brees/Payton era.

Pick-Green Bay (Upset of the Week)

Monday October 27

Washington (2-5) @ Cowboys (6-1)

AT&T Stadium; Arlington, TX 8:30 (ESPN)

Favorite Cowboys by 10

Fast Fact Cowboys five game win streak is its longest since2007

Last Week Washington defeated Titans 19-17, Cowboys defeated Giants 31-21

The Pokes are riding high after a solid divisional win while Washington was cheered by a tight win over the Titans. The Pokes running game is clearly the leagues best and has been the engine of their winning ways, meanwhile Washington might have to turn to Colt McCoy (Is he still in this league) to try to pilot their sputtering offense. This is almost too easy, Iím almost afraid to have any confidence in the Pokes for fear they might turn into the Bears. But as long as DeMarco Murray is lugging the loaf as well as he has been the Pokes will look really good. As much as I fear doing it

Pick-Dallas (Lock of the Week)

Last Week: 9-6 (Lock Correct Upset Incorrect)

Overall: 60-45-1

Locks: 6-1

Upsets: 2-5

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