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Week 15 NFL Picks (The rest of them
Category: NFL
Tags: NFL Picks and Predictions

 

Sunday, December 15

 

Bills (4-9) @ Jaguars (4-9) 

EverBank Field, Jacksonville 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Bills by 1

Last Week Bills lost to Buccaneers 27-6, Jaguars defeated Texans 27-20

Fast Fact The Jags have averaged 23 point in their last five going 4-1 after averaging 10.5 in their 0-8 start

The Jags have played rather respectable in  the last five weeks and have quietly put to rest the “worst team ever” talk that had haunted them in the first half of the season. They face a very beatable Bills squad who has developed their usual December glazed over look, they got hammered by the Bucs in Tampa and their offense is starting to again look lost. The Jags deserve some dap for playing hard after such a horrid start and I think that they continue to show improvement.

Pick-Jacksonville

 

Bears (7-6) @ Browns (4-9)

FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Bears by 1

Last Week Bears defeated Cowboys 45-28, Browns lost to Patriots 27-26

Fast Fact The Bears are a real Jekyll and Hyde, 2nd in the NFL with 28.3 points a game on offense but 27th in overall defense.

The Bears are rolling the dice and going back to Jay Cutler despite the strong showing by Josh McCown over the past five weeks that kept them in the thick of the NFC North playoff hunt. Heading in to face the perpetually snakebit Browns who seem to always be on the wrong end of a comeback, this time getting the business in Foxboro. Being the home finale for the Browns you would expect them to either put a strong fight up as a last stand or go meekly out. Im thinking in spite of the strong play Josh Gordon, the dual threat of Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffrey will be plenty and even Cutler couldn’t mess that up.

Pick­-Chicago

 

Texans (2-11) @ Colts (8-5)

Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Colts by 5

Last Week Texans lost to Jaguars 27-20, Colts lost to Bengals 42-28

Fast Fact The Texans 11 game losing streak this season matches their losing streak in Indianapolis where they have never won .

The Texans frighteningly steep slide has cost head coach Gary Kubiak his job, and the oft traveled Wade Phillps steps in to finish this nightmare season. The Colts got trampled by the Bengals but were consoled by finally clinching the AFC South as their old pal Peyton throttled the Titans to get them in. The Texans have capable parts but have forgotten how to win, their bugaboo in the Circle City wont end anytime soon as the Colts are eager to bounce back strong and use their favorite homecoming opponent to do so.

Pick-Indianapolis (Lock of the Week)

 

New England (10-3) @ Miami (7-6) 

SunLife Stadium, Miami Gardens 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Pick Em

Last Week Patriots defeated Browns 27-26 Dolphins defeated Steelers 34-28

Playoff Implications Patriots clinch AFC East with win

Fast Fact The Pats have rallied from double digit deficits to win each of their last three games.

This game has trap written all over in the pastel colors once found in South Beach, The Pats struggled with the Browns before getting a fortuitous call (or three) to pull the game out. The Dolphins battled the Steelers in the snow before winning late. The Pats are scrambling to figure out how to again compensate for the loss of Rob Gronkowski, out with a shredded knee. I just have that feeling that even though the door is now open for the Pats to slide into the #1 seed, they don’t have the horses to do it. The Dolphins are better than most thought and the result will be a game tighter than the Pats expected or wanted. They don’t get the calls this time and get caught on the wrong side of the equasion this time.

Pick-Miami (Upset of the Week)

 

Eagles (8-5)  @ Vikings (3-9-1) 

Mall of America Field @ HHH Metrodome, Minneapolis 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Eagles by 5½

Last Week Eagles defeated Lions 34-20, Vikings lost to Ravens 29-26

Fast Fact The Eagles won last week without kicking a single extra point

Adjusting smartly to the blizzard conditions in Philly last week the Eagles poured it on late on the Lions. Menawhile the Vikings ran the gamut of highs and lows but were on the wrong end of a thrilling shootout with the Ravens. Already in playoff mode trying to hold of the Cowboys the Eagles are in no mood to feel sorry for the walking mash unit the Vikes have become. The Vikes have slightly better than a punchers chance with Adrian Peterson at full strength, if hes hobbled or out forget it.

Pick-Philadelphia

 

San Francisco (9-4)  @ Tampa Bay (4-9)

Raymond James Stadium, Tampa 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Niners by 5

Last Week 49ers defeated Seahawks 19-17, Buccaneers defeated Bills 27-6

Playoff Implications 49ers Clinch playoff berth with win and losses by ARI and either PHI OR DAL

Fast Fact The Niners have yet to allow an opponent to rush for better than 100 yards this season.

The Niners turned their rematch with the Seahawks into a grimy, gritty grudge match and won a taut game. The Bucs enjoyed a rare opp to be a bully and battered the Bills. Most of the time when a west coast team comes east to play an early Im usually calling dead man walking but the Niners are the better team on both sides of the ball and may make this a low scoring affair. Mike Glennon is showing more and more promise but I cant trust him against the rugged Niner pass defense. I think the defense carries the day and the offense does just enough to grind out another ugly win to close in on another playoff berth.

Pick-San Francisco

 

Seahawks (11-2) @  NY Giants (5-8)

MetLife Stadium; East Rutherford, NJ 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Seahawks by 7

Last Week Seahawks lost to 49ers 19-17, Giants lost to Chargers 37-14

Playoff Implications Seahawks clinch NFC West with win AND SF loss, and home field advantage with SF AND NO loss

Fast Fact Giants have a league worst 34 turnovers

You know its saying something when a west coast team comes east and is a touchdown favorite coming off a loss. But the Seahawks, overdue for a reality check played flat against the Niners. The G-Men’s brief flirtations with making a late playoff dash were destroyed with the awful beating they took in San Diego. The Seahawks can run the ball and should find the sledding much easier against the Giants butter soft defense. The ball hawking, big play defense will be a major concern for the turnover prone G-Men and will be the difference here.

Pick-Seattle

 

Redskins (3-10) @ Falcons (3-10)

Georgia Dome, Atlanta 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Falcons by 7

Last Week Redskins lost to Chiefs 45-10, Falcons lost to Packers 22-21

Fast Fact Redskins QB Kirk Cousins made his NFL debut against these very same Falcons a year ago after RGIII was knocked out of the game with a concussion

When the schedule first came out, I told a buddy that this game would be the one that NBC would grab if they needed to flex out of the Bengals-Steelers game.  That was before the Redskins turned into a testosterone driven soap opera and the Falcons had more injuries than a MASH unit. So this is more or less a forgettable matchup. With coach Mike Shanahan basicially deactivating RGIII to spite team owner/poobah  Dan Snyder this team has a finished look about it. Pity poor Kirk Cousins who is capable enough but is being thrown into an unwinnable situation. The Falcons are not a formidable team but have been playing competitively pretty much the whole season. Im thinking that the Redskins have basically quit and the Falcons will take advantage to roll to a moral boosting win

Pick-Atlanta

 

Chiefs (10-3) @ Raiders (4-9)

o.Co Coliseum, Oakland 4:05 (CBS)

Favorite Chiefs by 5

Last Week Chiefs defeated Redskins 45-10, Raiders lost to Jets 37-27

Playoff Implications Chiefs clinch playoff berth with

Fast Fact Chiefs gunning for their first season sweep of the Raiders since 2006

An old school AFL matchup on tap here as that audible sigh of relief you hear comes from Chief fans who reveled in a relaxing beatdown of the Redskins. The road gets much much smoother from here on out and the outside shot of winning the AFC West is still very much in play. The Raiders on the other hand are slogging through yet another pitiful season and got throttled in Gotham last week. The Raiders may put up a decent fight but their last three opponents have much to play for and they will be speed bump foe than foil here.

Pick-Kansas City

 

NY Jets (6-7)  @ Carolina (9-4) 

Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte 4:05 (CBS)

Favorite Panthers by 10½

Last Week Jets defeated Raiders 37-27, Panthers lost to Saints 31-13

Playoff Implications Panthers clinch playoff berth with win and losses by ARI, SF and either DAL OR PHI

Fast Fact Panthers allow a league low 14.5 points a game, not good for the Jets who average 13.2 points per game on the road.

The grins and jeers from the Jets buffoonish coach returned as the Jets thumped the woeful Raiders and for the moment stayed on the very edge of the playoff hunt, the curve gets much much steeper as they head to Charlotte to face an angry Panther team that got hammered in New Orleans on Sunday Night. Cam Newton is going to have a solid game against a suspect Jets defense and Geno Smith might as well start running now because the Panthers defense will not allow him to loiter casually in the pocket as he he did against the Raiders.

Pick-Carolina

 

Cardinals (8-5) @ Titans (5-8) 

LP Field, Nashville 4:25 (FOX)

Favorite Cardinals by 3

Last Week Cardinals defeated Rams 30-10, Titans lost to Broncos 51-28

Fast Fact Cards QB Carson Palmer has completed 70.4% of his passes for an average of 326 yards with eight touchdowns in the past four weeks fueling a 3-1 run.

The Cards are probably one of the better teams you know little about, with the renaissance of Carson Palmer , the emergence of Michael Floyd to complement the continued brilliant play of Larry Fitzgerald and the defensive wizardry of Karlos Dansby the Cards are rounding in a solid squad but they are buried in a strong division behind the juggernaut that Seattle has and the proud defending conference champs in Frisco. Still they toil quietly and are making continued headaches for opponent. The Titans on the other hand just want it to be all over after getting trampled by the Broncos and finally finishing any playoff hopes they might have had. The Cards are the better team and will show why, a late game start offsets any west to east advantage the Titans might have harbored.

Pick-Arizona

 

Packers (6-6-1) @  Cowboys (7-6)

AT&T Stadium; Arlington, TX 4:25 (FOX)

Favorite Cowboys by 7

Last Week Packers defeated Falcons 22-21, Cowboys lost to Bears 45-28

Fast Fact This is the Packers first trip to AT&T Stadium, to face the Cowboys. They won Super Bowl 45 there in Jan 2012. The Packers hope that is the beginning of good fortunes in the metroplex since they have lost to the Pokes in their last nine visits to Dallas

The Packers continue to hold on to their playoff hopes though Aaron Rodgers will again be a no-go. Matt Flynn played capably against the Falcons in a narrow win. As much as I loathe to do so, I will not place any of the blame for the uneven play of the Pokes on Tony Romo who has played decently all season. The Pokes defense is the real sham here, giving yards and points up freely at an alarming record pace.  So why cant the Packers do the same and dominate the clock in the same manner that the Bears did last Monday? Well, lets start with…No wait, I could point out that…aw skip it. The Pokes have shown me nothing that wont prove that the unremarkable Matt Flynn shouldn’t shred them too.

Pick-Green Bay

 

Saints (10-3) @ Rams (5-8) 

Edward Jones Dome, St. Louis 4:25 (FOX)

Favorite Saints by 6½

Last Week Saints defeated Panthers 31-13, Rams lost to Cardinals 30-10

Playoff Implications Saints clinch playoff berth with win

Fast Fact Saints QB Drew Brees eclipsed the 50,000 yard passing mark last week, becoming the 5th member of this high yardage passing club

The Saints looked like their old selves as the rolled the Panthers but one wonders what team will show up outside of Orleans Parish. The Rams got thumped by the Cards and are fading away facing their 10th straight losing campaign. You have to wonder what motivation that the Rams will have to slow Brees and company down. I think with the depleted play of Zac Stacy and Tavyon Austin nursing a bad ankle two of the Rams key components will be less than a peak form, this should be an easy win

Pick-New Orleans

 

Bengals (9-4)  @ Steelers (5-8)

Heinz Field, Pittsburgh 8:30 NBC

Favorite Bengals by 1½ 

Last Week Bengals defeated Colts 42-28, Steelers lost to Dolphins 34-28

Playoff Implications Bengals clinch AFC North with win and BAL loss

Fast Fact The Bengals clinched their third winning season in a row, only the 2nd time in team history (75-77) they have done so.

The Bengals looked at times to be the dark horse of the AFC as they throttled the Colts but they now face a big mental hurdle to beat their long time nemesis/bully in the Steelers who came apart late against the Dolphins at home. The Steelers cling to the belief that they aren’t as bad as people think and that the Bengals aren’t as good. There’s one real problem with that thinking. The Bengals defense is better than it has been in years and plays with a growing mean streak. The Steelers will be buoyed by their home crowd that doesn’t want to see the Bengals who they have always considered an inferior opponent clinch a playoff spot on their turf like they have done twice in the past seven years. Hate to be the bearer of bad news, but as long as the Bengals continue to show increased production out of their running game and Andy Dalton keeps the turnovers down. They will score more points than the Steelers will be able to produce against the Bengals rock solid defense.

Pick-Cincinnati
 

Monday, December 16

Ravens (7-6) @ Lions (7-6)

Ford Field, Detroit 8:30 (ESPN)

Favorite Lions by 6

Last Week Ravens defeated Vikings 29-26, Lions lost to Eagles 34-20

Fast Fact In its last three losses the Lions have five turnovers in the 4th quarter

The Ravens won a wild shootout at home against the Vikes and remain in control of their playoff destiny while Lions continue to fumble away every chance that they have had to bury the NFC North, getting housed in the Philly blizzard. The Ravens are formidable at home but this game is in Motown and the Ravens are 1-5 on the road. With the rest of their games against divisional leaders their crucible will tested here. I cant trust the Lions for anything, they play like gang busters one week and busters the next. But its not like the Ravens are playing super either. Im gonna take a blind leap of faith and hope that the Lions will play big in front of a national audience and put their playoff footing on more solid ground.

Pick-Detroit

 

Last Week: 15-1 (Lock & Upset Correct)

Overall: 128-77-1

Locks: 13-1

Upsets: 8-6

 

Week 15 NFL Thursday (The last Thursday Game!)
Category: NFL
Tags: NFL Picks and Predictions

You read right, the tilt in the mile high city is the last of the Thursday games for 2013 and if I had my way would be the last of them permanently save for Thanksgiving. If NFL Network has to have a game make Mondays a doubleheader...but Ive been on that soapbox before. Odds provided by ESPN Scorecenter for entertainment and comparison purposes only. The rest of the weeks slate by late Friday....

 

Thursday, December 12

 

Chargers(6-7) @ Broncos (11-2)

Sports Authority Field @ Mile High, Denver  8:20 (NFLN)

Favorite Broncos by 10

Last Week Chargers defeated Giants 37-14, Broncos defeated Titans 51-28

Playoff Implications Broncos clinch AFC West with win and KC loss

Fast Fact Broncos K Mike Prater set an NFL record with a 64 yard field goal last week

The Chargers remain on the very fringe of the playoff picture after smashing the G-Men while Peyton quieted (some) critics with yet another virtuoso performance in the bitter cold against the Titans, both teams can put up points but its left to wonder who will be more prolific. Normally Denver in December would prove to be just as bitterly cold and snowy but its supposed to be surprisingly mild. Im still not betting against Peyton and the Broncs at home.

Pick-Denver

NFL Week 14 Picks (The Rest of Em)
Category: NFL
Tags: NFL Picks and Predictions

 

 

That was a nice bounce back after a straight stinker of a week last time out. The playoff picture is coming slowly into focus. So I have added another line where needed of playoff implications of the game. I won’t add it in if a team needs other things to happen in addition to the win. Odds are provided by ESPN scorecenter and are for entertainment and comparison purposes only. Since I have Christmas shopping still to do, I can’t spare you any loot if you bet these lines and get took.

 

Sunday, December 8

 

Falcons (3-9) @ Packers (5-6-1)

Lambeau Field, Green Bay 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Packers by 3½

Last Week Falcons defeated Bills 34-31, Packers lost to Lions 40-10

Fast Fact Falcons TE Tony Gonzalez needs 79 receiving yards to be the fifth receiver and only tight end to surpass the 15,000 yard mark.

This game was originally the weeks Sunday Night matchup but was flexed to a nondescript 1:00 slot. It’s just as well, as no one would care to see the fading Pack and woeful injury addled Falcons tussle in the tundra. Aaron Rodgers may be back for the Packers and that will at least make their offense serviceable. But their defense is still suspect and that is still a troubling facet of a team that was once considered prime playoff material. The Falcons are cheered by the return of Steven Jackson as a solid contributor but they are still not fully capable of beating a good team. As much as I would like to see the Falcons continue to hasten the Packers collapse, I can’t see it happening.

Pick-Green Bay

 

 

Bills (4-8) @ Buccaneers (3-9) 

Raymond James Stadium, Tampa 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Buccaneers by 2 ½

Last Week Bills defeated Falcons 34-31, Buccaneers lost to Panthers

Fast Fact The Bills have lost four games by seven points or fewer

Both these teams are on the fast track to nowhere. The Bills threw away chance after chance to win up in Toronto against the Falcons, and all but assured themselves of another non-playoff season. The Bucs showed some promise as of recent but got housed badly by the Panthers last week clinching a losing season for them as well, their third straight. The Bucs had a nonexistent running game against Carolina but I think that they will get their against a notoriously weak Bills run defense. The Bills show promise but I just can’t buy into them winning on the road where they are 1-4 and are not showing any inclination to changing that.

Pick-Tampa Bay

 

 

Browns (4-8) @ Patriots (9-3)

Gillette Stadium; Foxboro, MA 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Patriots by 11½

Last Week Browns lost to Jaguars 32-28, Patriots defeated Texans 34-31

Fast Fact Patriots have been outscored 34-7 in the first quarter in their last three games. But have outscored opponents 133-56 in the 2nd half of those same games

Playoff Implications: Patriots clinch AFC East with win

The Browns are regressing badly in spite of inspired play from Josh Gordon who had a monster day in a puzzling loss to the Jaguars. The Pats fiddled around as usual before rallying to beat an overmatched Texans squad. The Browns will probably give the Pats their A-Game and might even take a lead before Tom Brady and the Pats decide the tomfoolery has gone on long enough and roll to the win. As much as I loath to put the lock on a team twice in a row, this is too easy to pass up.

Pick-New England (Lock of the Week)

 

 

Lions (7-5) @ Eagles (7-5)

Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Eagles by 2½

Last Week Lions defeated Packers 40-10, Eagles defeated Cardinals 24-21

Fast Fact Eagles QB Nick Foles needs one more TD pass without an interception to tie the record for most TD’s to start a season without an interception held by Peyton Manning

Both these playoff contenders would like to get a key win here, Nick Foles is firmly establishing himself as the bona fide starter. The Lions are a solid team provided Matthew Stafford isn’t making bad decisions that lead to turnovers. They have a solid running game and that guy that they call Megatron is pretty decent and could pick on a weak Philly secondary at will. The chances of this delving into a high scoring shootout are high. Though I’m not totally sold on the Lions, I just don’t think Nick Foles can keep this crazy pace up.

Pick-Detroit

 

 

Colts (8-4) @ Bengals (8-4) 

Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Bengals by 6½

Last Week Colts defeated Titans 22-14, Bengals defeated Chargers 17-10

Fast Fact Bengals have averaged 138.3 yards rushing a game, but have yet to have a single player rush for 100+ yards in a game the only NFL team yet to do so.

Playoff implications Colts can clinch AFC South with win

Here we have a game that has a pair of teams that should be playoff bound. The Colts continue to meander through their lightweight schedule and have difficulty with teams that they should blast. Witness their home struggle to put away a clearly weaker Titans squad last week. Meanwhile the Bengals are quietly getting their swagger back after grinding out an ugly but badly needed road win in San Diego. Andrew Luck pilots an offense that can score but is getting banged up on its line, not the best of situations when facing the rugged Bengals defense that is playoff caliber and ready. With the Colts run defense being nothing short of abysmal and the Bengals leaning more on their multifaceted run attack, and the prospects of a cold, icy, gloomy day. The Bengals clearly have the decided edge here.

Pick-Cincinnati

 

 

Chiefs (9-3) @ Redskins (3-9) 

FedEx Field; Landover, MD 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Chiefs by 3

Last Week Chiefs lost to Broncos 35-28, Redskins lost to Giants 24-17

Playoff Implications Chiefs clinch a playoff berth with win.

Fast Fact Chiefs are the first NFL team ever to win its first nine games then lose its next three.

The Chiefs are tottering badly after starting out so fast. Their once proud defense is getting gashed badly over the last three games but they’re pretty much assured of making the playoffs after such a horrid season last year. The Redskins are just about the opposite, dropping off steeply after such a great season last year. The Chiefs are the better team on both sides of the ball and despite the improved play of RGIII he can’t compensate for the weak play of the Redskins defense.

Pick-Kansas City

 

 

Dolphins (6-6) @ Steelers (5-7)

Heinz Field, Pittsburgh 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Steelers by 3

Last Week Dolphins defeated Jets 23-3, Steelers lost to Ravens 22-20

Fast Fact Steelers have won five in a row vs. Miami and have won three straight against the Dolphins at home.

The Dolphins continue to hang around on the fringes of the playoff picture in spite of the Martin/Incognito fiasco. They battered the Jets with a solid defensive effort Steelers are another team that is tottering badly, stung by a tough loss to their bitter rivals on Thanksgiving they were further embarrassed by the actions of their coach who got a $100k fine for trying to inhibit a kickoff return. The Dolphins are a team that is hard to figure from week to week but the Steelers are even harder to judge. I’m just not real sold on the Steelers offense and even less on their defense. This is a gut pick, something just doesn’t sit right with me on the Steelers being formidable as usual at home. Their fans often brag on how tough they are with their backs to the wall and point to their matchup with the Bengals next Sunday as their stand and deliver game. This game might make that game a last stand.

Pick-Miami (Upset of the Week)

 

 

Vikings (3-8-1) @ Ravens (6-6) 

M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Ravens by 6

Last Week Vikings defeated Bears 23-20 in OT, Ravens defeated Steelers 22-20

Fast Fact The Vikings are the only NFL team without a road win this season (Yes even Jacksonville has won on the road)

The Vikings are showing some heart and focus in their last three games but they are no good on the road. Their quarterback carousel continues to spin wildly as Matt Cassel will likely get the start this week. While the Ravens defense isn’t as feared as in years past they still are fairly formidable. I still have little respect for Joe Flacco who is playing more like Shane Falco from the movie The Replacements as of late. That said, I just can’t put the sight of the Ravens loading up the box to slow down the rugged running of Adrian Peterson out of my head. I would love to be wrong here but the Ravens at home is tough to pick against.

Pick-Baltimore

 

 

Raiders (4-8) @ NY Jets (5-7) 

MetLife Stadium; East Rutherford, NJ 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Jets by 3

Last Week Raiders lost to Cowboys 31-24, Jets lost Dolphins 23-3

Fast Fact Jets QB Geno Smith has completed no more than 9 passes in any of his last four games.

The Raiders keep trying their best but can’t seem to catch a break but it could be worse, they could be spiraling out of control like their hosts are. As bad as the Jets have played as of late, I wonder if it reached its nadir with an absolutely horrid showing against the Dolphins. Will it be Terrelle Pryor or Matt McGloin at QB for the Raiders? The questions still abound over the direction of this offense. The Jets are still a mess but I can’t shake the fact that west coast teams that head east for early games more often than not are dead meat. As much as I detest the grinning, jeering Rex Ryan, the Jets will be the benefactor of this.

Pick-New York Jets

 

 

Titans (5-7) @ Broncos (10-2)

Sports Authority Field @ Mile High, Denver 4:05 (CBS)

Favorite Broncos by 11

Last Week Titans lost to Colts 22-14, Broncos defeated Chiefs 35-28

Playoff Implications Broncos clinch playoff berth with win.

Fast Fact Broncos QB Peyton Manning is only 7-6 in games in which the game time temp is below 40, game time forecast temp 17 degrees….brrrrr

The Titans are playing their way out of playoff contention with another lackluster loss to the Colts, while the Broncos bounced back strong to outgun the Chiefs. Though it’s been well documented on Peyton Manning’s struggles in the cold, I just think that he can grind out the yardage against what I think is a suspect Titans defense and their offense is just as inconsistent. The Broncos are looking to salt away a playoff spot and keep their divisional foes further behind.

Pick-Denver

 

 

NY Giants (5-7) @ Chargers (5-7) 

Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego 4:25 (FOX)

Favorite Chargers by 3½

Last Week Giants defeated Redskins 24-17, Chargers lost to Bengals 17-10

Fast Fact This is the second visit to San Diego by their 2004 #1 draft pick, Eli Manning (Manning was traded to the Giants for their first pick Philip Rivers)

Expect the boo-birds to be out in full force to boo Manning who has been playing a whole lot better after the nightmarish 0-6 start. The Chargers offense is highly suspect as witnessed by their lackluster performance against the Bengals last week. I’m not fond of either of these teams, as their inconsistencies will drive a patient man to tears. You wish the Giants could make better use of their passing game and their running game is so banged up you’re never sure of who is able to be counted on. The Chargers have decent weapons in the passing game but their running game is just as bad as the Giants. I think that the Chargers are decent enough to slog out a win and Manning is way overdue for a head scratcher game.

Pick-San Diego

 

 

Seahawks (11-1) @ 49ers (8-4)

Candlestick Park, San Francisco 4:25 (FOX)

Favorite 49ers by 2½

Last Week Seahawks defeated Saints 34-7, 49ers defeated Rams 23-13

Playoff Implications Seahawks win NFC West with win

Fast Fact The Niners have won the last five meetings in San Francisco

Walking tall after their primetime beatdown of the Saints the Seahawks are trying to lock down a division title. Meanwhile the Niners got a solid win against the Rams but are still far back of their rampaging divisional foes. The Seahawks can bully just about every team in the NFC except the Niners who seem to always play them tough…by the bay. Colin Kaepernick is playing better and better every week but he pales in comparison to the dynamic Russell Wilson who has been playing like a beast over the last few games. The Seahawks defense has been playing at a fearsome level and I’m eager to see how the Niners offense can compensate. This is a tossup game in Frisco to be honest. I’m just thinking the Seahawks are overdue for a flat game especially after being so high at home.

Pick-San Francisco

 

 

Rams (5-7) @ Cardinals (7-5)

University of Phoenix Stadium; Glendale, AZ 4:25 (FOX)

Favorite Cardinals by 6

Last Week Rams lost to 49ers 23-13, Cardinals lost to Eagles 24-21

Fast Fact Rams RB Zac Stacy has rushed for 348 yards and averaged 5.4 per carry in his last three home games, but only 187 and 3.0 per carry in the last three road games.

Both teams failed at a chances to get big road wins, the Rams still are searching for a real offensive leader while the Cards want everyone to take them seriously as a legit playoff contender. I’m not real sold on either team, but the Cards are a whole lot tougher at home and with an outside chance at being a playoff team, this might be their one chance to really shine. Am I really putting faith in Carson Palmer to win a needed game?

Pick-Arizona

 

Panthers (9-3) @ Saints (9-3)

Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans 8:30 (NBC)

Favorite Saints by 3½

Last Week Panthers defeated Buccaneers 27-6, Saints lost to Seahawks 34-7

Fast Fact Panthers allow a league low 13.1 points per game.

This suddenly high stakes game was smartly flexed to the primetime spot in lieu of the Falcons-Packers game and with good reason. The dynamic Cam Newton facing off against the grizzled vet Drew Brees and both defenses are looking to make big statements. The Panthers stomped the Bucs while Saints took an awful primetime beating in Seattle. The Panthers have passed their first primetime eyeball test but that was in Charlotte. Playing in Nawlins is a big big step up, do I think that the Panthers are tough enough to pass? Yes. Do I think that they will? No.

Pick-New Orleans

 

 

Monday, December 9

 

Cowboys (7-5) @ Bears (6-6)

Soldier Field, Chicago 8:30 (ESPN)

Favorite Cowboys by 1

Last Week Cowboys defeated Raiders 31-24 Bears lost to Vikings 23-20 in OT

Fast Fact WR Alshon Jeffery set a Bears record with 249 receiving yards last week

The Bears retire the number of their legendary TE and coach Mike Ditka, but could use the type of stout defense that his teams were famous for. The Pokes come well rested and riding high after storming back to beat the Raiders on Thanksgiving. Both teams sport abysmal defensive units. The Bears bad run defense will certainly mean much running for DeMarco Murray while you can be sure Josh McCown and the aforementioned Jeffery will pick on that woeful Cowboys secondary. This is a tough game to call, but I’m thinking the Bears will make a last stand to stay in the North playoff picture.

Pick-Chicago

 

Last Week: 11-5 (Lock Correct, Upset Incorrect)

Overall: 113-76-1

Locks: 12-1

Upsets: 7-6

 

 

NFL Week 14 Pick (Thursday game)
Category: NFL
Tags: NFL Picks and Predictions

I know its hard to excited about a game who's participants have 19 losses between them. But since every NFL team gets a primetime date and they've been trying to avoid the Jags as long as possible they finally have to show them. But at least they are playing respectable as of late winning their last two. The Texans...bleeeccch. Is it something in the water down there or is it the stench of Dwight Howard making everything else sports wise in that city unwatchable. I mean the Houston Astros foray into the American League was an outright joke, there were some Triple A teams that would have dominated them. In anycase, here is a game that I wont be watching since my beloved alma mater is playing those criminals from Louisville. Odds are provided by ESPN Scorecenter for entertainment and comparison purposes only, if you bet them and lose, you needn't bother dialing my number since I dont pay bookies. 

Thursday, December 5

 

Texans (2-10) @ Jaguars (3-9) 

Everbank Field, Jacksonville 8:20 (NFLN)

Favorite Texans by 3

Last Week Texans lost to Patriots 34-31, Jaguars defeated Browns 32-28

Fast Fact Both teams bring in bad streaks, the Jags have lost a franchise worst 7 straight at home, the Texans have lost a franchise record (and league worst) ten straight

Once considered the in the running for the worst team ever, the Jags aren’t even the worst team in their division. That honor goes to the woeful Texans who keep trying like good scouts but keep losing the close ones, finally the Jags are showing some life in their offense and Maurice Jones-Drew is still in this league. Though the battered Ben Tate is still a viable offensive option for the Texans, I just like the Jags here at home to continue to show real improvement in their comportment and offensive game plan. They will use their lone national showcase to further illustrate that they are not the laughingstock that many had them at times during the season. Meanwhile the nightmare continues for the Texans who cant even count on the Jags as a gimme win. You are reading this right…

Pick-Jacksonville

NFL Week 13 Picks (The Rest of Em)
Category: NFL
Tags: NFL Picks and Predictions

Wellllp. Last week to put it bluntly in the clearest terms and simplest definition, sucked. Ive been prognosticating games for a long time and its been a while since I had so many picks go so diametrically opposite of what I predict. I mean, ive had a below .500 week here and there over the years but 3-10-1? Holy obfuscation Batman! I really blew it. So as we hit the back quarter of the regular season. We have no more byes, full slates of games and good solid analysis and better picks. The odds are being provided by ESPN Scorecenter since my usual reliable source at bodog.net decided to stop posting…the odds are for entertainment and comparison purposes only and though you might get a hot plate if you come to the Hoodwood Hideout on Thanksgiving, you wont get any love if you try to hit me up to cover your bad bets.

 

NFL WEEK 13

 

Sunday, December 1

 

 

Cardinals (7-4) @ Eagles (6-5)

Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Eagles by 3

Last Week Cardinals defeated Colts 40-11, Eagles were on a bye

Fast Fact Eagles QB Nick Foles has thrown 199 passes without an interception, the team record is 224 held by Michael Vick.

The aviary team battle is between a pair of surprising teams in contention. Nick Foles has passed with grace and aplomb and has pushed the Eagles back to the forefront of the NFC East, meanwhile with a whole lot less fanfare Carson Palmer has quietly led the Cards into the playoff hunt with solid play and a defense that is a lot better than expected. Most of the time I would say the Western based Cards would be dead meat headed East but I’m not so sure. I still have a hard time trusting Carson Palmer in big games and this one looks to be a big one. Still the Cards defense has been on point the entire season and I think that they make a huge statement.

Pick-Arizona (Upset of the Week)

 

Bears (6-5) @ Vikings (2-8-1)

Mall of America Field @ HHH Metrodome, Minneapolis 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Even

Last Week Bears lost to Rams 42-21, Vikings played Packers to 26 all tie

Fast Fact Vikings tie was their first in 35 years, which was also against the Packers

Blowing a big lead and played to a tie the Vikings nightmare season slogs on, but the Bears are falling apart fast as the let the Rams just whale on them to the tune of 42 points. Josh McCown is suddenly looking mortal and no one is really sure if Jay Cutler is all the way ready yet. I’m tempted to call the game for the Bears on GP but I recall how the Vikings moved the ball with ease against the Bears in the Midway a couple months ago. I know its bias but I think the Vikings are due and the Bears are simply not as good as many wonks think that they are.

Pick-Minnesota

 

Jaguars (2-9) @ Browns (4-7)

FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland 1:00 CBS

Favorite Browns by 7

Last Week Jaguars defeated Texans 13-6, Browns lost to Steelers 27-11

Fast Fact

A couple months ago this game was looking like a battle for the number one pick, especially after the Browns had seemingly surrendered with their trade of Trent Richardson. The Jags looked hopeless for the first two-plus months of the season but have sprung a pair of road upsets against divisional rivals. The Browns offense is what usually betrays them but I think that they will find the sledding fairly easy against the pedestrian Jags defense while the Jags offense will have their hands full with an underrated Browns defense aching to take frustrations out on someone.

Pick-Cleveland

 

Dolphins (5-6) @ NY Jets (5-6)

MetLife Stadium; East Rutherford, NJ 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Jets by 2½

Last Week Dolphins lost to Panthers 20-16, Jets lost to Ravens 19-3

Fast Fact Jets QB Geno Smith completed 25 passes for the entire month of November, Dolphins QB Ryan Tannehill completed 28 passes last week against Carolina

This may be a matchup 5-6 teams but both are fighting hard to stay on the edge of the playoff picture. The Dolphins played the Panthers very tough before taking the loss while the grinning jeering buffoon that is Rex Ryan looks more the goof as his teams offense continues to blow hot and cold from week to week and have scored only 17 points in the last two games. I really distrust the Jets on either side because they betray my pick when I take them then play like gangbusters when I don’t. I don’t trust the Dolphins either but they are playing with a little more consistency on both sides of the ball and Ryan Tannehill has played respectably in spite of playing behind one of the worst offensive lines in pro football. I know I’m likely going to regret this because that grinning jeering idiot of a Jets coach usually has one more miracle game to burn me with.

Pick-Miami

 

Patriots (8-3) @ Texans (2-9)

Reliant Stadium, Houston 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Patriots by 9

Last Week Patriots defeated Broncos 34-31 in OT, Texans lost to Jaguars 13-6

Fast Fact The Patriots have won 27 of the last 29 in the month of December

The Pats are feeling quite froggy after rallying smartly from a 24-0 deficit to stun the Broncos, the Texans on the other hand thought the season could get no worse but then shamed themselves with a putrid effort in a shocking loss to the Jags and now in last in their division. Tom Brady is playing a whole lot more consistent with Rob Gronkowski to throw to and the Pats defense while not world class is still good enough to bully a team like the Texans who just want it to be all over

Pick-New England (Lock of the Week)

 

Buccaneers (3-8) @ Panthers (8-3) 

Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Panthers by 8½

Last Week Buccaneers defeated Lions 24-21, Panthers defeated Dolphins 20-16

Fast Fact Panthers QB Cam Newton has completed 64% of his passes during the Panthers 7 game winning streak and has had four games during the with a QB Rating of 111.0 or better

The Panthers are riding a franchise best seven game win streak and the sparkling play of Cam Newton and an underrated lockdown defense. Coach Ron Rivera played riverboat gambler with gutsy 4th down calls on a couple drives against the Dolphins and came up aces to get the win. Meanwhile the Bucs have been on a nice roll of their own, quieting the butt of joke talk with a 3 game win streak of their own highlighted by a stunning rout of the Lions in Motown. Mike Glennon is solidifying himself as the unquestioned leader of the offense but the curve gets noticeably steeper against a Panthers defense that will not bend as easily as the three previous victims. I would be worried that the Panthers might look past this game to their high stakes primetime showdown with the Saints next week but I don’t think that will work.

Pick-Carolina

 

Titans (5-6) @ Colts (7-4)

Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Colts by 4

Last Week Titans defeated Raiders 23-19, Colts lost to Cardinals 40-11

Fast Fact Colts have won 17 of last 21 meetings and nine of last ten

The Colts are a tough team to figure, they should be running away with the super weak AFC South, instead they are getting repeatedly hammered in games that they shouldn’t. Meanwhile the Titans rebounded from their humiliating loss to the Jags by winning a thriller in Oakland. The Colts aren’t a world beater but they are good enough to beat on their weak divisional opponents. This isn’t a team that I trust in the playoffs but they’re good enough to beat the Titans at home…I hope

Pick-Indianapolis

 

Falcons (2-9) @ Bills (4-7) 

Rogers Centre; Toronto Ontario, Canada 4:05 (FOX)

Favorite Bills by 3

Last Week Falcons lost to Saints 17-14, Bills were on a bye

Fast Fact The Bills play a single home game in Canada’s largest city which is about 90 miles north of Buffalo, about a 2 hour drive

A game so unremarkable that is was banished to Canada. But seriously, this is a real snoozer of a game, I’m thinking that normally the Falcons would feel right at home on the fast track of the Rogers Centre turf, but they have been playing so badly as of late that I think the Bills have better than a punchers chance. The Bills have been playing decently too having rung up 37 points on the Jets vaunted defense. I’m thinking the Falcons have mailed it in.

Pick-Buffalo

 

Rams (5-6) @ 49ers (7-4) 

Candlestick Park, San Francisco 4:05 (FOX)

Favorite 49ers by 8

Last Week Rams defeated Bears 42-21, 49ers defeated Redskins 27-6

Fast Fact WR Tavon Austin joined some high company with his multiple 50 yard scores in back to back games. Only hall of famers Jim Brown and Gale Sayers have accomplished this feat

The Rams are on the fringes of the playoff race and have played well as of late scoring 80 points in their last two games, routs of the Colts and Bears. The Niners looked good to start got edged in a couple games to start November and bounced back strong to whip the Redskins. As much as I admire the Rams recent strong play, I just can’t take seriously as a playoff contender. The Niners defense is a lot better than the Colts or Rams and will show that in spades

Pick-San Francisco

 

Bengals (7-4) @ Chargers (5-6) 

Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego 4:25 (CBS)

Favorite Even

Last Week Bengals were on a bye, Chargers defeated Chiefs 41-38

Fast Fact The Bengals set a franchise record with 31 points in the 2nd quarter against the Browns 2 weeks ago.

This is an intriguing game, The Bengals come in rested and in high spirits after smashing the Browns in week 11, the Chargers won a thrilling shootout over the Chiefs with an eyebrow raising 41 point performance, Philip Rivers could win comeback player of the year for his solid play this season and he has kept the Chargers on the peripheral of the playoff conversation. The Bengals have shined defensively yet their weapon laded offense has scuffled along as of late held under 270 yards in each of the last three games. They should find the sledding much easier against a Chargers defense that allows a conference worst 389.5 yards a game. I can’t shake the feeling that this is a trap game waiting to happen for the Bengals given their 2-4 record on the road, but I will go against my better judgment.

Pick-Cincinnati

 

Broncos (9-2) @ Chiefs (9-2) 

Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City 4:25 (CBS)

Favorite Broncos by 4½

Last Week Broncos lost to Patriots 34-31 in OT, Chiefs lost to Chargers 41-38

Fast Fact

I guess this doesn’t have the sexy appeal it did two weeks ago when once beaten Broncos hosted the then unbeaten Chiefs. The Broncos blew a huge lead last Sunday and lost and the Chiefs are looking like a team exposed after getting nowhere close to Peyton Manning during their week ten matchup. I think both these teams’ flaws are beginning to surface. Peyton Manning isn’t one that likes to play in the cold and the injuries that the Chiefs are suffering on their defense is seriously taking their collective toll. I still think with all the warts the Broncos are still the better team and if given the kind of time the lack of front line pressure is affording by the Chiefs. Manning may be able to pick apart their D.

Pick-Denver

 

NY Giants (4-7) @ Redskins (3-8)

FedEx Field; Landover, MD 8:30 (NBC)

Favorite Even

Last Week Giants lost to Cowboys 24-21, Redskins lost to 49ers 27-6

Fast Fact

After a pair of Sunday Night heavyweights, this one sounds like a snoozer. The G-Men wasted chance after chance to knock off the Pokes and get deeper into the NFC East scrum, while the Redskins are another loss away from packing it in mentally. RGIII and Eli Manning already look as if they have the thousand yard stare from getting hit constantly. I think the G-Men have a lot more going for it on both sides of the ball and will take a page from the 49ers dissection of the Redskins last Monday. This will be another beating in the nation’s capital before a disinterested national audience.

Pick-New York Giants

 

 

Monday, December 2

 

Saints (9-2) @ Seahawks (10-1)

Century Link Field, Seattle 8:30 (ESPN)

Favorite Seahawks by 4½

Last Week Saints defeated Falcons 17-14, Seahawks were on a bye

Fast Fact The last two teams that had 13 game or longer home winning streaks saw those streaks end at the hands of the Saints

Without question the best game of the week, a high stakes meeting between two divisional leaders is the penultimate game. Drew Brees is throwing like a boss and while Russell Wilson doesn’t have as a gaudy numbers he has piloted the Seahawks to the NFL’s best record. The winner here will have an inside track on the coveted #1 seed and both are just about cash money at home. The Saints have the wherewithal to beat the Seahawks at home and can put up the kind of high scoring game that they are known for but something can’t let me pick them. The home team in this matchup has the definitive advantage and with the ear splitting mind numbing noise of Century Link and the lunatic loud fans that inhabit. It’s going to be a wild time. It’ll be close, but I think the home team wins a thriller.

Pick-Seattle

 

Last Week: 3-10-1 (Lock correct, Upset incorrect as a tie)

Overall: 102-71-1

Locks 11-1

Upsets 7-5

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