Good start to the season, odds are provided by bodog.net and are provided for comparison and entertainment purposes only. Im so broke I cant pay attention (look squirrel!) So if you bet the lines and lose, its on you.
Thursday September 11th (We shall never forget…)
Steelers (1-0) @ Ravens (0-1)
M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore 8:25 (CBS/NFLN)
Favorite Ravens by 3
Last Week Steelers defeated Browns 30-27, Ravens lost to Bengals 23-16
Fast Fact 9 of the last 10 meetings have been decided by three or fewer points
The Steelers lit out to a big lead and nearly gave it all away but hung on to beat the Browns, meanwhile the Ravens are a team in turmoil after the sorry mess that is the whole Ray Rice affair. Their punchless offense which was already hampered by the absence of the now disgraced running back is now trying to figure out how to keep the pressure of an already heavily beleaguered Joe Flacco. Bernard Pierce had a bad case of the dropsies and Justin Forsett really isn’t a long term answer. The Steelers aren’t a juggernaut but they are methodical and a rowdy home crowd might help the Ravens keep it close but they will not be able to keep pace
Sunday September 14
Patriots (0-1) @ Vikings (1-0)
TCF Bank Stadium, Minneapolis 1:00 (CBS)
Favorite Patriots by 3
Last Week Patriots lost to Dolphins 30-23, Vikings defeated
Fast Fact This is the Vikings first outdoor home September game since 1981, as they play the next two seasons at the home stadium of the University Of Minnesota while their new stadium is built on the old Metrodome Site.
The Patriots ran out of gas in the heat of South Florida, with Tom Brady taking an uncharacteristic beating by a withering Dolphins pass rush. Meanwhile the Vikings romped and stomped in St. Louis running roughshod on a Rams defense that was supposed to be a tough. The Patriots need to get their offensive line woes together and fast since keeping Brady upright and hale is paramount to their overall success. The Vikings seem to be developing a decent secondary offense behind the dynamic running of Adrian Peterson. Will another hostile crowd and Vikings pass rush be enough to wear the Pats down? I want badly to pick the Vikings for an upset, but logic tells me different…I just…aww what the heck…
Dolphins (1-0) @ Bills (1-0)
Ralph Wilson Stadium; Orchard Park, NY 1:00 (CBS)
Favorite Dolphins by 1
Last Week Dolphins defeated Patriots 30-23, Bears
Fast Fact After giving up league high 93 sacks of QB Ryan Tannehill in 2013, the Dolphins offensive allowed only one sack against the Pats last week
Both teams are coming off stunning upset wins in week 1. The Bills and Dolphins utilized strong running games to secure their respective victories and get off to unexpected fast starts. Both teams used strong defensive rushes as well to keep the opposition signal caller on the run, this looks to be a tight taut defensive game, but I just don’t trust EJ Manuel yet as someone that can consistently produce wins, though he had a nice completion percentage in the win over the Bears. But I don’t trust Tannehill either. This is a tough one to pick, I think that the Dolphins run game and defense is slightly better.
Jaguars (0-1) @ Washington (0-1)
Fed Ex Field; Landover, MD 1:00 (CBS)
Favorite Washington by 6
Last Week Jaguars lost to Eagles 34-17, Washington lost to Texans 17-6
Fast Fact Washington is mired in its longest losing streak since a 17 game skid covering the 1960 & 1961 seasons but have yet to ever lose to the Jaguars at home
These two teams continue their intraconference sked and both took fairly big losses. The Jags have had at least an offensive spark though their defense was worn down by the Eagles fast breaking offense. Washington is just a mess, their defense was passable but their offense seems to be mired in a bad slump and lack direction. RGII seems to be regressing badly and the lack of punch in the running game is further hampering the offense. That being said I still think it a stretch to give the Jags the edge here. I’m likely going to regret this but…
Cowboys (0-1) @ Titans (1-0)
LP Field, Nashville 1:00 (FOX)
Favorite Titans by 3½
Last Week Cowboys lost to 49ers 28-17, Titans defeated Chiefs 26-10
Fast Fact The Titans held the ball 37:44 against the Chiefs last week their highest time of possession in five years
Everyone was concerned about the Pokes defense, it turned out that was the least of their worries. Tony Romo looked absolutely horrid against the 49ers throwing like he had no clue and forcing the ball like a scared backup. It just seems wrong to pile on Romo at this point, but facing a ball hawking defense like the Titans is a bit unfair right now. The Titans methodically took apart the Chiefs in Arrowhead and if they can dominate time of possession like they did last week, Jason Garrett won’t have to worry about Romo throwing a bevy of picks if they aren’t on the field
Cardinals (1-0) @ Giants (0-1)
MetLife Stadium; East Rutherford, NJ 1:00 (FOX)
Favorite Cardinals by 1½
Last Week Cardinals defeated the Chargers 18-17, Giants lost to Lions 35-14
Fast Fact Giants have won three of the last four meetings, with the only loss being in Gotham in 2009
The G-Men looked bad on both sides of the ball in Motown last Monday, offensively inept and defensively clueless. Eli Manning looks like he would rather be somewhere other than a football field and when not dodging pass rushers is picking himself off the ground. The Cards rallied smartly to win the late Monday game and finally put their offense together to score twice late. Most of the time I’m not going to pick a western team going east in an early game especially off a Monday game. But the G-Men are a mess and the Cards defense even missing John Abraham will be formidable and give Eli more problems.
Saints (0-1) @ Browns (0-1)
FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland 1:00 (FOX)
Favorite Saints by 7
Last Week Saints lost to Falcons 37-34 in overtime, Browns lost to Steelers 30-27
Fast Fact The Browns have won 12 of 16 in the series but the Saints have won 2 of the last 3 meetings.
Both teams are coming off 3 point losses but they feel different, the Saints lost a surprising shootout with the Falcons in the ATL while the Browns fought back gamely from 24 down in Pittsburgh but fell late. The Saints will produce the points and offense and against a Browns defense that can be had you should see it. If the Browns fall behind again like they did against the Steelers, the Saints won’t let them off the mat and we might hear the Johnny Football catcalls in force from the home crowd.
Falcons (1-0) @ Bengals (1-0)
Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati 1:00 (CBS)
Favorite Bengals by 5
Last Week Falcons defeated Saints 37-34 in overtime, Bengals defeated Ravens 23-16
Fast Fact Bengals have won 9 of their last 11 meetings with NFC opponents but have lost their last three meetings with the Falcons
The Falcons were off and winging with a shootout win against the Saints while the Bengals weebled wobbled but didn’t fall down against the Ravens. I still don’t trust the Falcons defense, but their offense has seemed to rebound to their halcyon days. The Bengals offense looks fairly crisp but has had trouble finishing drives off, if they can correct that it could be 28 point per game offense. This game looks like it could be a shootout with a pair of decent offenses but I like the Bengals better balance on both sides of the ball to win another close one
Lions (1-0) @ Panthers (1-0)
Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte 1:00 (FOX)
Favorite Panthers by 3
Last Week Lions defeated Giants 35-14, Panthers defeated
Fast Fact Panthers have won the last three meetings in Charlotte
The Lions came out smoking on Monday night, and just destroyed the G-Men. The Panthers got a solid performance from Derek Anderson (Is he still in this league?) to beat the Bucs on the road. Though the Lions lit up the scoreboard their lack of a running game is troubling. I’m just not real sold on Carolina without Cam Newton, even as they beat the Bucs on the road. Another toss up game, I should know better than to trust the Lions like I do…
Rams (0-1) @ Buccaneers (0-1)
Raymond James Stadium, Tampa 4:05 (FOX)
Favorite Buccaneers by 7
Last Week Rams lost to Vikings 34-6, Buccaneers lost to Panthers 20-14
Fast Fact The Rams have won 5 of the last seven meetings
The Rams got housed by the Vikings and their QB situation got even murkier when Shaun Hill was ineffective in the first half. The Bucs held their own but with lackluster and borderline non-existent running game just couldn’t get it together. I think the Rams are a lot worse off than the wonks want to let on. With no offensive punch at QB they suddenly put their capable defense in for a lot more work
Seahawks (1-0) @ Chargers (0-1)
Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego 4:05 (FOX)
Favorite Seahawks by 6 ½
Last Week Seahawks defeated Packers 36-16, Chargers lost to Cardinals 18-17
Fast Fact Four of the last five meetings were decided by a field goal
The Seahawks looked all the part of the defending champs with an opening night drubbing of the Pack before a deliriously happy home crowd. Meanwhile the Chargers looked decent for three quarters and then came apart in the rainy desert on Monday. Despite being at home I have a hard time trusting the Chargers anywhere past Philip Rivers and facing the Legion of Boom is not a fun task. I do suspect that Richard Sherman will get more work than he did in week 1.
Texans (1-0) @ Raiders (0-1)
O.co Coliseum, Oakland 4:25 (CBS)
Favorite Texans by 3
Last Week Texans defeated Washington 17-6, Raiders lost to Jets 19-14
Fast Fact Something has to give, the Texans have lost 7 straight road games and the Raiders have lost their last four home games.
The Texans looked a bit ragged but were finally on the positive side of the scoreboard for the first time in almost a year, meanwhile aint nuttin changed with the Raiders. They look lost and without a clear direction on either side of the ball. I think the Texans are a lot better than they were last year when Matt Schaub’s inept play seemed to drag down the whole team. But I think the Raiders are just hopeless, and until they show any kind of direction I won’t make too many picks for them.
NY Jets (1-0) @ Packers (0-1)
Lambeau Field, Green Bay 4:25 (CBS)
Favorite Packers by 9½
Last Week Jets defeated Raiders 19-14, Packers lost to Seahawks 36-16
Fast Fact Is it too early for a must win for the Pack? The last nine times that they lost their opener, the result of their 2nd game ultimately decided if they made the postseason.
The Pack got smashed in the season opener and now need to bounce back, the Jets are feeling froggy after winning a sluggish but effective win over the Raiders in Gotham but this is a bit higher than the pay grade that they are used to. The Pack return to their home confines upset and slightly embarrassed and there is nothing that the grinning jeering Rex Ryan will be able to do about it other than watch the Packers chase his young QB around and Aaron Rodgers abuse their weak secondary.
Chiefs (0-1) @ Broncos (1-0)
Sports Authority Field @ Mile High, Denver 4:25 (CBS)
Favorite Broncos by 13
Last Week Chiefs lost to Titans 26-10, Broncos defeated Colts 31-24
Fast Fact Peyton Manning has yet to lose to the Chiefs as Broncos QB
-Blurb This has all the makings of a grave mismatch, the Broncos came out firing on all cylinders as the raced out to a big lead against the Colts and held on tight to secure the win, meanwhile the Chiefs got poleaxed at home by a Titans squad who just didn’t seem intimidated by the Chiefs or their noisy home crowd. Manning is just on another level and seems to have not had any lingering effects from the Super Blowout from last February. I’m just not confident in the Chiefs ability to slow the Broncos offense. This game could get really ugly.
Pick-Denver (lock of the week)
Bears (0-1) @ 49ers (1-0)
Levi’s Stadium; Santa Clara, CA 8:30 (NBC)
Favorite 49ers by 7
Last Week Bears lost to Bills 23-20, 49ers defeated Cowboys 28-17
Fast Fact Levi’s Stadium the newest NFL venue forty miles south of their old home but right across the street from their team headquarters
The Bears took a stunning loss from the Bills who proved to be less than the pushover that they thought they would be. The Niners were the welcome recipient of the ineptitude of the Pokes and now open their new palatial park before a national primetime stage. The Niners while not looking exceptionally crisp looked better than the Bears who seemed diffident and bored waiting to turn it on and puzzled when it didn’t happen. I’m tired of excusing the lackadaisical play of Jay Cutler who is starting to fall to the scorn level I reserve for Tony Romo. I think the dogged pass rush of the Niners will give Cutler problems and they christen their new home nicely.
Monday September 12
Eagles (1-0) @ Colts (0-1)
Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis 8:30 (ESPN)
Favorite Colts by 3
Last Week Eagles defeated Jaguars 34-17, Colts lost to Broncos 31-24
Fast Fact The Eagles are gunning for only their 3rd 2-0 start in 16 seasons while the Colts are trying to avoid only their 3rd 0-2 start in the same time frame
The weeks final game is a doozy, the Eagles looked ragged in the first half of their game against the Jags, but got off the mat and roared back for the win. The Colts spotted the Broncos a huge lead and nearly got it all back when their last drive fell short. The Eagles are such a headache to prepare for offensively but you have the feeling that the Andrew Luck can pilot the Colts to enough points to keep up. It’s a tough game to call, when in doubt go with the home team.
Last Week & Overall: 11-5 (Lock correct, Upset Incorrect)