Tagged with "Predictions"
NFL Week 14 Pick (Thursday game)
Category: NFL
Tags: NFL Picks and Predictions

I know its hard to excited about a game who's participants have 19 losses between them. But since every NFL team gets a primetime date and they've been trying to avoid the Jags as long as possible they finally have to show them. But at least they are playing respectable as of late winning their last two. The Texans...bleeeccch. Is it something in the water down there or is it the stench of Dwight Howard making everything else sports wise in that city unwatchable. I mean the Houston Astros foray into the American League was an outright joke, there were some Triple A teams that would have dominated them. In anycase, here is a game that I wont be watching since my beloved alma mater is playing those criminals from Louisville. Odds are provided by ESPN Scorecenter for entertainment and comparison purposes only, if you bet them and lose, you needn't bother dialing my number since I dont pay bookies. 

Thursday, December 5

 

Texans (2-10) @ Jaguars (3-9) 

Everbank Field, Jacksonville 8:20 (NFLN)

Favorite Texans by 3

Last Week Texans lost to Patriots 34-31, Jaguars defeated Browns 32-28

Fast Fact Both teams bring in bad streaks, the Jags have lost a franchise worst 7 straight at home, the Texans have lost a franchise record (and league worst) ten straight

Once considered the in the running for the worst team ever, the Jags aren’t even the worst team in their division. That honor goes to the woeful Texans who keep trying like good scouts but keep losing the close ones, finally the Jags are showing some life in their offense and Maurice Jones-Drew is still in this league. Though the battered Ben Tate is still a viable offensive option for the Texans, I just like the Jags here at home to continue to show real improvement in their comportment and offensive game plan. They will use their lone national showcase to further illustrate that they are not the laughingstock that many had them at times during the season. Meanwhile the nightmare continues for the Texans who cant even count on the Jags as a gimme win. You are reading this right…

Pick-Jacksonville

NFL Week 13 Picks (The Rest of Em)
Category: NFL
Tags: NFL Picks and Predictions

Wellllp. Last week to put it bluntly in the clearest terms and simplest definition, sucked. Ive been prognosticating games for a long time and its been a while since I had so many picks go so diametrically opposite of what I predict. I mean, ive had a below .500 week here and there over the years but 3-10-1? Holy obfuscation Batman! I really blew it. So as we hit the back quarter of the regular season. We have no more byes, full slates of games and good solid analysis and better picks. The odds are being provided by ESPN Scorecenter since my usual reliable source at bodog.net decided to stop posting…the odds are for entertainment and comparison purposes only and though you might get a hot plate if you come to the Hoodwood Hideout on Thanksgiving, you wont get any love if you try to hit me up to cover your bad bets.

 

NFL WEEK 13

 

Sunday, December 1

 

 

Cardinals (7-4) @ Eagles (6-5)

Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Eagles by 3

Last Week Cardinals defeated Colts 40-11, Eagles were on a bye

Fast Fact Eagles QB Nick Foles has thrown 199 passes without an interception, the team record is 224 held by Michael Vick.

The aviary team battle is between a pair of surprising teams in contention. Nick Foles has passed with grace and aplomb and has pushed the Eagles back to the forefront of the NFC East, meanwhile with a whole lot less fanfare Carson Palmer has quietly led the Cards into the playoff hunt with solid play and a defense that is a lot better than expected. Most of the time I would say the Western based Cards would be dead meat headed East but I’m not so sure. I still have a hard time trusting Carson Palmer in big games and this one looks to be a big one. Still the Cards defense has been on point the entire season and I think that they make a huge statement.

Pick-Arizona (Upset of the Week)

 

Bears (6-5) @ Vikings (2-8-1)

Mall of America Field @ HHH Metrodome, Minneapolis 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Even

Last Week Bears lost to Rams 42-21, Vikings played Packers to 26 all tie

Fast Fact Vikings tie was their first in 35 years, which was also against the Packers

Blowing a big lead and played to a tie the Vikings nightmare season slogs on, but the Bears are falling apart fast as the let the Rams just whale on them to the tune of 42 points. Josh McCown is suddenly looking mortal and no one is really sure if Jay Cutler is all the way ready yet. I’m tempted to call the game for the Bears on GP but I recall how the Vikings moved the ball with ease against the Bears in the Midway a couple months ago. I know its bias but I think the Vikings are due and the Bears are simply not as good as many wonks think that they are.

Pick-Minnesota

 

Jaguars (2-9) @ Browns (4-7)

FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland 1:00 CBS

Favorite Browns by 7

Last Week Jaguars defeated Texans 13-6, Browns lost to Steelers 27-11

Fast Fact

A couple months ago this game was looking like a battle for the number one pick, especially after the Browns had seemingly surrendered with their trade of Trent Richardson. The Jags looked hopeless for the first two-plus months of the season but have sprung a pair of road upsets against divisional rivals. The Browns offense is what usually betrays them but I think that they will find the sledding fairly easy against the pedestrian Jags defense while the Jags offense will have their hands full with an underrated Browns defense aching to take frustrations out on someone.

Pick-Cleveland

 

Dolphins (5-6) @ NY Jets (5-6)

MetLife Stadium; East Rutherford, NJ 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Jets by 2½

Last Week Dolphins lost to Panthers 20-16, Jets lost to Ravens 19-3

Fast Fact Jets QB Geno Smith completed 25 passes for the entire month of November, Dolphins QB Ryan Tannehill completed 28 passes last week against Carolina

This may be a matchup 5-6 teams but both are fighting hard to stay on the edge of the playoff picture. The Dolphins played the Panthers very tough before taking the loss while the grinning jeering buffoon that is Rex Ryan looks more the goof as his teams offense continues to blow hot and cold from week to week and have scored only 17 points in the last two games. I really distrust the Jets on either side because they betray my pick when I take them then play like gangbusters when I don’t. I don’t trust the Dolphins either but they are playing with a little more consistency on both sides of the ball and Ryan Tannehill has played respectably in spite of playing behind one of the worst offensive lines in pro football. I know I’m likely going to regret this because that grinning jeering idiot of a Jets coach usually has one more miracle game to burn me with.

Pick-Miami

 

Patriots (8-3) @ Texans (2-9)

Reliant Stadium, Houston 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Patriots by 9

Last Week Patriots defeated Broncos 34-31 in OT, Texans lost to Jaguars 13-6

Fast Fact The Patriots have won 27 of the last 29 in the month of December

The Pats are feeling quite froggy after rallying smartly from a 24-0 deficit to stun the Broncos, the Texans on the other hand thought the season could get no worse but then shamed themselves with a putrid effort in a shocking loss to the Jags and now in last in their division. Tom Brady is playing a whole lot more consistent with Rob Gronkowski to throw to and the Pats defense while not world class is still good enough to bully a team like the Texans who just want it to be all over

Pick-New England (Lock of the Week)

 

Buccaneers (3-8) @ Panthers (8-3) 

Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Panthers by 8½

Last Week Buccaneers defeated Lions 24-21, Panthers defeated Dolphins 20-16

Fast Fact Panthers QB Cam Newton has completed 64% of his passes during the Panthers 7 game winning streak and has had four games during the with a QB Rating of 111.0 or better

The Panthers are riding a franchise best seven game win streak and the sparkling play of Cam Newton and an underrated lockdown defense. Coach Ron Rivera played riverboat gambler with gutsy 4th down calls on a couple drives against the Dolphins and came up aces to get the win. Meanwhile the Bucs have been on a nice roll of their own, quieting the butt of joke talk with a 3 game win streak of their own highlighted by a stunning rout of the Lions in Motown. Mike Glennon is solidifying himself as the unquestioned leader of the offense but the curve gets noticeably steeper against a Panthers defense that will not bend as easily as the three previous victims. I would be worried that the Panthers might look past this game to their high stakes primetime showdown with the Saints next week but I don’t think that will work.

Pick-Carolina

 

Titans (5-6) @ Colts (7-4)

Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Colts by 4

Last Week Titans defeated Raiders 23-19, Colts lost to Cardinals 40-11

Fast Fact Colts have won 17 of last 21 meetings and nine of last ten

The Colts are a tough team to figure, they should be running away with the super weak AFC South, instead they are getting repeatedly hammered in games that they shouldn’t. Meanwhile the Titans rebounded from their humiliating loss to the Jags by winning a thriller in Oakland. The Colts aren’t a world beater but they are good enough to beat on their weak divisional opponents. This isn’t a team that I trust in the playoffs but they’re good enough to beat the Titans at home…I hope

Pick-Indianapolis

 

Falcons (2-9) @ Bills (4-7) 

Rogers Centre; Toronto Ontario, Canada 4:05 (FOX)

Favorite Bills by 3

Last Week Falcons lost to Saints 17-14, Bills were on a bye

Fast Fact The Bills play a single home game in Canada’s largest city which is about 90 miles north of Buffalo, about a 2 hour drive

A game so unremarkable that is was banished to Canada. But seriously, this is a real snoozer of a game, I’m thinking that normally the Falcons would feel right at home on the fast track of the Rogers Centre turf, but they have been playing so badly as of late that I think the Bills have better than a punchers chance. The Bills have been playing decently too having rung up 37 points on the Jets vaunted defense. I’m thinking the Falcons have mailed it in.

Pick-Buffalo

 

Rams (5-6) @ 49ers (7-4) 

Candlestick Park, San Francisco 4:05 (FOX)

Favorite 49ers by 8

Last Week Rams defeated Bears 42-21, 49ers defeated Redskins 27-6

Fast Fact WR Tavon Austin joined some high company with his multiple 50 yard scores in back to back games. Only hall of famers Jim Brown and Gale Sayers have accomplished this feat

The Rams are on the fringes of the playoff race and have played well as of late scoring 80 points in their last two games, routs of the Colts and Bears. The Niners looked good to start got edged in a couple games to start November and bounced back strong to whip the Redskins. As much as I admire the Rams recent strong play, I just can’t take seriously as a playoff contender. The Niners defense is a lot better than the Colts or Rams and will show that in spades

Pick-San Francisco

 

Bengals (7-4) @ Chargers (5-6) 

Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego 4:25 (CBS)

Favorite Even

Last Week Bengals were on a bye, Chargers defeated Chiefs 41-38

Fast Fact The Bengals set a franchise record with 31 points in the 2nd quarter against the Browns 2 weeks ago.

This is an intriguing game, The Bengals come in rested and in high spirits after smashing the Browns in week 11, the Chargers won a thrilling shootout over the Chiefs with an eyebrow raising 41 point performance, Philip Rivers could win comeback player of the year for his solid play this season and he has kept the Chargers on the peripheral of the playoff conversation. The Bengals have shined defensively yet their weapon laded offense has scuffled along as of late held under 270 yards in each of the last three games. They should find the sledding much easier against a Chargers defense that allows a conference worst 389.5 yards a game. I can’t shake the feeling that this is a trap game waiting to happen for the Bengals given their 2-4 record on the road, but I will go against my better judgment.

Pick-Cincinnati

 

Broncos (9-2) @ Chiefs (9-2) 

Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City 4:25 (CBS)

Favorite Broncos by 4½

Last Week Broncos lost to Patriots 34-31 in OT, Chiefs lost to Chargers 41-38

Fast Fact

I guess this doesn’t have the sexy appeal it did two weeks ago when once beaten Broncos hosted the then unbeaten Chiefs. The Broncos blew a huge lead last Sunday and lost and the Chiefs are looking like a team exposed after getting nowhere close to Peyton Manning during their week ten matchup. I think both these teams’ flaws are beginning to surface. Peyton Manning isn’t one that likes to play in the cold and the injuries that the Chiefs are suffering on their defense is seriously taking their collective toll. I still think with all the warts the Broncos are still the better team and if given the kind of time the lack of front line pressure is affording by the Chiefs. Manning may be able to pick apart their D.

Pick-Denver

 

NY Giants (4-7) @ Redskins (3-8)

FedEx Field; Landover, MD 8:30 (NBC)

Favorite Even

Last Week Giants lost to Cowboys 24-21, Redskins lost to 49ers 27-6

Fast Fact

After a pair of Sunday Night heavyweights, this one sounds like a snoozer. The G-Men wasted chance after chance to knock off the Pokes and get deeper into the NFC East scrum, while the Redskins are another loss away from packing it in mentally. RGIII and Eli Manning already look as if they have the thousand yard stare from getting hit constantly. I think the G-Men have a lot more going for it on both sides of the ball and will take a page from the 49ers dissection of the Redskins last Monday. This will be another beating in the nation’s capital before a disinterested national audience.

Pick-New York Giants

 

 

Monday, December 2

 

Saints (9-2) @ Seahawks (10-1)

Century Link Field, Seattle 8:30 (ESPN)

Favorite Seahawks by 4½

Last Week Saints defeated Falcons 17-14, Seahawks were on a bye

Fast Fact The last two teams that had 13 game or longer home winning streaks saw those streaks end at the hands of the Saints

Without question the best game of the week, a high stakes meeting between two divisional leaders is the penultimate game. Drew Brees is throwing like a boss and while Russell Wilson doesn’t have as a gaudy numbers he has piloted the Seahawks to the NFL’s best record. The winner here will have an inside track on the coveted #1 seed and both are just about cash money at home. The Saints have the wherewithal to beat the Seahawks at home and can put up the kind of high scoring game that they are known for but something can’t let me pick them. The home team in this matchup has the definitive advantage and with the ear splitting mind numbing noise of Century Link and the lunatic loud fans that inhabit. It’s going to be a wild time. It’ll be close, but I think the home team wins a thriller.

Pick-Seattle

 

Last Week: 3-10-1 (Lock correct, Upset incorrect as a tie)

Overall: 102-71-1

Locks 11-1

Upsets 7-5

Thanksgiving Day NFL Picks (Week 13)
Category: NFL
Tags: NFL Picks and Predictions

 

There are fewer holidays that are more steeped in football tradition than the Thanksgiving classics, dating back to 1920 the NFL at one time played its entire week of games on that fourth Thursday in November, Detroit has played on Thanksgiving since 1934 and every year since 1945, though there had been some calls of late to take the Thanksgiving game from the perennial losers. The Cowboys started hosting a late afternoon game in 1966 and have been a Thanksgiving staple themselves playing in 45 of the last 47 late afternoon slots. The most recent third game was started in 2006 at the behest of AFL founder and Chiefs owner Lamar Hunt who had long advocated rotating more teams into the Thanksgiving games. One of the most longstanding NFL records was set on Thanksgiving when Ernie Nevers scored 6 touchdowns (and all the Cardinals points) in a 40-0 win. From the unheralded Clint Longley winging bombs to stun the Redskins in 1974, to the Lions ringing up 55 poins in 1997, to rookie receiver Randy Moss catching all of four passes, three of them going for scores in 1998 or the infamous butt fumble by Mark Sanchez last year the Thanksgiving games are ones that are a staple of the football season. The odds are being provided by ESPN scorecenter. From this side of the keyboard to you and yours have a Happy, safe and filling Thanksgiving.

 

NFL SCHEDULE – WEEK 13

 

Thursday, November 28

 

Packers (5-5-1) @ Detroit (6-5)

Ford Field, Detroit 12:30 (FOX)

Favorite Lions by 6

Last Week Packers played Vikings to 26 all tie, Lions lost to Buccaneers 24-21

Fast Fact The Lions have been generous on Thanksgiving, having lost 9 straight turkey day games

Rallying hard to even the score the Packers were playing on fumes when in OT and were lucky to escape with a tie. The Lions are trying their best not to collapse as they were upended by a surging Bucs squad. The Packers are trying to hang on the fringes of the playoff race till they can get Aaron Rodgers back but are running out of time. Meanwhile the Lions are trying to figure out the magic that spurred them to a strong start. Matt Flynn hopes he can recall his halcyon days of new years day 2012 when he shredded the Lions for 480 yards and 6 scores, I think that Flynn will be the stabilizing force that the Packers need to steady themselves and hang tough in the NFC North race. As much as Im tempted to say the Lions are way due for a big win and to break their Thanksgiving skid, I cant do it.

Pick-Green Bay

 

Raiders (4-7) @ Cowboys (6-5)

AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX 4:30 (CBS)

Favorite Cowboys by 9

Last Week Raiders lost to Titans 23-19, Cowboys defeated Giants 24-21

Fast Fact Cowboys have played on every Thanksgiving since 1978

The Pokes rode the precision passing of Tony Romo to a dramatic win in Gotham that has Cowboy fans signing high praises. In spite of their horrid defense and meandering play, they are right in the mix for not only a playoff spot but a division title. The Raiders are their usual out of sorts out of touch selves. Having blown yet another winnable game at home. The Pokes are not as invincible on Thanksgiving as they would like you to believe that they are (6-4 over the last ten years) but I think that they are at least offensively better than the Raiders defense. Though I fear the heretofore unheralded Matt McGloin will have a banner day against the alleged Poke defense, Im gonna close my eyes and hope that Tony Romo continues to play as well as he has.

Pick­-Dallas

 

Steelers (5-6) @ Ravens (5-6)

M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore 8:30 (NBC)

Favorite Ravens by 2½

Last Week Steelers defeated Browns 27-11. Ravens defeated Jets 19-3

Fast Fact Steelers playing in their first Thanksgiving game since the infamous overtime coin toss controversy game vs Detroit in 1998

The tryptophan will definitely have worn off by the time these two heated rivals hit the field. These two teams don’t like each other, say as much and are gunning to cripple the others playoff chances as well a few players too. The Steelers are on a roll, and have managed to get back into the playoff conversation by winning five of their last 7. The Ravens have been tottering badly but a gutty, grimy win over the Jets was just the tonic to right themselves. As much as I despise the Steelers they are looking a whole hell of a lot better these last few weeks. This in spite of having a miniscule running game and a defense that still looks like a bad cross between an over the hill gang and the Keystone Kops. Still as much as I don’t trust the Steelers I trust the Ravens even less. Where have you gone Joe Flacco? The Ravens nation turns its lonely eyes to you as he has played as ineffective as one could imagine. An aged but still proud defense cant keep covering up for him and the lackluster play of Ray Rice. The Steelers have that annoying habit of being relevant in December, they win here and put the Ravens more or less out of their misery and will continue to shadow the Bengals closing in on what could be a monster showdown on the 15th.

Pick-Pittsburgh

NFL Week 12 Picks (The Rest of Em)
Category: NFL
Tags: NFL Picks and Predictions

Three eight win weeks in a row…go figure, the locks have been on point and until recently the Upsets had been too but Im looking for a big week. Maybe ahead of the turkey day Ill get it. Odds are being provided this week by ESPN Scorecenter since bodog.net has went somewhere awol but are as usual for comparison and entertainment purposes only. Since the company funds are being used for the trimmings for next week I have little money to spare you if you bet these lines and get hosed. This is the last of the bye weeks (thankfully) as Buffalo (4-7); Cincinnati (7-4); Philadelphia (6-5); Seattle (10-1) are on their bye, in an interesting quirk the latter 3 teams are currently leading their respective divisions as they take the week off. 

 

Sunday, November 24

 

Carolina (7-3) @ Miami (5-5)                                        

SunLife Stadium, Miami Gardens 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Panthers by 5

Last Week Panthers defeated Patriots 24-20, Dolphins defeated Chargers 20-16

Fast Fact Panthers trying to match their longest win streak in franchise history with their 7th win

Call it a controversial finish, but the Panthers are still flying high after winning what many think a true validation game in outdueling the Patriots on Monday night. Shaking off rumors of infighting and an imminent collapse the Fins hung tough and knocked off the Chargers to stay very much alive in the AFC playoff hunt. Im so liking the Panthers rugged pass rush to pound the Fins weak line and force Ryan Tannehill into bad decisions and turnovers

Pick-Carolina

 

 

Bears (6-4) @ Rams (4-6)                                    

Edward Jones Dome, St. Louis 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Even

Last Week Bears defeated Ravens 23-20 in OT, Rams were on a bye

Fast Fact Bears have won the last four meetings

I have a colleague that  is  a Bears fan and when I asked him about who he preferred Jay Cutler or Josh McCown at QB, he shrugged and said whoever wins. As it stands right now McCown has Cutler on the bench and the Bears in the thick of the playoff hunt. Facing a tough to figure Rams team that has had flashes of brilliant play offset by puzzling losses, no one is quite sure what to make of this game. Ive seen in some wonks say that the Bears are ripe for the taking, but I cant trust a team who’s quarterback I have little confidence in

Pick-Chicago

 

 

Jaguars (1-9) @ Texans (2-8)                                   

Reliant Stadium, Houston 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Texans by 10

Last Week Jaguars lost to Cardinals 27-14, Texans lost to Raiders 28-23

Fast Fact Texans have averaged 29.6 in its five game win streak over the Jags

The Texans have the rare chance to be the bully here, facing a Jags squad that has already started planning for 2014 and beyond. Will it be Case Keenum or the beleaguered Matt Schaub that pilots the maddeningly inconsistent Texan offense? Not sure but look for Ben Tate, sore ribs and all to get lots of ground work and pick up good yardage. The Johnny Manziel/ Marcus Mariota watch has already begun in North Florida

Pick-Houston

 

Vikings (2-8) @ Packers (5-5)

Lambeau Field, Green Bay 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Packers by 5

Last Week Vikings lost to Seahawks 41-20, Packers lost to Giants 27-13

Fast Fact RB Adrian Peterson is averaging 151.5 yards a game vs the Packers the most by any back that has ever faced them.

Pick- To no ones surprise the Vikes got pummeled by the Seahawks, to everyones surprise (except mine, cause I picked it) Green Bay continued to fall apart with Aaron Rodgers and got thumped by G-Men. I think for the first time in a while, the Vikings have better than a puncher chance here. With the Packers decimated on both sides of the ball and AP overdue for a breakout game, Im thinking a beating of a despised rival who has bullied them for the past couple years should be in order.

Pick-Minnesota (upset of the week)

 

NY Jets (5-5) @ Ravens (4-6)                                 

M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Ravens by 3

Last Week Jets lost to Bills 37-14, Ravens lost to Bears 23-20

Fast Fact The Jets are the first team in NFL history to alternate wins and losses exactly through their first ten games.

The grins and jeers from Rex Ryan looked that much more buffoonish as the Jets went to Buffalo as an overconfident favorite and got housed.  The Ravens uneven season took another weird turn as they had a real shot at beating the Bears in the Midway but failed to cash in inside the 5 late and had to kick a field goal instead of scoring a clinching touchdown. I have zero confidence in either quarterback but for some weird reason I think Ed Reed will be extra motivated to further deep six his old squad’s playoff chances. Also Its just an oddball enough year where the Jets will continue to swing back and forth from wins to losses. Coming off the loss that means…

Pick-New York Jets

 

Steelers (4-6) @ Browns (4-6)                                

FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Browns by 1

Last Week Steelers defeated Lions 37-27, Browns lost to Bengals 41-20

Fast Fact The Steelers are 15-1 against the Browns with Ben Roethlisberger at QB

Suddenly feeling their oats the Steelers believe that they are primed for a late playoff dash. Forgetting the fact that they have a number of teams to climb over in the standing and in tiebreakers that they lose. The Browns jumped out to a big 1st quarter lead in Cincy only to see the Bengals storm back with a frightening 31 point 2nd quarter blitz that sapped them. This defense is better than you think the problem is their offense is just about as toothless as can be and that wont win a lot of game. I think that the Browns are seriously due for another head scratching win. The Steelers aren’t as good as they like to think that they are or that some of their fans are trying to get you to believe. This game will prove that

Pick-Cleveland

 

Chargers (4-6) @ Chiefs (9-1)                              

Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Chiefs by 3½

Last Week Chargers lost to Dolphins 20-16, Chiefs lost to Broncos 27-17

Fast Fact The Chiefs held the Broncos to a season low in points, but gave up their highest point total of the season.

Worn down by the Broncos on the national stage, the Chiefs plod home to regroup, the wildly inconsistent Chargers have suddenly went into a spiral and with the Chiefs and Bengals next on the docket I really cant see that stopping. The Chiefs are way too tough at home and the Chargers are too inconsistent on both sides of the ball

Pick-Kansas City

 

Buccaneers (2-8) @ Lions (6-4)                                      

Ford Field, Detroit 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Lions by 9

Last Week Buccaneers defeated Falcons 41-28, Lions lost to Steelers 37-27

Fast Fact Bucs have won in four of their last five visits to Detroit

The last team to escape winless island, the Bucs followed that up with a rousing rout of the Falcons and now have a real chance to escape the NFC South cellar. The Lions keep showing why no one will take them seriously as a NFC contender though they lead the North. The Lions are up and down but they are still scads better than the hopeless Bucs

Pick-Detroit

 

Colts (7-3) @ Cardinals (6-4)                                     

University of Phoenix Stadium; Glendale, AZ 4:05 (CBS)

Favorite Cardinals by 3

Last Week Colts defeated Titans 30-27, Cardinals defeated Jaguars 27-14

Fast Fact Cardinals have held their last three opponents to and average of 45.0 yards rushing

An interesting matchup here the Colts are more or less biding their time till they clinch their division and a home playoff game, but are a team you are never sure of which one will show up. The Cards have quietly crept into the playoff hunt with an underrated defense and an better than advertised offense. This matchup is tough to call because despite both teams sporting a winning ledger, they are both are just inconsistent enough to make either pick good or bad. Ill bet on the road team being just good enough.

Pick-Indianapolis

 

Titans (4-6) @  Raiders (4-6)

o.co Coliseum, Oakland 4:05 (CBS)

Favorite Even

Last Week Titans lost to Colts  30-27. Raiders defeated Texans 28-23

Fast Fact The Raiders have the #1 rushing attack in the AFC averaging 145.4 yards and 160.7 in their last three games.

Hard to believe but both these teams are on the fringes of the playoff chase, the Titans looked good for about a quarter and a half last Thursday before coming apart at the seams. The Raiders rumbled over the sorry Texans to pick up their first road win in better than a year. The oft traveled Ryan Fitzpatrick will have his hands full with a decent Raiders defense. Matt McGloin wont be mistaken for a superstar quarterback but he has played capably and backed by a solid Rahsad Jennings backed run support, has played well. I think the Titans weak run defense will be their undoing and having to play from behind has never been Fitzpatrick’s or the Titans speciality as of late

Pick-Oakland

 

Dallas (5-5)  @ NY Giants (4-6)                                 

Met Life Stadium; East Rutherford, NJ 4:25 (FOX)

Favorite Giants by 3

Last Week Cowboys were on a bye, Giants defeated Packers 27-13

Fast Fact The Cowboys are allowing an  NFL worst 456.7 yards per game

The Pokes are a team that is the very definition of inconsistency. You cant put the blame (for once) on Tony Romo who has been playing very well all season, on the other hand. Eli Manning is taking a load of heat for his teams 0-6 start yet has not gotten a lot of credit for their recent four game win streak. I am not real sure about either team, I do know that Manning will have his way against the sorry Cowboy defense especially that secondary that couldn’t stop a tortoise. Can Romo match him score for score? If the game gets to be a shootout, the Pokes might be able to wear the lethargic G-Men offense out. In a coin toss game, Ill take the home team

Pick-New York Giants

 

Broncos (9-1)  @ Patriots  (7-3)                          

Gillette Stadium; Foxboro, MA  8:30 (NBC)

Favorite Broncos by 2½

Last Week Broncos defeated Chiefs 27-17, Patriots lost to Panthers 24-20

Fast Fact QB’s Peyton Manning and QB’s Tom Brady are facing off for the 14th time which is 2nd most of meeting between QB’s that have won Super Bowls (Starr and Unitas faced off 16 times

Soccer goalies always want a clean sheet, no goals given up. The Broncos line had a clean QB as Peyton Manning wasn’t even knocked down the entire game in handing the Chiefs their first loss. Still marting over a loss to the Panthers not decided till the controversial last play, the Pats feel as if they were disrespected by the no call, but the fact remains that they needn’t have been in that needing another miracle to win scenario. In any case, the Pats used to thrive on being able to be physical Manning ‘s receivers back in the day. Now I don’t think that can happen with the offensive geared rules frowning on lots of contact. I think that Manning will have his way with a Pats team that has shown an unusual vulnerability to precision passers.

Pick-Denver 

 

Monday, November 25

 

49ers (6-4) @ Redskins (3-7) 

FedEx Field; Landover, MD 8:30 (ESPN)

Favorite 49ers by 5

Last Week 49ers lost to Saints 23-20, Redskins lost to Eagles 24-16

Fast Fact Redskins lead the NFL at 155.2 rushing yards a game

In an interesting matchup to close the week a pair of teams that are teetering face off. The Niners have been on the wrong side of two taut games and their offense has been really lackluster. The Redskins are bickering and the questions of the leadership skills of RGIII are getting louder and more frequent. I think the Redskins defense is ripe pickings to make the Niners sputtering offense healthy. Im looking for Colin Kaepernick to get more hookups with Vernon Davis and be more vertical with the offense against a very vulnerable Redskins secondary.

Pick-San Francisco (Lock of the Week)

 

Last Week: 8-6 (Lock Correct, Upset Incorrect)

Overall: 99-61

Locks 10-1

Upsets 7-4

Week 11 NFL Picks (The Rest of Them)
Category: NFL
Tags: NFL Picks & Predictions

NFL SCHEDULE – WEEK 11

 

Ive long gone on record as saying that I despise these Thursday Night games, if the NFL network wants a game to play why not an extra Monday Night game. A doubleheader of 7 and 10:15 would be good and West Coast teams would be getting plenty of primetime exposure with out having to start at 5 and 6pm their time. I loved the late Chargers-Raiders 11:35p EDT start and the first Monday doubleheader is just cool. Why not do that for the whole season. You avoid the short turnaround weeks that seem to be nothing but injuries waiting to happen. The only Thursday games should be Thanksgiving and that’s a tripleheader now, whats wrong with keeping that Thursday sacred in football mentality. OK I’m off the soapbox. Odds provided today by ESPN since I didn’t feel like looking it up on bodog.net and since its for entertainment and comparison purposes only, it shouldn’t be something you take to your bookie and bet with. We’re coming to the end of the bye weeks and its getting easier to tell who has had theirs already, this week only Dallas (5-5) and St. Louis (4-6) are off this week.

 

Sunday, November 17

 

Cardinals (5-4) @ Jaguars (1-8)

Everbank Field, Jacksonville 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Cardinals by 9

Last Week Cardinals defeated Texans 27-24, Jaguars defeated Titans 29-27

Fast Fact Jaguars have not scored a touchdown at Everbank Field since the first quarter of their 2012 home finale

Break up the Jags! Parrying every charge the Titans had they lead all the way to their first win of the 2013 campaign. But the Jags haven’t shown anything close to being competent offensively. The Cards are moving quietly along and have been playing decently over the past month, but Im concerned about a Western team heading east to play an early game. Could the Cards get zapped? I don’t trust Carson Palmer and his recent comments about Jacksonville’s lack of crowd support may awaken a dormant team. I want to call the upset here, and I should have called it last week in Tennessee but I cant bank on the Jags continuing their offensive profiecncy and the Cards defense is a lot better than the Titans are.

Pick-Arizona

 

Falcons (2-7) @ Buccaneers (1-8)

Raymond James Stadium, Tampa 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Falcons by 1½

Last Week Falcons lost to Seahawks 33-10. Buccaneers defeated Dolphins 22-19

Fast Fact Falcons have won nine of the last eleven meetings

These two bottom feeders are not impressing anyone with their play, the former got hammered at home while the latter just got their first win and struggled mightly to do that, I keep waiting for Matt Ryan to have a breakout performance and I think that he does it this week despite the lurking Darrelle Revis in the Bucs Secondary.

Pick-Atlanta

 

 

Ravens (4-5) @ Bears (5-4) 

Soldier Field, Chicago 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Bears by 3

Last Week Ravens defeated Bengals 20-17 in OT, Bears lost to Lions 21-19

Fast Fact The Ravens have never won in Chicago and have yet to score a touchdown in two previous visits

Both these teams are teetering dangerously on the playoff fringes though the Ravens still think that they are a legit playoff contender but with the sorry running game that they sport they’ll be headed home after new years if they continue in their present fashion. The Bears are a tough team to figure, the enigmatic Jay Cutler does just enough to hold his job yet just enough bad to think that putting in Josh McCown would be a better fit. In any case, I think the Bears are better on both sides of the ball and should win no matter who is under center.

Pick-Chicago

 

Browns (4-5) @ Bengals (6-4)

Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Bengals by 6

Last Week Browns were on a bye, Bengals lost to Ravens 20-17 in OT

Fast Fact Bengals are only the 16th team in NFL history to lose back to back OT games, this comes after they went 68 games without even playing an OT game.

The Bengals are a team that could drive a person to drink. After steaming through their first eight games happy that they were 6-2 and had survived a tough first half of their schedule, they drop a pair of winnable games in OT that could really haunt them come seasons end. They face a Browns squad that you are never sure in what you will get.  I liked an analogy I read about them recently. They have an 11-5 defense and a 5-11 offense. The 11-5 defense frustrated the Bengals in September but I think the 5-11 offense will be their downfall this time around. The Bengals will make it tough on themselves since they always do, but should eke out a badly needed win ahead of their bye.

Pick- Cincinnati

 

Detroit (6-3)  @ Steelers (3-6)

Heinz Field, Pittsburgh 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Lions by 2½

Last Week Lions defeated Bears 21-19, Steelers defeated Bills 23-10

Fast Fact The Lions have not won in Pittsburgh since 1955 and have only won 2 of the last 13 meetings overall.

This is an intriguing matchup the Lions are a legit team to be certain but there are places that you have to go an earn wins to be viewed as legit. The Steelers are scaring no one and in spite of their rout of an equally bad Bills team are not that good. Im looking for Matthew Stafford to repeatedly strafe the weak Steeler secondary and for Megatron to have his way. The Lions rarely come to Pittsburgh but its mind boggling that they might break two epically long road losing streaks in the same season (They beat the Redskins in Washington for the very first time earlier this year)

Pick-Detroit

 

NY Jets (5-4)  @ Bills (3-7)

Ralph Wilson Stadium; Orchard Park, NY 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Bills by 1

Last Week

Fast Fact The Jets have won seven of last eight meetings

The grinning and jeering by Rex Ryan has more been frequent with the Jets better than expected play, they have alternated wins and losses through their first nine games and Ryan clownishly stated that he was sure that they were going to lose to the bye week and pick up where they left off with another win this week. The buffoon may actually get his wish as the Bills are simply a hot mess. Their QB carousel spins faster and faster, and with no real punch on offense their talented yet beleaguered defense just gets worn out that much faster. I want to say that Ryan and his team will fall flat on the road but I just cant do it. The Jets are more cohesive and should grind out a win.

Pick-New York Jets

 

Raiders (3-6)  @ Texans (2-7) 

Reliant Stadium, Houston 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Texans by 7

Last Week Raiders were on a bye, Texans lost to Cardinals 27-24

Fast Fact The Texans have won five of seven meetings all-time

Both of these teams are not playing well but the Texans are the real shockingly bad team. With Arian Foster on the shelf with a bad back and capable backup Ben Tate nursing bad ribs the Texans have become one dimensional, but facing a Raiders team that needed a week off after getting bombed by Nick Foles and the Eagles might be the best tonic to stop a slide.

Pick-Houston

 

Redskins (3-6)  @ Eagles (5-5)

Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Eagles by 4½

Last Week Redskins lost to Vikings 34-27, Eagles defeated Packers 27-13

Fast Fact Eagles QB Nick Foles is winless at home in his career as an Eagle, yet has a 113.8 QB rating and is 4-1 on the road. If I was an Eagle fan (perish the thought) I’d be very angry at this team. They play outstanding outside of their own crib and like Beagles inside. Had they at least split their home games, folks would be talking about how this team is a prime contender for a bye in the playoffs. Instead the team sits square at .500 but they are tied for first and amazingly with a win here would be in first place. As mentioned in the fast fact, Nick Foles is a stud outside the Commonnwealth, but has played like a commoner at home. The Redskins are just as an infuriating team wasting the supreme efforts of RGIII in supbar defensive efforts, they allowed the Vikings back into their Thursday night contest as they went to sleep in the 2nd half on both sides of the ball. The Eagles cant lose all their home games can they? Im gonna regret this, but Im thinking that they break out of their home slump and take control of the uber weak NFC East

Pick-Philadelphia

 

Chargers (4-5) @ Dolphins (4-5)  

SunLife Stadium, Miami Gardens 4:05 (CBS)

Favorite Chargers by 1

Last Week Chargers lost to Broncos 28-20, Dolphins lost to Buccaneers 22-19

Fast Fact The Chargers have not won in Miami since the legendary 41-38 1981 AFC divisional playoff game. (0-6)

The Chargers put up good efforts but keep coming out on the wrong end. They parried the high powered Broncos to their lowest point total of the season, but lost. The Dolphins look like a team set to implode on itself in the wake of the Martin-Incognito mess as they played listlessly in a humiliating loss in Tampa Bay, the weak offensive line made weaker by the loss of Martin and Incognito is prime bait for a hard charging (forgive the pun) Chargers defense. More often than not Im ready to write off a West Coast team going east, but this is for a 4:00 game the Dolphins are not equipped even at home to play equal to the Chargers. The Chargers are way overdue to win here.

Pick-San Diego

 

Packers (5-4)  @ NY Giants (3-6)

MetLife Stadium; East Rutherford, NJ 4:25 (FOX)

Favorite Giants by 5

Last Week Packers lost to Eagles 27-13, Giants defeated Raiders 24-20

Fast Fact Game originally was slated for the Sunday Night slot but was flexed in favor of the Chiefs-Broncos

Can you blame NBC for ummm flexing their muscle and eschewing the the Rodgers less pack and the punchless Giants, but the G-Men have actually been playing better since their 0-6 start. Im not sold on the Packers running game being able to carry the load, and while the Packers defense is decent they may be on the field way too long and even Eli Manning should be able to pick them apart.

Pick-New York Giants

 

Vikings (2-7)  @ Seahawks (9-1) 

CenturyLink Field, Seattle 4:25 (FOX)

Favorite Seahawks by 12

Last Week Vikings defeated Redskins 34-27, Seahawks defeated Falcons 33-10

Fast Fact Seahawks have won 12 straight at home

The Vikings have had ten days to feel good about a rousing rally to beat the Redskins, they’ll need the feel good memories as they are making the condemned walk into the nightmare that is CenturyLink Field and the executioner attitude of the Seahawks. Point blank the Seahawks are not the type of team a fragile squad like the Vikings need to be facing. Hungry and loaded for bear this game smacks of a rout just waiting to happen. Matt Cassel will likely start with Christian Ponder out with a bum shoulder but he will have his hands full with the roughhouse big play Seahawk defense playing in front of their typical rowdy home crowd. As much as I wish I would be wrong, the Vikings are no match here and this could get ugly real fast. The Seahawks have no quarter for a speed bump trying to get to ten wins ahead of their bye and getting even closer to locking down their division

Pick-Seattle (Lock of the Week)

 

49ers (6-3) @ Saints (7-2)

Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans 4:25 (FOX)

Favorite Saints by 3

Last Week 49ers lost to Panthers 10-9, Saints defeated Cowboys 49-17

Fast Fact The Saints scored the most points in week 10, the Niners second fewest

This is one of the better games of the week. The Niners are teetering on the brink of being pushed into that morass of mediocre teams in the playoff hunt. Their defense is solid but their offense has been quite underwhelming. That is never good when playing the high speed Saints in their fast track crib. The Niners had best hope that they can hit the Saints in the mouth and make this a grimy grinder game. They can not try to win a shootout, Drew Brees is playing like he means business and if they score 30 or more forget it. The Niners don’t have the horses.

Pick-New Orleans

 

Chiefs (9-0)  @ Broncos (8-1) 

Sports Authority Field @ Mile High, Denver 8:30 NBC

Favorite Broncos by 7½

Last Week Chiefs had a bye, Broncos defeated Chargers 28-20

Fast Fact Manning’s 33 touchdown passes are more touchdowns than any other team has scored so far this year

The primetime games are top notch this week, now this game was originally a 4:05 game but was premimently “flexed” to the primetime slot. I doubt that NBC wanted to have the Packers/Giants dud. This is a battle royale between two of the big dogs of the AFC who have been stalkling and circling one another like so much a ppair of old school outlaw gangs. Peyton Manning may be hobbled but do you really think he will miss such an important game. He will have his hands full with a tough Chiefs defense that looks for the big play and will test his resolve. The Chiefs offense is not as flashy as the Broncos, yet they are efficient, rugged and can grind out yards and points. I don’t know why but Im seeing another Colts game here, the Chiefs will get to Manning enough to force early mistakes and build a decent lead but Manning will pass them back into the game. But fall short again… How is an unbeaten team winning an upset? Going to Denver and win is an upset.

Pick-Kansas City (Upset of the Week)

 

Monday, November 18

 

Patriots (7-2) @ Panthers (6-3)

Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte 8:30 (ESPN)

Favorite Panthers by 2½

Last Week Patriots were on a bye, Panthers defeated 49ers 10-9

Fast Fact These teams have only faced each other four times in the regular season splitting the meetings on each others field.

The finale of the week is a good one in itself. The well rested Pats face a surging Panthers squad fresh off a huge statement in San Francisco. The Panthers defense is full of no-names but they play rock solid and they make offenses earn every yard. The Pats are…well the Pats they don’t beat themselves and are rounding into their usual tough playoff tested self. I like the Panthers but have a hard time betting against the Pats who are no stranger to the big time games. I just think that the big time stage of prime time will cow the Panthers a bit and the Patriots will win easily in a hostile environment.

Pick-New England

 

Last Week: 8-6 (Lock and Upset correct)
Overall 91-55

Locks: 9-1

Upsets: 7-3

 

 

 

RSS
Blog Categories

This website is powered by Spruz