Last week was a good one, the three losses I had were tossups that I could have went either way and justified them. So as long as the dumb loss picks are a bare minimum, it should keep the corporation happy. This is the second of the bye heavy weeks with six teams Arizona (4-4); Denver (7-1); Detroit (5-3); NY Giants (2-6); San Francisco (6-2); Jacksonville (0-8) being off the latter two coming off their sojourn to London and in an ironic note all but the woeful winless Jags who lost to the Niners hitting their bye on wins. Submitted for your review, perusal and approval are this week’s picks with the odds provided courtesy of ESPN since the odds link at bodog.net is still showing last week’s odds. I provide these for comparison on and entertainment purposes only. If you get in bad with your bookie, because you took these lines and got took that’s on you.
Sunday, November 3
Falcons (2-5) @ Panthers (4-3)
Bank Of America Stadium, Charlotte 1:00 (FOX)
Favorite Panthers by 7½
Last Week Falcons lost to Cardinals 27-13 Panthers defeated Buccaneers 31-13
Fast Fact The Panthers have scored 30 or more points in each of their last three games, all wins.
The Falcons are just not playing very good as of late, period and are giving up points at a frightening clip. This is not the ideal to face a surging Panthers team whose confidence growing with each win. I keep hoping for a breakout performance by Matty Ice but I just don’t see that coming against the underrated Panthers defense that has been playing lights out as of late. True it’s been against the dregs of the NFL but they are wins nonetheless. I don’t see that trends breaking anytime soon.
Chiefs (8-0) @Bills (3-5)
Ralph Wilson Stadium; Orchard Park, NY 1:00 (CBS)
Favorite Chiefs by 4
Last Week Chiefs defeated Browns 23-13, Bills lost to Saints 35-17
Fast Fact The Chiefs are allowing a league low 12.3 points a game and lead the league in sacks
The Chiefs are rolling along nicely, though some poo-pooh a soft schedule for their fast start but rolling the Browns being the latest in what has been a dream season so far. The Bills have done their usual mediocre first half start where you are never very sure which team will show up. They went to the Big Easy and were blasted by the big play capabilities of the Saints. The Chiefs are not so much big play but a grinder team one that pounds you relentlessly with the astute passing of Alex Smith the relentless running of Jamaal Charles and a big play ball hawking roughneck defense that keeps giving their offense the ball in favorable positions. You can never be too sure on what quarterback will be at the helm of the Bills from week to week and facing this defense, that’s not a recipe for winning.
Vikings (1-6) @ Cowboys (4-4)
AT&T Stadium; Arlington, TX 1:00 (FOX)
Favorite Cowboys by 10
Last Week Vikings lost to Packers 44-31, Cowboys lost to Lions 31-30
Fast Fact The Vikings are one of two teams (Atlanta) to have given up 23 or more points in every game
As an unabashed Viking fan, it pained me not only to watch them get pounded by their despised rival Packers but to hear wonks whine that the Vikings would be better served gutting the team for draft picks including trading off defensive stud Jared Allen and reigning MVP Adrian Peterson. Its tough watching the Pokes too, they blunder along in mediocrity and are giving points up at a frightening clip. Add the tantrums of WR/diva Dez Bryant and the Pokes situation is at its usual soap opera standards. I don’t trust either team and its hard to pick against my beloved Vikes, especially to the arrogant Cowboys who still think that they are an elite team. I’ll be defiant, Adrian Peterson has a breakout game and Jared Allen leads a defense in need of a signature win. The upset has already happened…so I can’t call it that way. But still this one will make Jerry Jones very upset.
New Orleans (6-1) @ NY Jets (4-4)
MetLife Stadium; East Rutherford, NJ 1:00 (FOX)
Favorite Saints by 6½
Last Week Saints defeated Bills 35-17, Jets lost to Bengals 49-9
Fast Fact Saints DC Rob Ryan is 0-4 against twin brother Rex in matchup where both were either coordinators or coaches
This has the makings of a perfect storm, the Saints flying high after rolling deep on the Bills face a ragged Jets team that got stomped on by the Bengals. I’m hearing Jets fans try to reason that their teams up and down fortunes mean that after the pitiful loss that they will bounce back strong and whip the Saints. No disrespect to Red Dalton, but if he was able to strafe the Jets for 5 scores, what makes you think that Drew Brees wont? Exactly.
Chargers (4-3) @ Redskins (2-5)
FedEx Field; Landover, MD 1:00 (CBS)
Favorite Chargers by 1
Last Week Chargers were on a bye, Redskins lost to Broncos 45-21
Fast Fact The Chargers have won the last three meetings after the Redskins had won the first six meetings between the two teams.
In a meeting of two teams that would have made Job perturbed, the Chargers head east to face a Redskins team that started strong against the Broncos and were thinking of a Rocky Mountain sized upset, but instead blew a tire and let the Broncos rip off 38 straight points to get blasted. The Chargers are a team that’s hard to figure. Philip Rivers is fast returning to big number elite status but lack of a consistent running game and an inconsistent defense have them looking way up at the teams in their division. The Chargers have been brutalized by the schedule that has had them come east of the Mississippi for the fourth of five road trips and I long maintain that teams coming east for early games are dead meat, but they have won 3 games. I get the feeling even with the rest, that they are overdue for a flat performance. The Redskins are better than their 2-5 would indicate and I think that they will have the Chargers number
Titans (3-4) @ Rams (3-5)
Edward Jones Dome, St. Louis 1:00 (CBS)
Favorite Titans by 3
Last Week Titans were on a bye, Rams lost to Seahawks 14-9
Fast Fact The Titans scored 24.5 in a 3-1 start but only 15.7 in their current 3 game losing skid
A pair of mediocre teams meet up in the heartland. The Titans are rested after a bye but are on the road facing a Rams team that turned in a heroic though futile effort against the Seahawks this past Monday with four chances to win the game outright inside the Seattle 5, the Rams came up empty. The Titans will look to take advantage of the Rams weak run defense though they did play much better in the aforementioned loss. The Rams questions at QB and their lack of real offensive punch behind journeyman Kellen Clemens troubles me and though the Rams are showing signs of marked improvement, I’m just not totally sold and think that a Titans win over their longtime former coach wouldn’t be so farfetched.
Eagles (3-5) @ Oakland (3-4)
O.co Coliseum, Oakland 4:05 (FOX)
Favorite Raiders by 2½
Last Week Eagles lost to Giants 15-7, Raiders defeated Steelers 21-18
Fast Fact Raiders QB Terrelle Pryor busted out a 93 yard touchdown run last week against Pittsburgh the longest ever TD run by a QB
The Raiders seem to think that they are legit playoff contenders after a slug it out win over the Steelers facing the highly puzzling Eagles it’s hard to quell that winning thinking. The Eagles play horridly against the weak G-Men in a winnable home game and now travel cross country to face a team with a better offense and defensive capabilities. Are the Raiders a legit playoff team? I’m not convinced in the least. Are they better than the Eagles, especially at home in front of their insane fans? No question.
Buccaneers (0-7) @ Seahawks (7-1)
Century Link Field, Seattle 4:05 (FOX)
Favorite Seahawks by 16
Last Week Buccaneers lost to Panthers 31-13, Seahawks defeated Rams 14-9
Fast Fact The Seahawks have the longest current home win streak in the NFL at 11.
Normally, I’d say that this has the makings of a trap game The Seahawks may be playing on a short week, with the Bucs in contrast coming off a long layoff. But let’s keep it 100, the Bucs aren’t coming cross country to beat the Seahawks at Century Link where they are near impossible to beat. You’re asking a little too much out of a winless team.
Pick-Seattle (Lock of the Week)
Ravens (3-4) @ Browns (3-5)
FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland 4:25 (CBS)
Favorite Ravens by
Last Week Ravens were on a bye, Browns lost to Chiefs 23-17
Fast Fact The Ravens have won 11 straight over the Browns
The Ravens have had a week to stew over a galling loss to their despised rivals while the Browns showed heart but were not really close to beating the Chiefs in KC. I’m just not feeling either team offensively. Joe Flacco has regressed badly and quick name the Browns starting QB? I think it’s going to be Jason Campbell, but you are never quite sure from week to week. The temptation is there to say the improving Browns spring a mild upset at home in front of crazed fans that hate the Ravens with fervor to break their long losing skid against them but I can’t do it.
Steelers (2-5) @ Patriots (6-2)
Gillette Stadium; Foxboro, MA 4:25 (CBS)
Favorite Pats by 6½
Last Week Steelers lost to Raiders 21-18, Patriots defeated Dolphins 27-17
Fast Fact The Steelers are not the best of starters as of late being outscored 54-19 in the first quarter so far this season.
The Steelers looked lost in Oakland and despite a late rally feel to the Raiders. The Patriots toyed with the Dolphins before roaring past them with a relentless rally. The Steelers are a mess offensively and defensively scare no one but their fans. The Steelers talk tough but in reality Tom Brady should have enough time to strafe the weak secondary. I’m not banking the Steelers can do cross country and back then go to Foxboro and get a win. That would have taxed the best of Steeler squads and will devastate this one.
Pick- New England
Colts (5-2) @ Texans (2-5)
Reliant Stadium, Houston 8:30 NBC
Last Week Both teams were on a bye
Fast Fact Though the Texans are the NFL’s top ranked defense (measured in yards allowed), the rank a dismal 27th in scoring defense
Both teams come in rested for what has become a decent rivalry over the past few years. Case Keenum now has the starting QB job but will face a withering and relentless Colt pass rush. With Arian Foster not at 100% the Texan offense gets weaker and facing a Colts team that can score points, it will be tough sledding. Though the Colts will dearly miss veteran receiver Reggie Wayne lost with an ACL injury, the Colts still have a formidable offensive presence. The Texans wonder how come they can’t get a break on when we’re on national TV, as they are always are getting shredded by a big name QB, this won’t be any different.
Monday, November 4
Bears (4-3) @ Packers (5-2)
Lambeau Field, Green Bay 8:30 (ESPN)
Favorite Packers by 10½
Last Week Bears were on a bye, Packers defeated Vikings 44-31
Fast Fact Packers have won the last six meetings, and the last five at Lambeau
The only meeting between teams with a winning record this week closes out Week 9, and a classic one to boot. The Bears still stinging after a shootout loss to the Redskins in Week 7 now face their northern nemesis in full swagger mode after slapping around the Vikings on Sunday Night. With Jay Cutler out, the Bears have to hope Josh McCown can play another decent game, he has most of his weapons available but the defense is banged up and that might be trouble facing a red hot Aaron Rodgers who was dicing up the Vikes last week with surgical precision. Packers at home is always tough to pick against, but maybe Josh McCown has the game of his life and…come on who am I trying kid here?
Last Week: 10-3
Overall: 75-44 (Lock Correct, Upset not selected and will be counted as incorrect)