Tagged with "Predictions"
NFL Week 7 Picks
Category: NFL
Tags: NFL Picks and Predictions

Sunday, October 20


Bills (2-4) @ Dolphins (3-2)

SunLife Stadium; Miami Gardens, FL 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Dolphins by 7

Last Week Bills lost to Bengals 27-24 in OT, Dolphins were on a bye

Fast Fact Dolphins QB Ryan Tannehill has been sacked 24 times and is on pace to be sacked 76 times which would be a league record

The Bills are coming off a painful loss where they rallied sharply only to fall falt in OT and face a well rested Dolphins squad. The Bills are tough team to figure though they did play will under journeyman starter Thad Lewis last week. The Dolphins started strong but after getting housed by the Saints and edged by a beatable Ravens squad the whispers are getting louder that they were a September flash. Tannehill h as got to stay upright and expose the Bills leaky run defense as well who can give up yards but the Fins are clearly lacking in that department as they only gained a pitiful 22 yards rushing last week. The Bills may be without Stevie Johnson again and that weakens an already suspect offense. Im thinking that a showdown of teams badly in need of a win that the home team comes out on top this time.




Bears (4-2) @ Redskins (1-4) 

FedEx Field; Landover, MD 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Bears by 1

Last Week Bears defeated Giants 27-21, Redskins lost to Cowboys 31-16

Fast Fact Redskins have won 10 of the last 12 meetings, including the last four

The Bears are doing it again, the minute that you think that they are a legit team they wander off into a myriad of puzzling play. Just when you are just about to write them off they leap up and slam someone. Im still nowhere close to being sold on Jay Cutler being an elite QB or that the Bears offense will ever be legit. But then again when you compare them to the Redskins who beyong RGIII is the definition of frustrating the Bears look like a deep and complete team. I think that Cutler should be able to pick on a a suspect Washington secondary and the Bears defense should be able to keep RGIII in check.



Bengals (4-2) @ Lions (4-2)

Ford Field, Detroit 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Lions by 3

Last Week Bengals defeated Bills 27-24 in OT Lions defeated Browns 31-17

Fast Fact Bengals have won four straight and the last two times they have faced the Lions have gone on to win the AFC North

A good matchup of big cats in Motown. The Bengals tried hard to give a big lead away in Buffalo but won in OT. The Lions looked very crisp in dismantling the Browns. Many critics are quick to dog Bengals QB Andy Dalton who’s play has teetered between unremarkable and lousy, but he has won the most recent AFC player of the week piloted the Bengals to the lead in the AFC North. The Lions offense may be the best challenge that the Bengals defense has faced all season. Multifaceted and high powered the Lions have big names at plenty of positions, this will be a good close tight game but Im still not sold on the Bengals winning games on the road, since I have to call an upset this will be the one.

Pick-Cincinnati (Upset of the Week)



Cowboys (3-3) @ Eagles (3-3)

Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Eagles by 3

Last Week Cowboys defeated Redskins 31-16 Eagles defeated Buccaneers 31-20

Fast Fact Eagles have lost eight straight home games which ties a franchise record set back in 1936-37

The Pokes actually played a solid game on Sunday night and clobbered their archrivals. The Eagles are getting really happy with the play of Nick Foles who played well enough in beating the Bucs to be named offensive player of the week. The Pokes offense is hurting with the loss of DeMarco Murray but young Joseph Randle looks primed to step into the breech. On the defensive side DeMarcus Ware continues to rail that he would be ready to play in this matchup but you think that it really wouldn’t be a good idea. I worry that if I pick the Pokes the Eagles are going to finally break out of their home doldrums and if I pick the Eagles the Boys come to town and act up. Im going to regret this but I think the Pokes are the better team and despite their deficiencies will eke out a win.





Patriots (5-1) @ NY Jets (3-3)

MetLife Stadium; East Rutherford, NJ 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Patriots by 4

Last Week Patriots defeated Saints 30-27, Jets lost to Steelers 19-6

Fast Fact Tom Brady is 18-4 against the Jets in his career and has won the last six meetings

The Pats took it to the wire to escape with a thrilling win over the Saints while the grins and jeers from Jets head buffoon were few and far between as they took to a horrid loss to the previously winless Steelers The Pats struggled mightily in the September rain in their previous meeting and I still think Brady and his crew are shadows of their dominant selves of years past but, they are still light years better than the Jets who despite the promising play of rookie Geno Smith are still a weak team and should be dominated by the Pats

Pick-New England



Chargers (3-3) @ Jaguars (0-6) 

EverBank Field, Jacksonville 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Chargers by 9

Last Week Chargers defeated Colts 19-9, Jaguars lost to Broncos 35-19

Fast Fact The Jags are the first team since the 1984 Houston Oilers to lose their first six games by double digits.

The Chargers grinded out an ugly win over the Colts while the Jags played courageously and honorably in a loss to the rampaging Broncos. The Chargers are the toughest team in the NFL to figure, Philip Rivers is fast regaining his elite status and Antonio Gates is just defying father time with his solid play, but the lack of a credible running game is a burden and hurt them against tougher defenses. The Jags are playing better and are scoring more now but their offense is still too spotty. If there was an upset to be had it could be here since the Chargers are a west coast team coming east for an early game off a  short week. That usually portends to a dead team walking. I think that this will be a tough one but the Chargers will pull it out.

Pick-San Diego 


Rams (3-3) @ Panthers (2-3)

Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Panthers by 7

Last Week Rams defeated Texans 38-13, Panthers defeated Vikings 35-10

Fast Fact Rams QB Sam Bradford posted a career best single game QB rating of 134.6 against the Texans last week.

Both teams were in the rare role of road bully dealing out stunning beatdowns and are both playing surprisingly well as of late. You can never be sure of which team will show up from week though. Im liking the quiet effectiveness of the Rams defense as of late. Im also liking Cam Newton getting his big play on with the Panthers underrated corps of receivers. This is a tossup and then some so Im going with the home team and am probably going to regret it.



Buccaneers (0-5) @ Falcons (1-4)

Georgia Dome, Atlanta 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Falcons by 7

Last Week Buccaneers lost to Eagles 31-20 Falcons were on a bye

Fast Fact Bucs have lost three of their five games by three points or fewer

The Falcons are coming apart at the seams. More injuries and the loss of stud receiver Julio Jones helps not a bit. The rumors that Tony Gonzalez wants to be shipped back to KC wont quit and the Falcons are a shadow of the team that was a game away from the Super Bowl but if there is one team that might be a bigger mess in the NFC South, it’s the Bucs. No running game as Doug Martin is a shadow of himself and tons of questions at almost all the offensive skill positions. This is a tossup for all the wrong reasons. Even with their holes the Falcons are still the better team




49ers (4-2) @ Titans (3-3)

LP Field, Nashville 4:05 (FOX)

Favorite 49ers by 4

Last Week 49ers defeated Cardinals 32-20, Titans lost to Seahawks 20-13

Fast Fact The Titans have lost their last four games vs NFC opponents by a 156-47 margin

The Niners have clearly shook off the brief two game lull and have roared through 3 impressive wins. The Titans on  the other hand have faded badly in their last two games after a strong 3-1 start. The Titans are still waiting for Chris Johnson to return to his once dominant form or at least be dependable like the Niners Frank Gore. Colin Kaepernick is rounding into top form after an uneven start but the Titans are searching for a dependable replacement for the injured Jake Locker and no one is really confident that the well traveled Ryan Fitzpatrick can fit the bill. Im not sure that the Titans can slow the surging Niners up enough to hang with them.

Pick-San Francisco


Ravens (3-3) @ Steelers (1-4)

Heinz Field, Pittsburgh 4:25 (CBS)

Favorite Steelers by 1

Last Week Ravens lost to Packers 19-17, Steelers defeated Jets 19-6

Fast Fact Last week against The Steelers had their first turnover free game of the season.

The Steelers finally escaped winless island with a grimy gritty win in Gotham but continue to be seriously banged up. The Ravens had chance after chance to beat the Packers but fell flat on their collective faces.  The Ravens have played exceptionally well in Pittsburgh winning their last four and Im thinking that this trend should continue. The Steelers have a leaky run defense and facing Ray Rice who is way way overdue for a breakout game that isn’t the recipe for breaking the Ravens streak of wins in Pittsburgh



Browns (3-3) @ Packers (3-2)

Lambeau Field, Green Bay 4:25 (CBS)

Favorite Packers by 10

Last Week Browns lost to Lions 31-20, Packers defeated Ravens 19-17

Fast Fact The Packers have won 10 straight at home

The Packers tried mightily to give away their game against the Ravens but survived. The Browns? Well just about the time that you were taking them seriously. They turn back into the Browns with a chucklehead performance at home against the Lions. The Packers are a walking MASH unit with more and more players on the injured list, but with all their injuries they are still more talented than the Browns, who are just waiting for something else bad to happen. The spread is too high but I think that the Pack at home is pretty solid.

Pick-Green Bay


Texans (2-4) @ Chiefs (6-0)

Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City 4:25 CBS

Favorite Chiefs by 7

Last Week Texans lost to Rams 38-13, Chiefs defeated Raiders 24-7

Fast Fact Arrowhead Stadium set a Guinness World Record for the loudest outdoor arena last week, a sustained roar of an eardrum-splitting 137.7 decibels which is louder than a jet engine (Yowsa! Better invest in good ear plugs)

The Chiefs are clearly the NFL’s biggest surprise this year and have been winning with a slick combo of efficient passing by Alex Smith, bruising running by Jamaal Charles and a tough defense (You forgot that this squad sent six players to the Pro Bowl last year, didn’t you?) The Texans on the other hand are clearly the most disappointing team in the NFL. Matt Schaub has been mercificully sidelined with an injury suffered in an awful beating to an otherwise middling Rams squad and instead of vet TJ Yates the Texans are calling on Case Keenum to start. In KC? Did Gary Kubiak miss the memo on how frighteningly loud Arrowhead can get? And hes throwing a rookie in there…good luck kiddo. You’re gonna need it.

Pick-Kansas City (Lock of the Week)




Broncos (6-0) @ Colts (4-2)

Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis 8:30 (NBC)

Favorite Broncos by 7

Last Week Broncos defeated Jaguars 35-19, Colts lost to Chargers 19-9

Fast Fact Broncos have scored 31 points or more in all six of their games.

The much anticipated homecoming of Peyton Manning comes amid the glare of the Sunday Night Hype machine. Manning facing his successor and more acrimony from the front office than he was expecting. Though the Broncos got pushed by a surprisingly game Jags squad they managed to wear them down while the Colts offense sat and stewed watching their defense get worn out in San Diego. I think that this might be the best defense that either QB has faced this season. You have to wonder if Luck will be ready for all the hubbub that his predecessor is generating. I know one thing that the Colts defense will have their hands full with Manning. It will likely be the tightest game that the Broncos have had all season but they should be




Monday, October 21


Vikings (1-4) @ NY Giants (0-6)

MetLife Stadium; East Rutherford, NJ 8:30 (ESPN)

Favorite Giants by 3½

Last Week Vikings lost to Panthers 35-10, Giants lost to Bears 27-21

Fast Fact The Vikings have won in five of the last six trips to New York, including the last two visits.

The Vikings got flat blasted at home by a weak Panthers team as the Matt Cassel experiment seems to have run out of steam quickly. New acquisition Josh Freeman will take over the reigns at QB  and I think will bring a dynamic edge to this offense not seen since the brief tenure of Brett Favre. The G-Men are just a flat out mess, no credible running game and Eli Manning is a walking turnover machine. The G-Men will get a win or two but I don’t think that they will get one here.



Last Week: 10-5 (Lock & Upset Correct)

Overall 56-36 (Thursday Results are not in this total)

Locks: 5-1

Upsets: 4-2





Bandits Week 7 Thursday NFL Pick
Category: NFL
Tags: NFL Picks and Predictions

A decent week last week in the pick department and the week seems to fly by, and a key NFC West divisional starts out the 7th week and the halfway point of the fantasy season...odds provided by bodog.net for comparison and entertainment purposes only. 


Seahawks (5-1) @ Cardinals (3-3)

University of Phoenix Stadium; Glendale, AZ 8:20 (NFLN)

Favorite Seahawks by 7

Last Week Seahawks defeated Titans 20-13, Cardinals lost to 49ers 32-20

Fast Fact Cards have won six of the last seven home games against Seahawks

Though they dominated statistically the Seahawks let a weaker Titans team hang tough with them for too long while the Cards, to no ones surprise saw the Niners pull away from them late. The Cards seem to have trouble with strong running squads and the Seahawks boast one of the leagues best. I recall last year a decent Cards team started 4-0 and were on a Thursday Nighter, got run down and went into a 9 game freefall that cost their coach their job.  Could something like that happen again? I think the Seahawks are the better team and recent struggles in the desert not withstanding should roll to a pretty easy win will the Cards go into a their usual reeling tailspin because of the loss, we’ll see…


NFL Week 6 Pick (The Rest of Em)
Category: NFL
Tags: NFL Picks and Predictions

Another decent week in the books, though there are still games that are head scratchers. Im finding out that the two teams on bye this week : Atlanta (1-4); Miami (3-2) are becoming increasingly unreliable picks, both those misses kept me from a crisp 11-3 week. Once again submitted for your perusal, review and approval are this weeks picks. Odds are provided by bodog.net with the exception of the starred ones which are provided by ESPN, these odds are only being provided for entertainment and comparison purposes only. If you take that ridiculous line and lose the house payment, you cant stay with me.



Sunday, October 13


Panthers (1-3) @ Vikings (1-3) 

Mall of America Field @ HHH Metrodome, Minneapolis 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Vikings by 3

Last Week Panthers lost to Cardinals 22-6, Vikings were on a bye

Fast Fact The Vikings have scored a touchdown in the first quarter in eight straight games, longest current streak in the NFL

The Vikings will be playing with extremely heavy hearts as their dynamic RB Adrian Peterson deals with the senseless death of his young son on Friday, as this column is written it is unclear if Peterson will play. I would think that even if Peterson doesn play the Vikings are still marginally better than the Panthers who other than running wild on the woeful Giants cant score many points. I think the Vikes rally hard for their grieving teammate and pull out a tough win.

Pick- Minnesota



Bengals (3-2) @ Bills (2-3)

Ralph Wilson Stadium; Orchard Park, NY 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Bengals by 7

Last Week Bengals beat Patriots 13-6 Bills lost to Browns 37-24

Fast Fact The Bills have won the last six meetings in Buffalo

The Bengals surprised many an expert by slogging through a rainy messy track to upend the Pats at home. The Bengals offense has been missing in action as of late but the defense has been solid enough to frustrate three different Super Bowl winning QB’s this season. The problem is that journeyman Thad Lewis is nowhere close to a Super Bowl QB and the Bengals have had trouble with the average QB…The Bengals have also had trouble in Western New York where they haven’t won since 1985 and are 3-9 but the Bengals are the better team, but why do I feel like they will make this harder than it should be

Pick- Cincinnati




Detroit (3-2) @ Browns (3-2)

FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland 1:00 FOX

Favorite Lions by 2 ½ *

Last Week Lions lost to Packers 22-9, Browns defeated Bills 37-24

Fast Fact Browns seeking their first four game winning streak since the close of the 2009 season

The Browns have been feeling quite froggy after a rip-roaring win over Buffalo last Thursday, the Browns have embraced their no-name commonailty and have ripped off 3 wins over favored opponents. Meanwhile the Lions up and down season continue to pitch and yaw in directions no one is sure of. With the uncertain status of WR Calvin Johnson, its hard to tell which offense will show up, the team that scored 40 on the Bears or the one than eked out 9 against the Pack. Though the Browns are back to Brandon Weeden at QB, I like the way the Browns are playing as of late and think that they will continue.




Packers (2-2) @ Ravens (3-2)

M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite  Packers by 3

Last Week Packers defeated Lions 22-9 Ravens defeated Dolphins 26-23

Fast Fact The Ravens set a franchise scoring record (since broken) the last and only time the Packers came to Baltimore.

The Pack got back to even with a sluggish win over the Lions while the Ravens won a tight game in Miami. The Pack’s lack of a running game is hurting them more and more every week now their defense further weakened with the loss of Clay Matthews the onus is put even more on Aaron Rodgers. But for some strange reason, I see the Pack as a team that can go into Baltimore and steal a win. Is this an upset? No, I just don’t think Joe Flacco can really carry a team (beyond his fluky Super Bowl run of last year)

Pick-Green Bay


Eagles (2-3) @ Buccaneers (0-4)

Raymond James Stadium, Tampa 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Eagles by 2

Last Week Eagles defeated Giants 36-21 Buccaneers were on a bye

Fast Fact The Bucs are last in the NFC in scoring (11 ppg) but the Eagles are 30th in points allowed

The Eagles were for one week the toast of the NFL then reality set in as their offense just had too many bugs to be turned around  by Chip Kelly’s offense. The beat the equally sad sack G-Men to stay in contention in the weak NFC East. Their cause will be further bolstered by playing another sad sack team in the Bucs who ran Josh Freeman off and turn their QB duties over to the young Mike Glennon who is talented enough by inexperienced. Michael Vick is a tossup to be the starter and the tea leaves say that he will be part of the cap and clipboard ilk. Nick Foles would get the start in Vick’s stead and while not the household name Vick can pilot the offense with a fairly steady hand. I see an ugly game brewing and Eagles will make fewer mistakes and get the win.



Steelers (0-4) @ NY Jets (3-2)

MetLife Stadium; East Rutherford, NJ 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Jets by 3

Last Week Steelers were on a bye, Jets defeated Falcons 30-28

Fast Fact Steelers last 0-4 start was 1968, 4 years before Steelers Coach Mike Tomlin was born

The Steelers have had nearly two weeks to stew on their debacle in London while the Jets fresh of a short win upset win in the ATL are full of fire. Everything points to the surprising Jets continuing to play beyond all expectations. Geno Smith has looked like he could be a keeper and with the Steelers shockingly weak pass rush should be able to throw the ball readily. The Jets defense has played decent but has a predilection to giving up way too many big plays. The Steelers defense is getting pounded; their offense is still searching for a spark and with a miniscule running game you wonder where the points are going to come from. This game screams a walkover win for the Jets, but something keeps nagging at me that the Jets are overdue for a flat performance.

Pick-Pittsburgh (Upset of the Week)


Raiders (2-3) @ Chiefs (5-0)

Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Chiefs by 7½*

Last Week Raiders defeated Chargers 27-17, Chiefs defeated Titans 26-17

Fast Fact Chiefs are off to their best start since starting 9-0 in 2003, but Raiders have won last trips to Arrowhead

The Raiders seemed to like the late night lights and ambushed the Chargers, meanwhile the Chiefs continue to be the under the radar hot team in their own division. The Raiders are a tough team to figure, Terrelle Pryor is suffering through the expected growing pains as a starting QB but has looked good at times, but with a skittish running game he’s often asked to do more than he should be expected to. Meanwhile Alex Smith is thriving, Jamaal Charles is running tough, and the Chiefs defense is playing ballhawking roughhouse again. The Chiefs are overdue for a flat performance themselves but are also overdue to beat their despised AFL rivals at home.

Pick-Kansas CIty


Rams (2-3) @ Texans (2-3)

Reliant Field, Houston 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Texans by 9

Last Week Rams defeated Jaguars 34-20, Texans lost to 49ers 34-3

Fast Fact Texans QB Matt Schaub threw an interception that was returned for a touchdown for the fourth straight game, an NFL record.

The Rams left the Jags in the game a little too long before pulling away for an expected easy win, while the whispers are turning to howls as the stunning regression of Matt Schaub continues to find new depths. Both teams are searching for consistent play and both teams are underachieving. I think that Schaub makes a last stand, albeit against a much weaker team. The Rams are still not strong enough on the defensive end to give a better balanced team like the Texans that much trouble. But if Schaub throws another pick 6…hoo boy, he might need to find a good realtor…



Jaguars (0-5) Broncos (5-0)

Sports Authority Field @ Mile High, Denver 4:05 (CBS)

Favorite Broncos by 27 (that is NOT a typo)

Last Week Jaguars lost to Rams 34-20, Broncos defeated Cowboys 51-48

Fast Fact Only 5 times in the past 20 years have teams that are unbeaten in 5 or more games faced a team winless in 5 or more games. The unbeaten team has won and covered all 5 times.

Oh…boy…talk about a lamb being led to slaughter. This game is the classic mismatch, the Broncos have score more in single quarters than the Jags have in games. You wonder how long Peyton Manning will be allowed to brutalize the weak Jags defense. Hide your kids hide your wife, this one will be brutal. That line isn’t a typo the disparity between these two teams on both sides of the ball is shockingly wide. You wonder if a running clock will be needed here in the 2nd half or a boxing ref is waiting in the wings to cover the Jags up from getting punched….

Pick-Denver (Lock of the Week)


Titans (3-2) @ Seahawks (4-1)  

CenturyLink Field, Seattle 4:05 (CBS)

Favorite Seahawks by 14

Last Week Titans lost to Chiefs 26-17, Seahawks lost to Colts 34-28

Fast Fact The Seahawks have a 10 game winning at CenturyLink Field, the longest current home win streak in the NFL

The Seahawks got caught on the wrong side of a shootout losing a tough decision to the Colts, while the Titans couldn’t avoid the turnover bug and took a tough loss. The Seahawks defense was shown to be mortal than anything and can be scored on. The bad thing for the Titans is they don’t have the skill position player that the Colts have and even worse playing in the madhouse in Seattle.



Cardinals (3-2) @ 49ers (3-2)

Candlestick Park, San Francisco 4:25 (FOX)

Favorite 49ers by 11

Last Week Cardinals defeated Panthers 22-6, 49ers defeated Texans 34-3

Fast Fact Despite not having defensive aces Aldon Smith & Nnamdi Asomugha the past two weeks, the Niners defense has only allowed one TD, 501 total yards and forced 6 turnovers.

Both teams come off impressive home victories the Cards grinded out an ugly win while the Niners thrashed the Texans on Sunday Night. The Niners seem to have recovered from their two week sleepwalk and are playing much much better on both sides of the ball. Im nowhere near sold on the Cards even with a 3-2 record. The Niners defense will force Carson Palmer into his typical litany of dumb mistakes and should roll handily to the win.

Pick-San Francisco


Saints (5-0) @ Patriots (4-1)

Gillette Stadium; Foxboro, MA 4:25 (FOX)

Favorite Patriots by 1*

Last Week Saints defeated Bears 26-18, Patriots lost to Bengals 13-6

Fast Fact Pats QB Tom Brady has yet to defeat Drew Brees as a member of the Pats (He was 0-2 vs the Chargers and 0-1 vs the Saints) his last win over Brees came while both were still in college. Brady’s Michigan squad defeated Brees’ Purdue team in 2000.
Now this is an interesting game to say the least. The Saints won a slugfest with the Bears while the Pats floundered in the Cincy rain. Both teams have future HOF QB’s who can put up good numbers but their defenses are sneaky good themselves. Getting Rob Gronkowski will help Tom Brady immensely, as you can see how the presence of Jimmy Graham is an absolute nightmare for opposing defenses to prepare for. The difference here will be the more diverse weapons that Drew Brees will have with Marques Colston and Darren Sproles these will make the difference in what should prove to be an entertaining game

Pick-New Orleans


Redskins (1-3) @ Cowboys (2-3)

AT&T Stadium; Arlington, TX 8:30 (NBC)

Favorite Cowboys by 6

Last Week Redskins were on a bye, Cowboys lost to Broncos 51-48

Fast Fact Cowboys QB Tony Romo threw for a team record 506 yards in a loss to the Broncos last week, he not only became the 15th player to pass for more than 500 yards in a game but the 5th to do so and throw for 5 TDs in the same game

The Pokes were on the wrong end of a thrilling shootout, but Tony Romo might have gotten more dap for his heroic effort had he not thrown a damaging late INT that marred an otherwise sparkling performance. The classic rival is next and you have to wonder if the Pokes can bounce back strong. The Redskins went to Oakland two weeks ago and grinded out a needed win but this team still has some serious flaws, with Alfred Morris still trying to get back into full health the pressure rises on RGIII. Though I really like his growing trust in Leonard Hankerson, something tells me that the Pokes at home in primetime will shine. (I know im going to regret this)




Monday, October 14


Colts (4-1) @ Chargers (2-3)

Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego 8:30 (ESPN)

Favorite Colts by 1½ *

Last Week Colts defeated Seahawks 34-28, Chargers lost to Raiders 27-17

Fast Fact Chargers have won five of the past six meetings

The Colts rallied smartly the Seahawks and are are brimming with confidence. The Chargers continue to be a puzzling squad, a week after beating the Cowboys they fall behind badly against the Raiders and never recover. Andrew Luck is a keeper and he plays with a poise way beyond his years. Trent Richardson is still working his way into form with the Colts offense. The Chargers have a passing attack but their running game is skittish at best and unrealiable more often than not. This should be an interesting game but I think that young Luck will be able to get a tight win



Last Week 9-5 (Lock & Upset Correct)

Overall: 46-31

Locks:  4-1

Upsets: 3-2

NFL Week 6 Pick (Thursday Opener)
Category: NFL
Tags: NFL Picks and Predictions


The Week starts with a classic rivalry. The Bears and Giants go back, way way back. To the mid-1920’s and remains one of the leagues oldest rivalries. But doing research I thought that the two teams might have played each other like 60-70 times over nearly 90 years. The Bears lead the all time series 32-22-2 (including 5-3 in the playoffs) This matchup might have looked classic at season’s start but a winless team on national TV is never fun. Odds provided by bodog.net for entertainment and comparison purposes only.




Thursday, October 10


NY Giants (0-5) @ Bears (3-2)

Soldier Field, Chicago 8:20 (NFLN)

Favorite Bears by 8

Last Week Giants lost to Eagles 36-21 Bears lost to Saints 26-18

Fast Fact  The Giants have given up 31 or more points in all 5 games.

Are the G-Men that bad? The short answer is yes. But the reasons why are complicated. Line problems on both sides of the ball, a non existant running game further hampered by the loss of the underachieving David Wilson and Eli Manning’s frightening predilection for the ill timed interception or turnover. It helps matters little that their porous defense and weak offense heads to the Midway to face Bears team that started off plenty strong but got outgunned by the Lions and uncharacteristically played tentative against the Saints. The G-Men will win games, but asking them to do so against a Bears team that is trying to hold on to a tenuous lead in the NFC North is asking too much.


NFL Week 5 Picks (All the rest)
Category: NFL
Tags: NFL Picks & Predictions


Last week was better at 10-5 but there are some really good games this week so I will have to step my game up. As usual the odds are provided by bodog.net and are for entertainment and comparison purposes only. Princess Katie’s birthday wasThursday and since all my money is tied up in that, I haven’t an extra dime to spare you if you take the lines and get took. Please Note that Minnesota (1-3); Pittsburgh (0-4); Tampa Bay (0-4); Washington (1-3).are all on a bye this week.





Sunday, October 6


Ravens (2-2) @ Dolphins (3-1)

SunLife Stadium, Miami Gardens FL 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Dolphins by 3

Last Week Ravens lost to Bills 23-20, Dolphins lost to Saints 38-17

Fast Fact Dolphins QB Ryan Tannehill has been sacked a league high 18 times.

The Ravens are playing extremely uneven week to week. Joe Flacco has suddenly morphed back into an ordinary Joe and the once feared defense is not making anyone scared. On the other hand aside from the most recent rout by the Saints, the Dolphins have been playing a nice combo of effiecent passing by Ryan Tannehill an underrated running game and a good defense. I think that the Dolphins can bounce back strong from their primetime beatdown and roll to a win.




Lions (3-1) @ Packers (1-2)

Lambeau Field, Green Bay 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Packers by 7

Last Week Lions defeated Bears 40-32, Packers were on a bye

Fast Fact Two weeks removed from breaking an 0-21 streak in Washington, the Lions try to break a 22 game losing streak in Wisconsin (19 losses in Green Bay, 3 in Milwaukee)

The Lions are feeling quite froggy after having stood tall against the Bears. The Packers have been stewing about a nasty fall from ahead loss in Cincy two weeks ago. The Lions offense has been playing at a crisp level while their defense has played inconsistent yet good enough to keep the Lions from losing games that they would have back in the day. Im just not quite sure what to make of the Packers they don’t play solid defense and can get gashed way too often. If it was anyone else I would say the Packers are in trouble but I keep seeing the Packers winning a wild shootout.

Pick-Green Bay


Jacksonville (0-4) @ Rams (1-3)

Edward Jones, Dome St. Louis 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Rams by 12

Last Week Jaguars lost to Colts 37-3, Rams lost to Niners 35-11

Fast Fact The Jags have scored 31 points total for the season, the Broncos have scored more in each game

The Rams got thumped by the Niners and need someone to take it out on. Lo and behold, look who show up other than the ragged Jags who will get a boost with the return of Justin Blackmon to give the beleaguered Blaine Gabbert a reliable target. The Rams offense is suspect at best, a couple steps above the abysmal Jags offense. But the Jags defense will make any offense healthy and I see no reason why the Rams at home shouldn’t be able to pick on the Jags and get the win.

Pick-St. Louis


Chiefs (4-0)  @ Titans (3-1)

LP Field, Nashville 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite Chiefs by 3

Last Week Chiefs defeated Giants 31-7, Titans defeated Jets 38-13

Fast Fact The Chiefs have scored 26 or more points in 3 of their four games, a feat that they only accomplised twice in the entire 2012 season.

One of the better games is in Nashville where the surprising Titans are hosting the equally surprising Chiefs. Both teams are loaded with underrated talent, the Chiefs Alex Smith is thriving under the tutelage of Andy Reid but the Titans are still trying to figure out what their QB situation will be after Jake Locker was shelved with a bad hip. The well traveled Ryan Fitzpatrick (Is he still in this league?) gets the starting nod. Ordinarily I’d like the Titans slightly at home as they are always a tough draw in Nashville but the Chiefs are looking kinda right and tight. That defense is no joke and I think that a road win is very doable here.

Pick-Kansas City


Patriots (4-0)  @ Bengals (2-2) 

Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati 1:00 (CBS)

Favorite No Line

Last Week Patriots defeated Falcons 30-23, Bengals lost to Browns 17-6

Fast Fact Patriots QB Tom Brady has yet to lose to the Bengals, the Pats last loss to the Bengals in 2001, Brady was still the backup to Drew Bledsoe

The Pats won a thrilling shootout with the Falcons on Sunday night and head to the Jungle to face the maddeningly inconsistent Bengals. The whispers about Andy Dalton’s uneven play is growing somewhat and the defense while very capable can only do so much when the offense cant produce. . There is a sentiment that the Bengals are capable of pulling the upset. Are they? Sure, and it really wouldn’t be that big of an upset. Will it happen? Nope.

Pick-New England


Saints (4-0)@ Bears (3-1) 

Soldier Field, Chicago 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Saints by 1

Last Week Saints defeated Dolphins 38-17, Bears lost to Lions 40-32

Fast Fact Saints QB Drew Brees is 0-3 in Chicago

An interesting game in the Windy City as the hot Saints come in to face the Bears. Drew Brees has never looked sharper, dissecting the Dolphins rather easily on Monday night. As soon as I express some confidence in the Bears and Jay Cutler they revert to old form and lose a puzzler against the Lions as the defense again got hammered for big yards, big plays and 40 points. What little confidence I had in the Bears and Cutler is just about nil. The Saints aren’t a perfect squad but you gotta like the defensive swagger that defensive coordinator Rob Ryan brings to this group. I think that the make it a tough day for Cutler and the opps that Brees will get as a result of it will get him his first win in the Midway.

Pick-New Orleans



Eagles (1-3) @NY Giants (0-4)

MetLife Stadium; East Rutherford, NJ 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Giants by 3

Last Week Eagles lost to Broncos 52-20, Giants lost to Chiefs 31-7

Fast Fact

These two proud teams have fallen on some serious hard times. Just when I was ready to celebrate the fast break offense of the Eagles they clutch up and just look abysmal in the past three weeks, the nadir being an awful beating in Denver where the Broncos looked more like the fast break offense and the Eagles looked like they were struggling to catch their breath much less keep up. The G-Men are just as sad a story getting hammered in KC by a Chiefs team that did just about whatever they wanted. Eli Manning’s seemingly fragile psyche is getting smashed to bits and Tom Coughlin’s set gets hotter by the second less than two seasons after winning a Super Bowl. I cant see his seat getting any cooler. While the Eagles have problems they should be able to make things tougher on a G-Men squad that is a poor facsimile of a once great team.



Seahawks (4-0) @ Colts (3-1)

Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis 1:00 (FOX)

Favorite Colts by 3

Last Week Seahawks defeated Texans 23-20 in OT,  Colts defeated Jaguars 37-3

Fast Fact Seahawks are off to their first ever 4-0 start

It’s a face off of two of the members of the highly heralded QB class of 2012, Russell Wilson and Andrew Luck have piloted their respective squads out to fine starts but haven’t really put up eye popping numbers. Though Luck did have a solid game last week in routing the pitiful Jags, Wilson was having a ragged day until engineering a late comeback to push the Seahawks to a win in OT in Houston. This game looks on the surface to be a duel between two of the hot young QBs but I think that the Colts defense is better than advertised. Call me crazy (shaddap) but I just don’t see the Seahawks coming east a second time and being able to get away with a so-so performance and win. Indy will never get to the levels of the extreme rowdiness of Seattle’s Century Link Field but I think that they will make just enough to make a difference and Indy will steal a tight one

Pick-Indianapolis (Upset of the Week)


Panthers (1-2) @ Cardinals (2-2)

University of Phoenix Stadium; Glendale, AZ 4:05 (FOX)

Favorite Panthers by 2

Last Week Panthers were on a bye, Cardinals defeated Bucs 13-10

Fast Fact The 38-0 week 3 shutout of the Giants was the Panthers biggest win margin in franchise history

The Panthers well rested after a whitewash of the G-Men face a Cards team that is its usual up and down self. The defense has played decent but the offense is punchless and struggles to score points. (I mean really 13 against the Bucs?) Cam Newton will never be high on my list of top flight QB’s but he has played relatively well in his last two games. It will be the irresitable force of the Panthers 3rd ranked running game against a stingy Cards run defense that is ranked 2nd against the run. To be sure this is a tossup game. I want to pick the home team but the Cards offense is a bit to shaky for me to be confident in picking them.



Broncos (4-0)  @ Cowboys (2-2)

AT&T Stadium; Arlington, TX 4:25 (CBS)

Favorite Broncos by 9

Last Week Broncos defeated Eagles 52-20, Cowboys lost to Chargers 30-21

Fast Fact Broncos 167 points through 4 games is 2nd all time highest scoring for the 1st four games of the season (1966 Cowboys)

With the rescheduling of the Chargers-Raiders game this becomes the start of three nationally televised games and the first one is a good one. The high powered high scoring Denver offense heading into the Jerry dome to face a Pokes team that puts on a brave face in talking tough about being sick of hearing about Peyton Manning but given their weak secondary that was toasted to north of 400 yards by Philip Rivers what would one think that the Jedi master would do? With a number of weapons Manning is playing at a rare form even for his brilliant career. The only hope the Pokes have is to hope that Tony Romo can  stand taller against Manning. Do I think that he can? If you believe that, I have some really nice oceanfront property in Kansas that might interest you…

Pick-Denver (Lock of the Week)


Texans (2-2) @ 49ers(2-2)                         

Candlestick Park, San Francisco 8:30 (NBC)

Favorite 49ers by 7

Last Week Texans lost to Seahawks 23-20, 49ers  defeated Rams 35-11

Fast Fact This series is dead even, both teams have split the two meetings, scored 41 points total in those two meetings with the home team winning by 3.

The Niners were getting some whispers of suspect in their previous two games getting outscored 56-10 before bouncing back to whip the Rams, while the Texans looked decent in their first two games only to get hammered in Baltimore then cough up a late lead to the Seahawks at home. Matt Schaub continues to struggle and a local Houston eatery named a sandwich option a Schaub meaning that one could “pick-six” options on the sandwich. That possibility could be a reality here as the ball hawking 49ers defense could make the game a long one. If defensive ace Brian Cushing isn’t cleared with his concussion struggles it could make things just as tough for a Texans defense that has played unusually below the top shelf level that one has expected from them as of late. I think that the Niners continue to break out of their mini-slump while the Texans continue to struggle.

Pick-San Francisco


Chargers (2-2) @ Raiders (1-3)                                    

O.Co Coliseum, Oakland 11:35 (NFLN)

Favorite No Line

Last Week Chargers defeated Cowboys 30-21, Raiders lost to Redskins 24-14

Fast Fact  Raiders havent scored 21 or more point in 12 straight games the longest current streak in the NFL

This game was originally a 4:25p EDT game rescheduled due to the MLB playoff game that is being played on Saturday, the only stadium that is shared by an MLB and NFL team needs a 24 hour turnaround to realign the stadium to football configurations. So an unusual scenario has developed, the East Bay will see a later version of football than even a primetime slot would allow. The Chargers looked sharp against the Cowboys with Philip Rivers strafing a weak Poke secondary repeatedly for big yards. He should be able to do the same against a Raiders defense that plays okay, but is on the field more because of a weak offense. The Chargers are better than their 2-2 record would indicate and I think that they prove that handily here.

Pick-San Diego



Monday, October 7


NY Jets (2-2) @ Falcons (1-3)                                      

Georgia Dome, Atlanta 8:30 (ESPN)

Favorite Falcons by 10

Last Week Jets lost to Titans 38-13, Falcons lost to Patriots 30-23

Fast Fact The Falcons have never lost three straight games with Matt Ryan as QB

The Falcons host their second straight prime time affair as the Jets come to town to finish the week. Matt Ryan took a little too long to get rolling and couldn’t bring the Falcons all the way back against the Pats. The grins and jeers from Rex Ryan were few and far between as the Jets got smashed in Nashville. This is another case in which records are very deceiving the Falcons are no where near as bad as a 1-3 record would indicate and the Jets 2-2 record is way above expectations. Geno Smith will be in this league for a while, you can bank on that but he will have his struggles. Facing a Falcons defense that will look for the big play, they will make things tough. Im looking for Ryan to have a big game at home.



Last Week: 10-5 (Lock Correct, Upset Incorrect)

Overall: 37-26

Locks: 3-1

Upsets: 2-2NNFLNFL,

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