(I apologize for not posting the Giants/Panthers pick, I did pick incorrectly and that incorrect prognastication is posted here along with the rest of the week's picks.
Well that last week just about sucked as bad as it has in a long time. 7-9 was not the way I wanted to finish my 30s withÖI think that since Im turning the book of life to the next page that I should just start fresh. And try to get picks right. But seriously, the one team I was for sure for sure not going to go east and win, did and the one team I was pretty could go east and win.With the loss last night, Im now 0-3 in the inital game of the week. Posted here for your review, consumption and approval are this weeks picks. Odds are provided by bodog.net except where noted and are for entertainment and comparison purposes only. †That means donít come looking at me if you bet these lines and lose, my old age pension wont cover that.
Thursday September 20 (Mr. Kevís National Holiday)
Giants (1-1) @ Panthers (1-1)
Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte 8:20 (NFLN)
Favorite Panthers by 3
Last Week Giants beat Bucs 41-34, Panthers beat Saints 35-27
Fast Fact Both these teams will have played 2 games before the Packers will play their next
Both teams come off of shootout wins at home, and the G-Men offense needed every bit of the 510 yards passing that Eli Manning dealt out. The Panthers bounced back to whip the Saints and Cam Newton is looking like there will be no sophomore slump. Its tough for a road team to turn right around and gear back up for a Thursday game and this will be no exception. The G-Men are especially hampered offensively in missing WRís Hakeem Nicks & Domenik Hixon, RB Ahmad Bradshaw T Dave Diehl all out with a various sundry of injuries. Going on the road and with the defense already given to allowing points this is not the team to face. The dynamic Newton should have more weapons at his disposal to lead his team to a win.
Sunday, September 23
Bills (1-1) @ Browns (0-2)
Browns Stadium, Cleveland 1:00 (CBS)
Favorite Bills by 3
Last Week Browns lost Bengals 34-27, Bills beat Chiefs 35-17
Fast Fact The Bills have lost their last eight games on the road.
The Bills routed the Chiefs last week behind the sparkling play of CJ Spiller, while the Browns took a painful lost to their despised downstate rivals in spite of the rugged running of rookie Trent Richardson. The Bills at least arenít trying to break in a rookie QB too and with the athletic Bills defense sure to make life tough for Brandon Weeden. Its hard for me to have any real confidence in him. I know, I know the Bills are usually road kill, but I think they have a least more to go on than the Browns do.
Bengals (1-1) @ Redskins (1-1)
FedEx Field; Landover, MD 1:00 (CBS)
Favorite Redskins by 3
Last Week Bengals defeated Browns 34-27, Redskins lost to Rams 31-28
Fast Fact Redskins have a four game losing streak to AFC teams and have lost the last two meetings with the Bengals.
This is a rather intriguing game, the Bengals seem to have a defensive implosion more often than not and their offense has played wildly inconsistent. RG3 is proving himself to be a wily QB but still seems to make his share of rookie mistakes. While Iím highly tempted to say RG3 makes a big splash in front of a sellout expectant crowd at FedEx Field, something in me isnít buying into the hype. I like RG3 to be sure, but I keep seeing the Bengals throwing weird looks at him and the Redskins defense has shown no inkling of slowing down any opposing offense. I think the Bengals win a shootout here.
Lions (1-1) @ Titans (0-2)
LP Field, Nashville, 1:00 (FOX)
Favorite Lions by 3
Last Week Lions lost to 49ers 27-19, Titans lost to Chargers 38-10
Fast Fact The Titans are an NFL best 19-5 against the NFC in the past 6 six years
I get the feeling that Titans coach Mike Munchak is wandering the streets of Nashville with a milk carton begging the locals to help him find Chris Johnsonís running game. Johnson has had a pair of shockingly subpar games to start the season and facing a rough and ready Lions defense eager to atone for its Sunday Night loss. The Titans defense has suddenly gotten real suspect and facing the bevy of offensive weapons that the Lions have is not a prescription for health.
Jaguars (0-2) @ Colts (1-1)
Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis 1:00 (CBS)
Favorite Colts by 3
Last Week Colts defeated Vikings 23-20, Jaguars lost to Texans 27-7
Fast Fact The Jaguars eked out a franchise worst 117 yards total offense last week.
The Colts jumped to a big lead then let the Vikings back into the game before winning at the gun. The Jags are just a hot mess. This is the rare opp for the Colts to be the bully and I think that Andrew Luck will have a great time picking on the Jags weak secondary. The Colts will have their 2nd win before the end of the month, three months ahead of when they got their 2nd win last year.
Chiefs (0-2) @ Saints (0-2)
Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans 1:00 (CBS)
Favorite Saints by 9
Last Week Chiefs lost to Bills 35-17, Saints lost to Panthers 35-27
Fast Fact The Saints have start 0-2 18 other times in team history, and have not had a winning season in any of them.
The Chiefs have got to know that they are walking into a storm, the Saints have lost two entertaining shootouts and their offense is showing no real signs of wear. The defenses for both teams are nothing short of atrocious and itís a good bet that points will not be hard to come by. The question is whoís defense will slow the others down enough to get the win. My bet is on the Saints at home.
Jets (1-1) @ Dolphins (1-1)
SunLife Stadium; Miami Gardens, FL 1:00 (CBS)
Favorite Jets by 3
Last Week Jets lost to Steelers 27-10, Dolphins defeated Raiders 35-13
Fast Fact Jets QB Mark Sanchez has had five game with under 40% completion percentage, the most by any one QB since 2009.
The Jets took an expected beating in Pittsburgh last week and the predictable talk about when we could expect to see Tim Tebow as the starter ramped back up. The Dolphins pull the unexpected when they housed the Raiders and ran on them at will behind a career day for Reggie Bush. I expect the sledding to be much tougher and Ryan Tannehill will be running for his life for most of the game. There will be few chants for Tebow from the Miami crowd. If they do, Im thinking embattled Jets QB Mark Sanchez might shout ďCan we leave him here, with you???Ē
Pick-New York Jets
49ers (2-0) @ Vikings (1-1)
Mall of America Field @ HHH Metrodome, Minneapolis 1:00 (FOX)
Favorite 49ers by 7Ĺ
Last Week 49ers defeated Lions 27-19, Vikings lost to Colts 23-20
Fast Fact Niners WR Randy Moss makes his first appearance as a visitor against the Vikings where he played from 1998-2004 & 2010 and need 81 receiving yards to surpass 15,000 for his career.
The Niners are playing out their string of NFC North teams all at once. Looking solid in a Sunday Nighter, the Niners are using their fearsome defense to neutralize two of the NFLís best which makes facing Christian Ponder all the more laughable. Ponder had trouble with the Jags and Colts defense who scare no one but their fans, do you really think he will solve the complex Niners scheme? I didnít think you did. I love me some AP but hes the one man gang fighting against the Niners Bolivian Army of a defense. Alex Smith has to do little but not make mistakes and with the redoubtable running Frank Gore of Frank Gore, the Niners should have nothing to worry about
Pick-San Francisco (Lock of the Week)
Rams (1-1) @ Bears (1-1)
Soldier Field, Chicago 1:00 (FOX)
Favorite Bears by 7Ĺ (line courtesy of Yahoo Sports)
Last Week Rams defeated Redskins 31-28, Bears lost to Packers 23-10
Fast Fact The Bears have won the last three meetings.
The Bears have had to hear all about the Cutler meltdown from last Thursday to almost total saturation, but how fast the wonks turn from celebrating the Bears QB to lambasting him for his outbursts. The Bears face a beatable Rams team that rallied from 15 down to upend the Redskins, a game truth be told they had no business winning. They will find the sledding a lot tougher against a better defense. Sam Bradford will not be able to operate in a clean pocket like he did last week and I think Cutler keeps the wolves at bay for this week.
Buccaneers (1-1) @ Cowboys (1-1)
Cowboys Stadium, Arlington, TX 1:00 (FOX)
Favorite Cowboys by 8
Last Week Buccaneers lost to Giants 41-34, Cowboys lost to Seahawks 27-7
Fast Fact The Cowboys have rushed for 121.3 yards a game in winning the last four meetings.
The Pokes got housed in Seattle, a flat performance that the Pokes saw coming as much as that block Golden Tate gave Sean Lee. The Bucs lost a wild game in Gotham and seem to have trouble with stopping the run. Not a weakness to have against the solid running corps that the Pokes bring. The Bucs may not get a chance to ramrod at the Pokes victory formation, the game shouldnít be that close.
Falcons (2-0) @ Chargers (2-0)
Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego 4:05 (FOX)
Favorite Chargers by 3
Last Week Falcons defeated Colts 27-21, Chargers defeated Titans 38-10
Fast Fact The Chargers have never beaten the Falcons in San Diego (0-5)
The Chargers had the emotion of playing their hated rivals in their first game then the emotional home opener retiring Junior Seauís number. You have think that they might come up a little flat against a good Falcons team. The Chargers have the advantage of the Falcons being a weak running team and weakened further by the questionable status of Michael Turner who is dealing with a DUI charge and whose status is uncertain. The Bolts running game has been scattershot as well so both teams will look to their passing games both piloted by QBís who are completing better than 70% of their passes. All signs to me say that Atlanta wins pretty easy but I keep thinking an upset sound goods right about here.
Pick-San Diego (Upset of the Week)
Eagles (2-0) @ Cardinals (2-0)
University of Phoenix Stadium; Glendale, AZ 4:05 (FOX)
Favorite Eagles by 3
Last Week Eagles defeated Ravens 24-23, Cardinals defeated Patriots 20-18
Fast Fact Eagles are first team in NFL history to win each of their first two games of the season by a single point.
These are two teams that will give you ulcers in a hurry, both are 2-0 but both have been living on the edge. The Eagles turn the ball over at a frightening clip but their defense bails them out. The Cards keep figuring out ways to dodge losses with late game heroics, both times they have had to weather last second opposition drives that fall short. The question is what team is doing it with mirrors and will get exposed. My guess is that despite being on the road the Eagles get the job done. Michael Vick is way overdue for a big game and the Cards defense while playing well had trouble with the mobile Russell Wilson in week 1. It will be a tight one, neither team has the capacity for a blowout.
Texans (2-0) @ Broncos (1-1)
Sports Authority Field @ Mile High, Denver 4:25 (CBS)
Favorite Texans by 3
Last Week Texans defeated Jaguars 27-7, Broncos lost to Falcons 27-21
Fast Fact Broncos QB Peyton Manning has thrown 3 INTís in a game 15 times, but is only a so-so 8-7 in the games following the 3 INT games.
The Broncos play their first day game of the season after two primetime showcases to start the season. Peyton Manning looked rusty against the Falcons and playing inconsistent is not a good thing to do against this roughneck, ballhawking big play defense that the Texans present. Manning has always had success against the Texans going 16-2, but that was with the Colts machine backing him up. The Broncos are still getting used to Manning and besides DeMaryius Thomas that Receiving corps is still a bit shaky. The Texans offensive balance will be needed as the Broncos are solild against the run in the first two games. The Texans are going to have to pass some tests if they are to be taken seriously as a Super Bowl contender. I think that they pass one here.
Steelers (1-1) @ Raiders (0-2)
O.co Stadium, Oakland 4:25 (CBS)
Favorite Steelers by 4Ĺ
Last Week Steelers defeated Jets 27-10, Raiders lost to Dolphins 35-13
Fast Fact This is a coaching matchup of two youngest head coaches in the NFL as both the Raiders Dennis Allen and the Steelers Mike Tomlin are the same age as your humble scribe, 40.
An old school AFC classic, the Raiders are stumbling out of the gate again while the Steelers bounced back from their opening Sunday Night loss to pound the Jets. Carson Palmer doesnít play well against the Steelers going 4-8 against them while playing for Cincinnati. Big Ben however hasnít played well in Oakland getting picked off four times in a loss in their last visit to Oakland in 2006. The Raiders are a mess and I feel like an idiot for calling them a dark horse. The Steelers will as usual get into Carson Palmers head and make it a long afternoon. Those that hearken back to the days when this used to be a premier matchup will have to go on those memories, because this one might get ugly fast.
Patriots (1-1) @ Ravens (1-1)
M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore 8:20 (NBC)
Favorite Ravens by 3
Last Week Patriots lost to Cardinals 20-18, Ravens lost to Eagles 24-23
Fast Fact Last weeks loss was the first home opener loss in the Brady/Belichick era
Both teams took stunning losses last week, the Ravens came up short against the Eagles in Philly and the Pats offense went MIA for most of the afternoon against the Cards and blew a game winning field goal at the gun. These are two teams that play good most of the time and this primetimer will be quite entertaining. Itís hard to get a read on either team following such dismal performances in week 2 and tough to figure which dynamic quarterback will get back on track facing a tough defense. In a coin flip of a game, Iíll take Brady facing a defense that has been weaker than in past years.
Monday, September 24
Packers (1-1) @ Seahawks (1-1)
CenturyLink Field, Seattle 8:30 (ESPN)
Favorite Packers by 3Ĺ
Last Week Packers defeated Bears 23-10, Seahawks beat Cowboys 27-7
Fast Fact The Packers have won six of the past seven meetings (including both playoff meetings)
The week concludes with an interesting matchup, the Seahawks bounced back from a tough loss in Week 1 to whip the Cowboys while the Pack housed the Bears. Aaron Rodgers isnít on his OMG pace but he has played decent in the first two games. Russell Wilson is a hard player to figure, he is quick as a cat but small as a mouse as QBís go. Im just not liking him facing a dynamic Packers defense that is so quick to the point of attack, unless the Seahawks jump on the Pack early and get their fearsome home crowd into it, I just see the Pack methodically wearing down the Seahawks for a win.
Last Week 7-9 (Lock & Upset Incorrect)
Overall 17-15 (Thursday Loss not included)
Until Next Post Fellow Sports Fans!