A nice start to the week. Though had Lions DT Ndamukong Suh, not went idiot in the brain and tried to stomp a Packer lineman; I fully believe that the Lions could have pulled the upset. But thanks to Tony Romo (I still aint sold on him) and a stout Ravens defense. I got 2 of the three Turkey Day games. As you fight off the effects of the tryptophan and fight off the crazy shoppers this weekend, the rest of the picks for this week are submitted here now for your review, perusal and approval. Odds are provided by bodog.net for entertainment and comparison purpose. I state that since I have decided to get the shopping out of the way this weekend (Online, you didn’t think I was going to a mall this weekend with all the good football on did you?) I haven’t the money to lend you should you bet the lines and lose.
Week 11 NFL
Sunday November 27
Browns (4-6) @ Bengals (6-4)
Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati 1:00 (CBS)
Favorite Bengals by 7
Last Week Browns beat Jags14-10 Bengals lost to Ravens 31-24
Fast Fact Bengals have won 11 of the last 14 meetings
The Browns are picking the wrong time to cross the Bengals, angry and wounded after a pair of tough losses and needing a win to keep hold of their playoff spot which in spite of their two recent losses are still in line for a wild card spot. The Bengals, while young have a clear direction in their offense and a nasty punch to their defense. The Browns despite a heroic goal line stand to hold off the Jags still look like they are having offensive growing pains with Colt McCoy and their running game is just about non-existent. Look for the Bengals to steadily wear the Browns down and pull out an ugly yet needed win
Panthers (2-8) @ Colts (0-10)
Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis (CBS)
Favorite Panthers by 3˝
Last Week Panthers lost to the Lions 49-35, Colts were on a bye
Fast Fact The Colts have 5 losses at home this season, as many as the last three years
Beaten down and beaten up the Colts needed their bye in the worst way. But they are running out of time in their quest to avoid joining the 2008 Lions in the 0-fer club. Something has to give the Panthers are road kill having had lost 11 in a row away from Charlotte and the Colts are looking to avoid their first 0-11 start since 1986. This is the Colts best chance to get a win, cause if they don’t cash it in here; their chances of getting a win get very remote.
Texans (7-3) @ Jaguars (3-7)
EverBank Field, Jacksonville (CBS)
Favorite Texans by 4˝
Last Week Texans were on a bye, Jaguars lost to Browns 14-10
Fast Fact Houston is looking for its first three game win streak in the series.
Matt Leinhart (Is he still in this league???) gets a chance to start for Matt Schaub who is on the IR, he gets a fairly easy assignment playing a Jags team that lost a winnable game in Cleveland. Getting Andre Johnson back after a long injury layoff will help immensely, Having a quality running back like Arian Foster will also help as well. The Jags are nowhere near able to keep up with the Texans and while they may make a game of it but the Texans look like they have a playoff focus.
Vikings (2-8) @ Falcons (6-4)
Georgia Dome, Atlanta 1:00 (FOX)
Favorite Falcons by 9˝
Last Week Vikings lost to the Raiders 27-21, Falcons beat Titans 23-16
Fast Fact Last week Falcons TE Tony Gonzalez became the 13th player to pass the 13,000 yards mark in receiving
The Vikings spotted the Raiders an obscene lead and rallied late to make it respectable. The Falcons got a badly needed win to stay on the edge of the playoff hunt. With the status of stud RB Adrian Peterson still very much in question, the Vikings are already struggling. The Falcons are too balanced on both sides of the ball and needing wins to stay solvent have little time to trifle.
Bills (5-5) @ Jets (5-5)
MetLife Stadium; E. Rutherford, NJ 1:00 (CBS)
Favorite Jets by 9˝
Last Week Bills lost to Dolphins 35-8, Jets lost to Broncos 17-13
Fast Fact The Bills have been outscored 106-26 during their 3 game losing streak.
The Bills are fading fast and went from dark horse to dead meat. The Jets got Tebowed in Denver and are starting to bicker and infight. Rex Ryan is losing faith in Mark Sanchez but has no one viable to turn to (you’re out of your head if you think the ancient Mark Brunell is good for anything beyond holding for kicks). Both teams are in need of a jump start to save what was a promising season, but I still think the Jets are the better team and get a badly needed win to get the grinning jeering Ryan a face saving win.
Pick-New York Jets
Cardinals (3-7) @ Rams (2-8)
Edward Jones Dome, St. Louis1:00 (FOX)
Favorite No Line
Last Week Cardinals lost to 49ers 23-7, Rams lost to Seahawks 24-7
Fast Fact Cards have won nine of the last ten meetings
Both teams are meandering toward another meaningless season, though when they hooked up a few weeks ago it was a tight contest that went to overtime with Patrick Peterson’s electrifying 99 yard punt return being the winning score. With the Cards continued quarterback difficulties, its hard to trust the Cards but the Rams are a complete mess with Sam Bradford suffering through a terrible sophomore slump. This is a coin toss game at best, I’ll go with the home team to get the season split
Pick- St. Louis
Buccaneers (4-6) @ Titans (5-5)
LP Field, Nashville 1:00 (FOX)
Favorite Titans by 3˝
Last Week Buccaneers lost to Packers 35-29, Titans lost to Falcons 23-16
Fast Fact The Titans are averaging a league low 77.2 yards rushing a game.
Both of these are fading badly down the stretch, the Bucs are forgetting what made them a chic dark horse playoff pick at the beginning of the year. The Titans uneven play is more or less handing the AFC South to the Texans. Chris Johnson is still not getting his act together, but it may be too late to make a serious playoff push. Josh Freeman is playing decent but you are reluctant to bank on that being consistent. I go with the home team here.
Bears (7-3) @ Raiders (6-4)
o.co Coliseum, Oakland 4:05 (FOX)
Favorite Raiders by 4
Last Week Bears beat Chargers 31-20, Raiders beat Vikings 27-21
Fast Fact Bears are aiming for their first six game winning streak since 2006, when they started 7-0.
You wonder how much the Bears will drop off with the loss of the much maligned but capable Jay Cutler. Matt Forte is still running like he’s mad at the world and the irrepressible Bears defense is making leads stand up. The Raiders are a team that will drive you batty, their inconsistent play has cost them at least two winnable games and has tried to give away two other wins that they pulled out. Caleb Hanie gets the start for the Bears and will likely be facing a withering rush from a Raiders defense that can get to the quarterback with regularity. Im going to with the Raiders getting to Hanie and Carson Palmer continuing to settle in nicely
Redskins (3-7) @ Seahawks (4-6)
CenturyLink Field, Seattle (FOX)
Favorite Seahawks by 3˝
Last Week Redskins lost to Cowboys 27-24 in ot, Seahawks beat Rams 24-7
Fast Fact Redskins are on their longest losing streak since starting 1998 season 0-7
I have a colleague that I usually greet with “Hey didn’t you used to be…?” With a long forgotten or washed up player. It gets a good horse laugh and sometimes a “You went there?” That’s what I want to ask the Washington Redskins “Hey didn’t you used to be contender?” At one time this team was 3-1 heading into their bye week and the toast of the Beltway, they had pounded the Giants, and eked out two slim wins and their loss to the Pokes an honorable one. After the bye the Skins self destructed against the Eagles and have been on a steady dive ever since with 6 losses in a row and a messy quarterback situation. The Seahawks are a hard team to gage, smashing the Giants and Ravens on one hand but playing listless and disinterested in losses to the Cowboys, Bengals and Steelers. Despite their uneven play the Seahawks have some semblance of direction and playing at home is a big plus for them and should have more than enough to beat the spiraling Redskins.
Broncos (5-5) @ Chargers (4-6)
Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego 4:15 (CBS)
Favorite Chargers by 6
Last Week Broncos beat Jets 17-13, Chargers lost to Bears 31-20
Fast Fact Philip has a league high 17 interceptions, 10 in the last five games
Tebow mania continues to grow wildly, but this scribe continues to be skeptical. The Broncos have been playing hella good defense but their offense continues to be heavily run skewed. Im waiting for defense to solve this puzzle and make Tebow look like the overmatched fraud of a quarterback I think he is. But the Chargers might not be the team to do that, as Philip Rivers continues to throw interceptions at a frightening clip. I know Im going to hate myself for doing this, but I think (hope) the Chargers keep Tebow bottled up and Rivers has a long overdue breakout game.
Patriots (7-3) @ Eagles (4-6)
Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia 4:15 (CBS)
Favorite No Line
Last Week Patriots beat Chiefs 34-3, Eagles beat Giants 17-10
Fast Fact Patriots TE Rob Gronkowski has 20 touchdown receptions in his first 26 NFL games, the most by a tight end in his first two seasons.
The Pats looked almost bored in dissecting an overmatched Chiefs squad last Monday, while the Eagles handed the G-Men a stunning upset. Vince Young will likely get the start again but the Pats rush will be a lot stronger than the Giants will be and the Pats offense will not bumble scoring chances.
Steelers (7-3) @ Chiefs (4-6)
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City (NBC)
Favorite Steelers by 11
Last Week Steelers were on a bye, Chiefs lost to Patriots 34-3
Fast Fact The Chiefs have a league low 12 sacks on defense.
The Chiefs are regressing badly and with the loss of Matt Cassel look even more offensively inept. This is not the time to face a rested Steelers squad that needs wins to keep divisional rivals off their back. The Chiefs might get a boost from their raucous and rowdy crowd to start, but that will be short lived. The Steelers are better on both sides of the ball and it will be painfully evident that the Tyler Palko is not ready for primetime.
Pick-Pittsburgh (Lock of the Week)
Monday, November 28
Giants (6-4) @ Saints (7-3)
Mercedes-Benz Superdome (ESPN)
Favorite No Line
Last Week Giants lost to Eagles 17-10, Saints were on a bye
Fast Fact The Giants had season lows of 29 rushing and 278 total yards of offense last week.
The G-Men took an unneeded loss last week at home against a beatable Eagles squad, if they had trouble with Vince Young and a so-so Eagles offense, what kind of trouble will they have against a rested Saints squad led by Drew Brees and his mind blowing compliment of offensive weapons. If Eli Manning doesn’t have Mario Manningham as a dependable top receiver at his disposal or Ahmad Bradshaw's running to keep the heat off, he wont have a chance, period.
Last Week: 8-6 (Lock & Upset Incorrect)
Overall: 97-63 (does not include Thursday results)
Upsets: 4-7 (does not include Thursday pick)