Peyton Manning has my eternal gratitiude, I was all ready to write up a post bemoaning a bad week. I was cursing my upset as a perfect bookend to another bad week of picks. I picked Pittsburgh as a lock to beat the Titans who were looking comicalÖthat pick went south and I figured that the upset pick of Denver over San Diego at Qualcomm Stadium was going south as well. But Manning rebounded from a horrible first half to rally the Broncos to a 35-24 win and got me a .500 week. Its pretty bad when I wax philosophic on a game that prevented a losing weekÖOh well. Itís a light week with only 10 non-primetime games on Sunday and most of the games are early. Submitted for your review and perusal are this weeks picks with the odds provided by bodog.net. Im sick and have had to pay for doctors and meds so Im not paying your bookies if you bet the lines and lose.
BYE WEEK Ė Atlanta (6-0); Denver (3-3); Kansas City (1-5); Miami (3-3); Philadelphia (3-3); San Diego (3-3).
NFL SCHEDULE Ė WEEK 7
Thursday, October 18
Seahawks (4-2) @ 49ers (4-2)
Candlestick Park, San Francisco 8:20 NFLN
Favorite 49ers by 7Ĺ
Last Week Seahawks defeated Patriots 24-23, 49ers lost to Giants 26-3
Fast Fact 49ers have not lost back to back games since 2010
I picked the Niners in this one simply because they are the home teamÖ.
Sunday, October 21
Cardinals (4-2) @ Vikings (4-2)
Mall of America Field @ HHH Metrodome, Minneapolis 1:00 (FOX)
Favorite Vikings by 6
Last Week Cards lost to Bills 19-16 in OT Vikings lost to Redskins 38-26
Fast Fact The Vikings have won six straight against the Cards in Minneapolis
Both teams come off of tough losses, the Vikings fell behind big and after rallying to close it to 5, then letting RGIII drop a gamebreaking touchdown run on them. The Cards got the game saving field goal with Jay Feely nailing a stunning 61 yarder (with room to spare) but the real stunner was Feely slamming the would be winning field goal off the upright from a makeable 38 yards in OT. Im not banking on John Skelton to be the real answer for the inconsistent Cards offense especially facing a good Vikings defense itching to atone for the shredding by the Skins.
Ravens (5-1) @ Texans (5-1)
Reliant Stadium, Houston 1:00 (CBS)
Favorite Texans by 7
Last Week Ravens defeated Cowboys 31-29; Texans lost to Packers 42-24
Fast Fact Arian Foster did score twice against the Packers but only gained 29 yards on 17 carries
The Ravens took advantage of bad clock management by the Pokes to win a tight one, while the Texans looked very much like primetime neophytes that were in awe of the spotlight as they got hammered by the Pack. I think the loss of Ray Lewis to a triceps tear will hurt much more than they want to admit. The Ravens wont be able to get as many clean pockets and free looks on offense as they did against Dallas. And Iím sure that the Texans will be eager to atone for their primetime mishap.
Browns (1-5) @ Colts (2-3)
Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis 1:00 (CBS)
Favorite Colts by 3
Last Week Browns defeated Bengals 34-24; Colts lost to Jets 35-9
Fast Fact The Colts have not won when the QB Andrew Luck completes less than 52 percent of his passes.
The Browns finally put it all together as they bounced the Bengals while the Colts just looked totally lost in Gotham as they got housed by the Jets. Im not real sure on which team is going to show up in this game. The Colts are improving week by week but they have their missteps. The Browns are just about as hopeless as you can get but they can make teams work. Im not anywehere convinced that the Browns can win on the road.
Cowboys (2-3) @ Panthers (1-4)
Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte 1:00 (FOX)
Favorite Cowboys by 2
Last Week Cowboys lost to Ravens 31-29, Panthers were on a bye
Fast Fact The Cowboys have never lost in Charlotte in the regular season (they have lost both playoff meetings in Charlotte though)
As mentioned before the Pokes found a new and exciting way to bungle a clock, and still had a chance to win the game but for Dan Bailey badly missing a 51 yarder at the gun. Cam Newton is way overdue for a breakout game and why do I get the feeling the overrated Pokes defense will be the catalyst.
Pick-Carolina (Upset of the Week)
Packers (3-3) @ Rams (3-3)
Edward Jones Dome, St. Louis 1:00 (FOX)
Favorite Packers by 6
Last Week Packers defeated Texans 42-24; Rams lost to Dolphins 17-13
Fast Fact The Rams have only scored Nine TDs all season, the Packers have scored that many TDís in their last two games.
The Packers looked like they got their swagger back somewhat as they dominated a star-struck Texans squad on Sunday Night. The Rams piled up the offensive numbers but fell flat in South Beach. Are the Packers all the way back? Offensively they have never really have faded, its just their defense that is so dang suspect. Nevertheless they have more than enough to be the Rams who donít have the offensive horses to keep up.
Saints (1-4) @ Buccaneers (2-3)
Raymond James Stadium, Tampa 1:00 (FOX)
Favorite Saints by 3
Last Week Saints were on a bye; Buccaneers defeated 38-10
Fast Fact The Saints ranked dead last in the NFL in yards allowed per game
Fresh off a bye after what many said was a season saving win over the Chargers, the Saints begin the arduous task of trying to climb back into the NFC playoff race (They aint catching Atlanta) The Bucs are feeling good after taking the Chiefs back of the woodshed and play tough in front of their home crowd. I get the feeling that Drew Brees is just hitting his stride and will have another shootout like game. I cant bank on Josh Freeman to begin to keep up.
Titans (2-4) @ Bills (3-3)
Ralph Wilson Stadium; Orchard Park, NY †1:00 (CBS)
Favorite Bills by 3
Last Week Titans defeated Steelers 26-23; Bills defeated Cardinals 19-16
Fast Fact The Bills and Titans are next to last and last in points allowed (32 and 34 ppg respectively
The Titans shocked the football world with a gutty win over the Steelers, while the Bills bounced back from a pair of humiliating losses to edge the Cards in the desert. Has anyone seen Chris Johnson (is he still in this league?) The Bills defense played markedly better against the Cards but their offense is still waiting for more production from Ryan Fitzpatrick though their running game has shown consistency. This is a tough game to call because you are never really sure which offense will come out. Im going with the home team, though it will be a close high scoring game.
Redskins (3-3) @ NY Giants (4-2)
MetLife Stadium; East Rutherford, NJ 1:00 (FOX)
Favorite Giants by 6
Last Week Redskins defeated Vikings 38-26; Giants defeated 49ers 26-3
Fast Fact The Giants are only 2-5 at home in divisional games since moving into MetLife Stadium.
The Skins rode the arm and legs of RGIII to an impressive win while the G-Men were simply dominant in smashing the Niners. Tough game to call, but the Giants have been playing a lot better as of late and I think that they can come up with a formula to keep RGIII bottled up, the diverse Giants offense will be able to grind better on the Redskins often inconsistent defense who were able to key on Adrian Peterson. This game will be tight and low scoring which is just the way Big Blue likes it
Pick-New York Giants
Jaguars (1-4) @ Raiders (1-4)
O.co Coliseum, Oakland 4:25 CBS
Favorite Raiders by 4
Last Week Jaguars were on a bye; Raiders lost to Falcons 23-20
Fast Fact The Jags have only 3 sacks.
Ok, the Raiders didnít get housed like I thought they would in Hotlanta but they still came out losers. The Jags are just a hot mess, offense is offensive the defense couldnít stop anything faster than a turtle and that gets at least 300 yards of offense and doesnít get sacked. The Raiders are bad but they have more than enough to run on the Jags and pound them defensively.
NY Jets (3-3) @ Patriots (3-3)
Gillette Stadium; Foxboro, MA 4:25 (CBS)
Favorite Patriots by 11
Last Week Jets defeated Colts 35-9; Patriots lost to Seahawks 24-23
Fast Fact The Pats have outscored the Jets 112-40 in winning the last three meetings
The grins and jeers are back for Rex Ryan as his Jets whipped the weak Colts, now bolstered by that meaningless win, he has decided to shoot off his mouth again, guaranteeing a win over the Pats. Im sorry, thatís just not going to happen. The Jets can get their run on against a weak Colts but the Pats are a different story especially at home. I think that the Pats are a flawed team, but they have more than enough to beat the Jets who I donít think are that good. I donít care where they have Tebow atÖ
Pick-New England (Lock of the Week)
Steelers (2-3) @ Bengals (3-3)
Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati 8:20 (NBC)
Favorite No line due questionable status of multiple Steelers
Last Week Steelers lost to Titans 26-23; Bengals lost to Browns 34-24
Fast Fact †Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger is 7-1 in Cincinnati
The Bengals lost a pair of winnable games to fall back to .500 while the Steelers have had a long weekend to stew over a puzzling loss to the Titans. The Bengals want to be an elite team but you have that feeling that they are just waiting to be punked by the bully Steelers. Hey, I want to be wrong here but I think that the Steelers will use this game as a bounce back and despite a rowdy crowd expected in Cincy for their first NBC Sunday night home game, they will not have much to cheer about.
Monday, October 22
Lions (2-3) @ Bears (4-1)
Soldier Field, Chicago 8:30 (ESPN)
Favorite Bears by 6
Last Week Lions defeated Eagles 26-23; Bears were on a bye
Fast Fact Bears have won 7 of the past 8 meetings, the only loss was on a Monday Night
The division leading Bears have had a week to bask in the glow of their last game which was also on a Monday night. The Lions stunned the Eagles in Philly and are desperately trying to correct their poor start. Im still not real sold on Jay Cutler but heís got more weapons at his disposal, the Lions have the offense but their defense is wildly inconsistent. Like the opener im gonna toss a coin and go with the home team in this one.
Last Week 7-7 (Lock incorrect, Upset Correct)