Another middling week and I’ll try to get better, thankfully this is the last week of the byes as Pittsburgh (defeated Titans 27-24) and Carolina (lost to Falcons 19-17) are the last two teams to take a week off, odds are provided by ESPN and are strictly for entertainment and comparison purposes only. Since Im preparing for a Hoodwood feast I will have no money to spare you if you take the lines and get hosed.
Sunday November 23
Buccaneers (2-8) @ Bears (4-6)
Soldier Field, Chicago 1:00 (FOX)
Favorite Bears by 5 ½
Last Week Buccaneers defeated Washington 27-7, Bears defeated Vikings 21-13
Fast Fact Bears QB Jay Cutler has thrown 6 of his 12 interceptions in his last four games.
The Bucs got a rare chance to be the bully in DC and rolled to an easy win while the Bears finally sent a home crowd happy as they rallied to beat the Vikings. I’m not really solid on either squad even less so on Jay Cutler, I’m so tempted to pick the Bucs as they have shown a tendency to win on the road, but I’m going to go with the home team and wish I hadn’t.
Jaguars (1-9) @ Colts (6-4)
Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis 1:00(CBS)
Favorite Colts by 14
Last Week Jaguars were on the bye; Colts lost to Patriots 42-20
Fast Fact Colts has won six straight division home games since a 22-17 loss to the Jaguars on Sept. 23, 2012.
The Jags are a week removed from a London beating, the head to Indy to face a Colts team that is looking for someone to beat on after taking an embarrassing beating at home last Sunday Night. While Blake Bortles and the Jags are showing signs of improving on all facets they are just catching the Colts at the absolute wrong time.
Pick- Indianapolis (Lock of the Week)
Titans (2-8) @ Eagles (7-3)
Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia 1:00 (CBS)
Favorite Eagles by 11
Last Week Titans lost to Steelers 27-24, Eagles lost to Packers 53-20
Fast Fact Eagles are on a nine game home winning streak
Info on the game This is another gonna be painful game as the Titans as are coming in off a painful loss to Pittsburgh have to return to the Keystone State to face the Eagles who are coming off an awful beating in Lambeau. Mark Sanchez looks like he could have a nice bounceback after an atrocious showing the week previous. The Titans have been playing capably but have been on the wrong side of a few scoreboards, I just can’t take the Titans with the Eagles needing the win to keep pace with the Cowboys they will spare the Titans no quarter
Browns (6-4) @ Falcons (4-6)
Georgia Dome, Atlanta 1:00 (CBS)
Favorite Falcons by 3
Last Week Browns lost to Texans 23-7, Falcons defeated Panthers 19-17
Fast Fact Before giving up 23 last week the Browns had allowed 11 points per game in their 3 game win streak.
First glance at the team’s records and you would think that the Browns were the team in first and the Falcons were team in last, when the exact opposite is the case. The Browns took a nasty pratfall at home against a shorthanded Texans squad, while the Falcons stole a gritty gutty game against the Panthers. I still am reluctant to trust the Browns though I really like the no-frills style of Brian Hoyer, the Falcons are even worse in the trust department though they are fighting of control of the suddenly super weak NFC South. This is another one of these I’m gonna regret the pick no matter which way I go
Lions (7-3) @ Patriots (8-2)
Gillette Stadium; Foxboro, MA 1:00 (FOX)
Favorite Patriots by 7
Last Week Lions lost to Cardinals 14-6, Patriots defeated Colts 42-20
Fast Fact The Lions have the league’s best scoring defense while the Pats have averaged better than 40 points in their last six wins
Info on the game
A great interconference game on tap here. The Lions lost a tough low scoring affair in the desert now have to take on the Pats high scoring offense right after. The Lions are a solid team and will have their hands full containing the dynamic Brady led offensive unit coming off a crisp road win over the Colts. With Calvin Johnson being available the Lions will be able to stretch a sometimes suspect Pats secondary. The Pats are so money at home though it would be foolish to bet against them.
Packers (7-3) @ Vikings (4-6)
TCF Bank Stadium; Minneapolis 1:00 (FOX)
Favorite Packers by 8
Last Week Packers defeated Eagles 53-20 Vikings lost to Bears 23-14 Packers
Fast Fact Packers QB Aaron Rodgers is 6-1 in his last 7 meetings with the Vikings
The Packers are on a serious scoring roll and you think that the Packers hammered the Vikes in their last meeting what prevents a rerun? Nothing really, but something tells me that Vikings will keep it a bit closer at home.
Bengals (6-3-1) @ Texans (5-5)
NRG Stadium, Houston 1:00 (CBS)
Favorite Bengals by 2½
Last Week Bengals defeated Saints 27-10, Texans defeated Browns 23-7
Fast Fact Bengals QB Andy Dalton has yet to throw an interception in a road game this season
Stunning most pundits, your humble scribe included, the Bengals rolled into the Big Easy and stomped the Saints while the Texans romped in Cleveland. The Bengals are one of the biggest enigmas in the AFC if not the whole league. Andy Dalton plays like the franchise QB he’s being paid to be one week then a clueless noob the next. It’s hard to figure which team will show up and the Bengals must keep a tight lid on the irrepressible JJ Watt or the game will get out of hand fast. If Arian Foster is a no-go the Bengals still have to be concerned with heretofore unknown Alfred Blue. Point blank, I do not trust the Bengals on the road.
Rams (4-6) @ Chargers (6-4)
Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego 4:05 (FOX)
Favorite Chargers by 6
Last Week Rams defeated Broncos 22-7, Chargers defeated Raiders 13-6
Fast Fact The Chargers averaged 29.4 points and 395.8 total yards during a five-game winning streak but have scuffled of late with 13.5 points and 258.8 yards per game over their last four going 1-3
The Rams showed that they were no pushover by shocking the Broncos. The Chargers shook off their long losing streak by grinding out a win against the hapless Raiders. The Rams on the road are way more suspect than they are at home though Shaun Hill is proving to be a better QB than most thought. I’m not betting against the Chargers at home
Pick- San Diego
Cardinals (9-1) @ Seahawks (6-4)
CenturyLink Stadium, Seattle 4:05 (FOX)
Favorite Seahawks by 7½
Last Week Cardinals defeated Lions 14-6, Seahawks lost to Chiefs 24-20
Fast Fact the Cards six game winning streak is their longest in 40 years
An absolute high stakes game here as the Cards fresh off a dominating win against the Lions are looking to put an hammerlock on the division but face the Seahawks who got edged in Kansas City and are in real danger of being made irrelevant in the NFC playoff race. Drew Stanton is playing decently as a caretaker QB but will need to play a lot better against a still solid Seahawks secondary and though recalcitrant Marshawn Lynch remains a moody enigma, this will be a much stiffer test for the Cards who face a brutal back quarter of the schedule. Though 9-1 I’m not calling this an upset, because the Seahawks are still ruthless in their crib.
Washington (3-7) @ 49ers (6-4)
Levi’s Stadium; Santa Clara, CA, 4:25 (CBS)
Favorite 49ers by 9
Last Week Washington lost to Buccaneers 27-7, 49ers defeated Giants 16-10
Fast Fact Washington’s defense has only forced 3 interceptions against opposing offenses
Washington is a mess and their play against the Bucs further solidifies that thought, while the Niners ground out a tough win in Gotham. RGIII is looking less and less like a franchise QB and more like another overhyped Heisman bust. The Niners have tons of flaws but they are still a dangerous squad nonetheless. I’m thinking if the Bucs gave RGIII and company fits what will the rugged Niners defense do at home….
Dolphins (6-4) @ Broncos (7-3)
Sports Authority Field @ Mile High, Denver 4:25 (CBS, FOX, NBC, ESPN)
Favorite Broncos by 7
Last Week Dolphins defeated Bills 22-9, Broncos lost to Rams 22-7
Fast Fact The Broncos 7 points and 24:10 possession time were the lowest for the team since 2012
While the Dolphins looked a bit sluggish, they got a ragged win over the Bills. The Rams dropped a stunning beatdown on the Broncos which shook their confidence something awful. I’m still not really sold on the Dolphins on either side of the ball and I think that their defense will get exposed in the thin Denver air against Peyton Manning looking for someone to take it out on.
Cowboys (7-3) @ Giants (3-7)
MetLife Stadium; East Rutherford, NJ 8:30 (NBC)
Favorite Cowboys by 3½
Last Week Cowboys were on their bye, Giants lost to 49ers 16-10
Fast Fact The Cowboys own the league's second-ranked rushing attack with 153.2 yards per game, while the Giants are last in the NFL at stopping the run, giving up 145.0 a contest.
The Pokes are ready and rested after their bye and head to Gotham to face the G-Men who are a train wreck. The bye couldn’t have come at a better time for Dallas as Romo and Murray got time to heal up from minor nicks. Eli Manning looks more and more lost every week, the Pokes defense will exacerbate this
Monday, November 24
Jets (2-8) vs Bills (5-5)
Ford Field, Detroit 7:00 (CBS)
Favorite No line
Last Week Jets were on their bye Dolphins lost to Bills 22-9
Fast Fact With the change in venue, all the tickets for this game in Detroit were distributed free of charge and a capacity crowd is expected
This game was rescheduled from Sunday due to the snowstorm that hit Western New York. This is the second time in four years that Detroit has been the substitute venue for a game, with limited practice time due to the venue move the game suddenly gets a lot more even. The Bills got ground up by the Dolphins in the South Florida heat. For some stupid reason, I have a feeling the lack of preparation due to the snow will haunt the Bills.
Pick- New York Jets (Upset of the Week)
Ravens (6-4) @ Saints (4-6)
Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans 8:30 (ESPN)
Favorite Saints by 3 ½
Last Week Saints lost to Bengals 27-10, Ravens were on their bye
Fast Fact Saints QB Drew Brees has defeated every NFL team but the Ravens (He led the Chargers to a win 43-17 win over the Saints in 2004 and defeated the Chargers 37-32 in 2008
The Saints are falling apart and losing at their once impregnable fortress home, the Ravens come in rested but there is something I just don’t trust about the Ravens inconsistent play and though Drew Brees is not playing at his fearsome level there is something that just screams that the Saints won’t lose three home games in a row.
Last Week: 7-7 (Lock and Upset Incorrect)