I was annoyed that I messed up my Bengals-Chargers pick, I was all set to pick the Bengals to continue their recent winning ways. The Bengals did win, but my non paying attention self typed in San Diego. So thats a loss I'll take with egg on my face. But I made sure I checked all the picks before submitting these picks for your review, persual and approval. All odds provided by bodog.net
this week cause their site came up. The odds are provided for entertainment and comparison purposes only. I say this only because Im so used to saying it and Im not trying to explain to someone wife, girlfriend or significant other why you lost the Christmas Money.
NFL SCHEDULE – WEEK 14
Sunday, December 9
Falcons (11-1) @ Panthers (3-9)
Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte 1:00 (FOX)
Favorite Falcons by 3˝
Last Week Falcons defeated Saints 23-13, Panthers lost to Chiefs 27-21
Fast Fact Falcons have scored 30 or more points in the last five meetings, winning all of them.
The Falcons are probably the most underrated 11-1 team you will ever see, the have been grinding out wins and avenged their only loss with a solid Thursday performance against the Saints. The Panthers just looked lost in Kansas City last week and the regression of Cam Newton while not full is terribly disheartening to his ardent supporters. The Falcons might not win pretty but they have more than enough talent on both sides of the ball to get the win.
Ravens (9-3) @ Redskins (6-6)
FedEx Field; Landover, MD 1:00 CBS
Favorite Redskins by 3
Last Week Ravens lost to Steelers 23-20, Redskins defeated Giants 17-16
Fast Fact With the exception of the two New York teams that share a stadium, these are the two closest located teams, 33.1 miles from stadium to stadium
The Redskins are quietly climbing back into respectability led by their precocious offensive leader. RGIII. The Ravens once considered an AFC power are slipping badly and the quiet questions are cropping up about if they are really a viable contender. This game screams upset and the weakened Ravens defense looks like it will have problems with Griffin and fellow rookie running back Alfred Morris who has been a wily counterpart. I keep wanting to believe that Joe Flacco will be able to sustain his early solid play and utilize the running of Ray Rice better. I know Im gonna hate myself for this one.
Bears (8-4) @ Vikings (6-6)
Mall of America Field @ HHH Metrodome, Minneapolis 1:00 (FOX)
Favorite Bears by 3
Last Week Bears lost to Seahawks 23-17 in OT, Vikings lost to Packers 23-14
Fast Fact Can a player be comeback player of the year after only missing 1 game? Less than year after a major knee injury, Adrian Peterson has rushed for 6.2 yards per carry, 120.5 yards a game and 1446 yards rushing all of which are league bests.
The Bears took a painful OT loss and are in real danger of losing their once solid grip on the NFC North. Meanwhile, the Vikes are coming apart fast and wasting the brilliant comeback season of Adrian Peterson who is pounding out yards despite defenses keying on stopping him. These two teams are not as far apart as some might think. As much as its tempting to give the Bears the benefit of the doubt after their tough loss I think that the Vikings are overdue for a game that keeps them in the hunt. Its dumb I know, but something keeps telling me the Vikes cant keep screwing up Peterson’s breathtaking performances.
Cowboys (6-6) @ Bengals (7-5)
Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati 1:00 (FOX)
Favorite Bengals by 3
Last WeekCowboys defeated Eagles 38-33, Bengals defeated Chargers 20-13
Fast Fact The Cowboys have only one win in Cincinnati in 4 tries and that was a 23-20 win by the 2 time defending champs against a weak Bengals squad in 1994
The Pokes again played a shootout but were on the winning side this time around, the Bengals have quietly pushed their way back into playoff contention and are riding an impressive four game win streak. I still have zero faith in Tony Romo, his suspect offensive line (facing a Bengals defense tied for the lead in sacks) and the Pokes non-existant running game. Their secondary is highly vulnerable and facing stud receiver AJ Green is not a recipe for a win. The Bengals won’t be as starstruck as some honks and Poke fans think that they will be. That and I wont mess up my pick entry.
Chiefs (2-10) @ Browns (4-8)
Browns Stadium, Cleveland 1:00 (CBS)
Favorite Browns by 6˝
Last WeekChiefs defeated Panthers 27-21, Browns defeated Raiders 20-13
Fast Fact The Browns 475 yards of offense last week against Oakland was a season high.
Burdened by the senseless murder-suicide of their teammate, The Chiefs played an inspired game and upended the Panthers. The Browns have been playing much better as of late and have won back to back games. I think this is the rare chance for the Browns to play the bully. The Chiefs are an emotional mess and the Browns are actually the better team on both sides of the ball.
NY Jets (5-7) @ Jaguars (2-10)
EverBank Field, Jacksonville 1:00 (CBS)
Favorite Jets by 3
Last Week Jets defeated Cardinals 7-6, Jaguars lost to Bills 34-18
Fast Fact The Jags rank dead last in the NFL at 78.8 rushing yards per game
The Jets won an absolutely ugly game at home and the mess that is their season has yet to abate. The once grinning and jeering Rex Ryan is trying to find a way out of the QB mess that he partially created. Facing a Jags team that is still trying to find some kind of identity with no real running game and one of their more exciting receivers in Cecil Shorts sidelined with concussion. As much as I would love to say that the Jets will self-destruct and lose here, I cant do it. The Jags are a mess on both sides of the ball, and even the Jets cant screw this one up. Oh no, will this fire up the New York masses for a late playoff charge???
Pick-New York Jets
Eagles (3-9) @ Buccaneers (6-6)
Raymond James Stadium, Tampa 1:00 (FOX)
Favorite Buccaneers by 7˝
Last Week Eagles lost to Cowboys 38-33, Buccaneers lost to Broncos 31-23
Fast Fact Eagles in the middle of their longest losing streak in 45 years
The Eagles are basicially playing out the string, while the Bucs fight to stay in the playoff picture. The Bucs have solid production on both running and passing. The Eagles basically have neither and have more or less quit. With the Bucs still very much viable in the playoff hunt, they will have no time to dawdle with this weak opponent.
Chargers (4-8) @ Steelers (7-5)
Heinz Field, Pittsburgh 1:00 (CBS)
Favorite No line due to questionable Pit QB status
Last WeekChargers lost to Bengals 20-13, Steelers defeated Ravens 23-20
Fast Fact The Steelers and Chargers played the first 11-10 final score NFL game in 2008
The Steelers may have very well saved their season with a gritty win in Baltimore, while the Chargers are finding new and exciting ways to lose leads and games. This is the type of break that the Steelers need. A fading team, a west coast team that is headed east to play out the string. This will definitely be a dead team walking here in the Chargers no matter who starts at QB.
Rams (5-6-1) @ Bills (5-7)
Ralph Wilson Stadium; Orchard Park, NY 1:00 (FOX)
Favorite Bills by 3
Last Week Rams defeated 49ers 16-13 in OT, Bills defeated Jaguars 34-18
Fast Fact Rams have not won back to back road games since November 2010
Both these teams have quietly snuck back to the fringes of the playoff talk which makes this a little less of a dog game than one would initially think. The Rams are showing promise under Sam Bradford but still lack a go-to receiver. The Bills are showing much improved defensive fortitude as of late and have won 2 of their last three. Im still not really sold on the Rams, and playing on the road is still not something they have mastered and I cant see them going into a cold weather venue and winning.
Titans (4-8) @ Colts (8-4)
Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis 1:00 (CBS)
Favorite Colts by 6
Last Week Titans lost to Texans 24-10, Colts defeated Lions 35-33
Fast Fact The Andrew Luck to Donnie Avery pass to beat the Lions was the Colts first winning score with no time left since 1990.
Continuing to be the leagues most stunning reversal the Colts are playing lights out and are closing in on a playoff berth, the Titans continue to be one of the most disappointing and puzzling teams in the NFL. The Colts are putting up points in a hurry, and playing a team that is very generous with the points allowed (29.6) the Colts shouldn’t have that much trouble here, especially at home.
Dolphins (5-7) @ 49ers (8-3-1)
Candlestick Park, San Francisco 4:05 (CBS)
Favorite 49ers by 10
Last Week Dolphins lost to Patriots 23-16, 49ers lost to Rams 16-13 in OT
Fast Fact The Dolphins only average 317.8 yards a game, while the Niners only allow 279.6.
The Niners played about as bad as they could play and still had a chance to still win it. Colin Kaepernick finally had that kind of game that you were expecting him to play when the lights first were turned up on him. The Dolphins played the Pats tough but you really didn’t expect much from them did you? In any case, I expect a tougher game than the spread might indicate. I think the Niners bounce back strong.
Cardinals (4-8) @ Seahawks (7-5)
CenturyLink Field, Seattle 4:25 (FOX)
Favorite Seahawks by 10
Last Week Cardinals lost 7-6, Seahawks defeated 23-17 in OT
Fast Fact Cards trying to avoid their first 9 game losing streak since 1943
The Cards played a sluggish lifeless game in Gotham and still had a shot of winning. But that four game winning streak is a distant memory. The Seahawks won a slugfest in Chicago and put themselves in the drivers seat in the wild card race and are still incredibly in striking distance of the Niners in the NFC West. The Seahawks are cash money at home and the Cards aren’t beating anyone but themselves.
Saints (5-7) @ NY Giants (7-5)
MetLife Stadium; E. Rutherford, NJ 4:25 (FOX)
Favorite Giants by 4
Last Week Saints lost to Falcons 23-13, Giants lost to Redskins 17-16
Fast Fact Saints QB Drew Brees was held without a touchdown pass for the first time in 56 games.
The Saints played about as about as flat a game as they could have. The G-Men kept finding ways not to score in DC on Monday and it cost them a critical game in the division. Both teams need this win badly, but the Saints need it more. Does that equate to a win for the visitors? No, I don’t trust that seriously suspect Saints D. Though the G-Men haven’t played real well in Gotham, I think they get the win.
Pick-New York Giants
Lions (4-8) @ Packers (8-4)
Lambeau Field, Green Bay 8:20 (NBC)
Favorite Packers by 7
Last Week Lions lost to Colts 35-33, Packers defeated Vikings 23-14
Fast Fact The Lions have not won at Green Bay since 1991 (including 2 losses in Milwaukee)
The Lions are bickering and fussing and looking nothing like the feel good story that they were last year. The Packers are not the juggernaut that they were this time last year but they are still a solid team. I seriously don’t think that we will see a repeat of the 45-41 shootout that we saw back on New Years, but I think that the Packers are clearly the better team and shouldn’t be troubled at home.
Monday, December 10
Texans (11-1) @ Patriots (9-3)
Reliant Stadium, Houston 8:30 (ESPN)
Favorite Patriots by 4
Last Week Texans defeated Titans 24-10 Patriots defeated Dolphins 23-16
Fast Fact The 20 combined wins are the tied most for two Monday night opponents have had facing each other.
Easily the best game of the week, two of the bigger name teams of the AFC and NFL face off in the weeks finale. Both teams are playoff bound and this could be repeated for much higher stakes in January. That said, I think both teams will play it close to the vest and keep things under wraps. The Texans are tough on the road, and the Pats rarely lose at home. Im thinking that the Pats will pull out a tight game.
Last Week:10-6 (Lock & Upset Correct)
Until Next Post Fellow Sports Fans!